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Canada’s LNG industry set to take flight as interest reignites in Alaska megaproject

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Canada’s LNG industry set to take flight as interest reignites in Alaska megaproject


CALGARY — Hundreds of kilometres up the Pacific coast from where Canada’s first liquefied natural gas export terminal is set to start up this summer, a monster lays dormant.

Alaska has long had ambitions to ship its natural gas to international markets, but the cost and scale of such an undertaking has held it back for decades.

But there’s been renewed interest in the megaproject since U.S. President Donald Trump issued an executive order on his first day in office devoted to Alaska resource development. State officials, including Gov. Mike Dunleavy, have been busy in recent weeks trying to woo potential Asian buyers of the gas under long-term contracts.

Industry experts have doubts the Alaska behemoth will awaken this time, but they say Canada must be mindful of the threat it could pose to its own nascent LNG industry.

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“If there’s a time to build it, now would probably be your best bet,” Enverus senior analyst Josephine Mills said of the Trump administration’s keenness on Alaska gas and the Republicans’ control of Congress.

“But then again, this has been being talked about for the past 30, 40 years. It’s by no means a new project. So definitely I think it would be faced with a lot of hurdles to come.”

With an estimated price tag of US$44 billion, Alaska LNG would see a 1,300-kilometre pipeline traverse the state from north to south, passing through treacherous terrain to deliver an average of 3.5 million mmBTU a day of gas to a liquefaction plant in Nikiski, south of Anchorage. The project also includes a carbon capture plant by the gas fields on Alaska’s North Slope.

Some of the gas would be for Alaskans’ needs, but most would be loaded onto tankers and sold across the Pacific, the same markets Canadian LNG developers want to tap.

“It would be beneficial to Canada to not have Alaska LNG be built,” said Mills.

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But if it did go ahead — and that’s a big if — it would be after 2030, she added.

Late last month, the state corporation behind the massive endeavour, Alaska Gasline Development Corp., signed Glenfarne Group as lead developer on the project. Glenfarne, a U.S. builder of energy infrastructure, now owns 75 per cent of the project, AGDC holding the rest.

A final investment decision on Alaska LNG is expected some time this year.

Kent Fellows, an economist with the University of Calgary’s School of Public Policy, said contracts to buy LNG are signed before plants start up and usually span several years.

So the trade chaos Trump has unleashed with a bevy of tariffs against one-time allies does the Alaska project no favours.

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“It can be really costly to make some of these investments if you’re not sure that trade relationship is going to be stable going forward,” Fellows said.

“One of the huge advantages that the United States had up until about 12 months ago (is) they had a reputation for being a very stable economy, being an economy that believed in global free trade.”

If Alaska LNG is somehow successful in sewing up contracts with Asian buyers, it makes it harder for B.C. projects further behind in development to secure enough demand to justify their own plants.

“With an LNG market, that competition happens at the time the facility is built, so timing the market can end up really, really important,” said Fellows.

However, the CEO of Canada’s biggest natural gas producer said there should be plenty of interest to go around.

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Mike Rose, who heads up Tourmaline Oil Corp., foresees worldwide demand soaring by up to 50 million mmBTU by 2035.

“We won’t be oversupplying because there might be a project that comes on in Alaska,” he said. “We need all of them.”

In a speech to Canadian Club Toronto last week, TC Energy chief executive François Poirier said he’d like to see a “Team Canada” approach to developing LNG.

TC Energy built the pipeline that ships gas across B.C. to the LNG Canada terminal in Kitimat.

“In Alaska, the U.S. administration is today working toward signing (memorandums of understanding) for LNG with countries like Japan and South Korea,” Poirier said.

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“The governor of Alaska has travelled himself to Asia to line up customers and investors for Alaskan LNG, and guess what? He returned from his trip with an agreement from Taiwan.”

Poirier said no matter which party wins the April 28 federal election, it will be key for the prime minister, premiers, businesses and Indigenous leaders to show a degree of alignment similar to the U.S..

“Collectively, we’ll have to travel to Asia and market ourselves and underscore that Canada is back in business and is a good risk to take.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published April 14, 2025.

