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Fox News Poll: Kemp leads Perdue in Georgia’s GOP primary race for governor

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Over a yr after narrowly shedding re-election to the U.S. Senate from Georgia, David Perdue finds himself trailing Gov. Brian Kemp by 11 factors within the Republican gubernatorial main contest.

That’s based on a brand new Fox Information Ballot of Georgia Republican main voters, launched Tuesday.

Kemp receives 50%, whereas Perdue, whom former President Donald Trump endorsed, garners 39% amongst GOP main voters.  Ten % are uncertain or would vote for another person.

Eight in ten view Trump favorably (79%) with 57% having a “strongly” favorable opinion. Two in ten view him negatively (19%).

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Among the many subgroup of these with a strongly favorable opinion of the previous president, sentiments shift in Perdue’s favor: 39% to Kemp and 52% for Perdue.  He trails far behind, nonetheless, amongst those that view Trump unfavorably: 70% Kemp vs. 15% Perdue.

Most demographic teams break for Kemp, though assist splits amongst very conservative voters (45% Kemp vs. 45% Perdue), White evangelical Christians (47%-44%), and rural voters (45%-45%).

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Curiosity within the election is excessive: Over 8 in 10 GOP main voters are “extraordinarily” (54%) or “very” (28%) .  Extraordinarily voters break for Perdue by 7 factors (49% Perdue-42% Kemp).

Amongst Republican main voters who’ve a strongly favorable opinion of Trump, 87% plan to undoubtedly vote within the Might 24 main and 65% are extraordinarily within the election.

“There may be extra power and curiosity within the election amongst voters who’re favorable in the direction of Trump, however that doesn’t seem like sufficient to propel Perdue to victory,” says Democrat Chris Anderson who conducts the Fox Information ballot with Republican Daron Shaw. “The issue for Perdue, and Trump, is that Kemp stays broadly widespread.  Trump is extra widespread, however he has not been capable of leverage his standing to decrease Kemp’s.”

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ENCOURAGED BY TRUMP, PERDUE LAUNCHES PRIMARY CHALLENGE AGAINST KEMP

Virtually 7 in 10 GOP main voters view each Kemp (68% favorable-28% unfavorable) and Perdue (66%-26%) favorably.

Roughly two-thirds of every candidate’s supporters are sure they’ll again their candidate within the Might main (65% for Kemp and 63% for Perdue), whereas a 3rd would possibly change their thoughts. 

The image within the Republican main for U.S. Senator is clearer: Herschel Walker, 1982 Heisman trophy-winning working again from the College of Georgia, is way forward of his opponents with 66% assist.  Present Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia, Gary Black, is available in a distant second at 8%, and all different candidates receiving 6% mixed.  Sixteen % are uncertain.

Final September, Trump backed Walker within the Georgia Senate race and voters with a positive view of Trump are twice as prone to assist Walker as these with an unfavorable opinion.

Whereas Walker has a large lead, there’s a gender hole:  60% of girls desire the gridiron star vs. 73% of males.  Nevertheless, that isn’t as a result of girls are supporting different candidates — twice as many ladies (21%) as males (11%) are undecided about their decide within the Senate main. 

CLICK HERE FOR TOPLINE AND CROSSTABS RESULTS

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In relation to what points are essential to voters relating to their Senate decide, most say financial points (93% extraordinarily or crucial), adopted by immigration points (86%), social points (75%), and in a distant final place are COVID-19 insurance policies (54%).

“If you take a look at the problems and the vote preferences, there’s a slight wrinkle in Georgia: Republican main voters are targeted on the financial system and immigration, which ought to profit candidates from the Trump wing of the occasion,” says Shaw. “And also you see this with Walker, however Kemp — to this point — is holding off Perdue within the gubernatorial contest.”

Performed March 2-6, 2022 underneath the joint course of Beacon Analysis (D) and Shaw & Firm Analysis (R), this Fox Information Ballot consists of phone interviews (landline and cellphone) with reside interviewers amongst 914 Georgia Republican main voters and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three share factors.  Randomly chosen from a statewide voter file of registered Georgia voters, respondents had been screened to determine potential members within the Republican main elections.

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