Lauren Krugel, The Canadian Press

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Alaska

EPA waives Clean Air Act restrictions on high-sulfur diesel for the North Slope

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EPA waives Clean Air Act restrictions on high-sulfur diesel for the North Slope


The Environmental Protection Agency issued a temporary waiver Friday under the Clean Air Act for using diesel with higher sulfur levels above the Arctic Circle in Alaska. In a letter to Gov. Mike Dunleavy, EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin said the 20-day waiver was meant to address fuel supply disruptions caused by the war in the Middle East.

“It is in the public interest to take action to address the extreme and unusual supply circumstances that prevent distribution of an adequate supply,” Zeldin wrote in the letter.

The Clean Air Act requires the use of cleaner burning ultra-low-sulfur fuel in highway and non-road vehicles and equipment. The fuel produces fewer emissions and does not damage modern engines.

Zeldin said much of the equipment used above the Arctic Circle still has engines designed for high-sulfur diesel. He said that some North Slope topping refineries, which separate diesel from crude oil and produce heating oil, can produce high-sulfur diesel to power that machinery, which could reduce the demand for diesel hauled into the region.

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“Alaskans will no longer be forced to unnecessarily truck their fuel hundreds of miles across the state, and Alaskan families will feel lower prices at the pump,” Zeldin said in a prepared statement.

Fuel prices began to rise again earlier this month after the collapse of the ceasefire with Iran, with NPR reporting that prices were 86 cents higher per gallon than they were before the war. A new U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz means prices could climb even higher.

Under Secretary of Energy Kyle Haustveit said during a roundtable in Anchorage that the waiver will allow for the production of tens of thousands more barrels of diesel.

“These topping units that have been restricted from an emission standpoint can now run at a higher output capacity,” Haustveit said. “It’s going to bring more supply to market.”

Sen. Dan Sullivan applauded the waiver and said he had advocated for it to lower fuel prices. He said in a press release that the action will allow North Slope producers to put idle refining capacity to work.

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“Global fuel supply disruptions have been a significant challenge for Alaska communities, resulting in rising fuel prices,” Sen. Sullivan said in a prepared statement.

He said he measure “frees up Alaska-produced fuel to help put downward pressure on prices for hard-working Alaskans.”

The waiver is limited to highway and non-road vehicles and non-road equipment certified to operate on high-sulfur diesel fuel. It applies only above the Arctic Circle.

Copyright 2026 KNBA

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New Partnerships With State of Alaska & University of Alaska Fairbanks Expand on Critical Minerals & Energy Innovation – CleanTechnica

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New Partnerships With State of Alaska & University of Alaska Fairbanks Expand on Critical Minerals & Energy Innovation – CleanTechnica



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NLR Laboratory Director Jud Virden Signs Partnership Agreements at Alaska Sustainable Energy Conference in Anchorage

The National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR) signed two new memorandums of understanding (MOUs) on May 19 that aim to increase research and innovation in critical minerals, energy, and buildings in Alaska and the Arctic. These partnerships build on longstanding collaborations and are designed to tap into Alaska’s resources in a way that benefits both the state and the nation.

“Alaska faces unique challenges,” NLR Director Jud Virden said. “NLR is proud to partner with the state and its flagship university to develop and accelerate innovative solutions to Alaskan challenges and address our nation’s pressing needs in critical minerals, energy, and buildings.”

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At the Alaska Sustainable Energy Conference, joined by U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Assistant Secretary Audrey Robertson, Alaska’s governor Mike Dunleavy, and University of Alaska Fairbanks (UAF) leadership, Virden signed agreements that will make it easier for NLR to work with these key partners to scale solutions for the real world.

NLR is the only DOE national laboratory with a physical presence in Alaska, located adjacent to the University of Alaska Fairbanks campus. NLR’s Alaska research focuses on energy and building technologies in extreme climates and remote locations, as well as support for military, government, and communities in decreasing energy costs and improving reliability. Recent projects include an analysis of the state’s power grid to address declining natural gas supply within Alaska, an evaluation of methods to stabilize permafrost on military sites, and support for designing a secure, resilient facility on the Alaska-Canada border.

NLR’s Alaska Campus is the only national laboratory based in Alaska. NLR’s Alaska researchers focus on advancing energy in extreme climates and working with communities to tailor energy and building technologies to their needs. Photo by National Laboratory of the Rockies.

Through the MOU with the university, NLR gains access to UAF expertise in microgrids, engineering, and critical minerals—such as the Alaska Critical Minerals Collaborative, a research unit at UAF connecting government, industry, and researchers to advance critical mineral development across Alaska. The laboratory may also host students and fellows from UAF’s College of Engineering and School of Mines, Arctic engineering, geosciences, and other relevant programs, offering a training ground for the critical mineral workforce of the future.

On the flip side, NLR can provide access to advanced analysis tools, such as the ability to create digital twins of mines and microgrids with its Advanced Research on Integrated Energy Systems (ARIES) platform, and a wide range of capabilities in its new Energy Materials and Processing at Scale (EMAPS) facility that offers partners an entirely new model for “market-first” research: the ability to grow laboratory-scale innovations into scalable and validated market-relevant prototypes under a single roof.

“This partnership leverages the unique strengths of each of our organizations to create something that is greater than the sum of two parts,” UAF Interim Chancellor Mike Sfraga said.

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NLR’s agreement with the state is complementary in approach, paving the way for NLR and the state to coordinate resources, share research, and boost Alaska energy and critical mineral production.

“This agreement helps turn Alaska’s resources and know-how into practical solutions,” Gov. Dunleavy said. “By formally partnering with federal researchers who are already based in Alaska, we can lower energy costs, build infrastructure that works in Arctic conditions, strengthen domestic supply chains, and create good-paying jobs, especially in rural and remote communities. It puts Alaska at the center of solutions that matter to both our state and the nation.”

Learn more about NLR critical minerals research and collaborations.

By Molly Rettig, NLR


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Alaska

Natural gas supplies ‘not looking good’ for Southcentral Alaska this winter, Enstar says

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Natural gas supplies ‘not looking good’ for Southcentral Alaska this winter, Enstar says


Southcentral Alaska’s largest natural gas utility said Tuesday it might not have the gas to make it through this winter. That’s after state regulators last Wednesday denied Enstar’s request that would’ve expanded natural gas storage in Kenai, as the region faces a looming natural gas shortage.

Enstar president John Sims said it’s “not looking good” for the utility’s more than 150,000 Southcentral customers heading into the cold, winter months.

“Just to be very blunt, we need additional production in order to make it through this winter,” Sims said. “We are kind of turning over every stone possible and trying to find more gas resources.”

In the order, the Regulatory Commission of Alaska wrote they were “unsure about the timing of the need for additional natural gas storage capacity, including insertion and withdrawal capacity.”

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Enstar proposed developing and operating a depleted reservoir known as the Kenai Loop Pool that is currently leased and operated by AIX Energy, LLC., to store gas to use during the colder months.

The utility was seeking an “advanced determination” from RCA that it was prudent, which would allow the project to unlock financing for development, the order says. In its original filing, Enstar said that the project would help ensure there are enough supplies to meet the needs of its customers.

A search for other options

The commission denied the utility’s request in a 17-page order last Wednesday, saying the Department of Natural Resources hadn’t determined if the facility was capable of serving as a gas storage facility. Hilcorp has a competing application for the same storage facility, the order said.

The RCA didn’t respond to a request for comment Tuesday afternoon.

The facility would hold 25 billion cubic feet of gas, which Sims said is appropriately sized for the current supply needs and future natural gas imports.

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“The other benefit of having this storage facility right now is we can go to Furie, AIX, to all the small producers and even Hilcorp and say, ‘Hey, whatever volume of gas you produce, I can buy it.’ And I can store that into this storage facility for later use,” he said.

Longer term, utilities are looking to import natural gas, which would impose an unavoidable price increase to thousands of households and businesses. Legislators are currently in negotiations over a multibillion-dollar property tax break for the developer of the Alaska LNG project, Glenfarne. But it’s unknown if, or when, that project will be built.

According to the order, Enstar’s Kenai storage project garnered support from DNR, multiple state legislators and other regional electric utilities. However, some Anchorage-based property management companies said it was “inappropriate” for ratepayers to bear the cost of the project. The project’s $240 million price tag would’ve increased bills for customers by $10 to $12 per month, according to the filing.

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Sims said Enstar is filing a petition for the reconsideration of the ruling next week.

“Just in case the commission denies that request, yes, we are looking at other storage options,” he said. “Unfortunately, based on our analysis that we did before we filed with the commission, those options appear to be more expensive.”

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Sims said he’s hoping production and storage ramps up, but if it doesn’t, he said the utility may need to ask customers this winter to conserve supplies by lowering their thermostats.

___

This story was originally published by Alaska Public Media and distributed through a partnership with The Associated Press.





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