Virginia

Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia

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LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Louisville (13-5, 6-1 ACC) is set to face Virginia (8-9, 1-5 ACC) on Saturday, Jan. 18 at 12:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky. Here’s how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Virginia

Louisville

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AP/USAT

NR/NR

RV/RV

SOS

39th

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6th

SOR

123rd

27th

BPI

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111th

40th

NET

139th

28th

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RPI

129th

14th

KenPom

132nd

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30th

Torvik

122nd

29th

EvanMiya

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134th

27th

Virginia

Louisville

Points

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Isaac McKneely (11.9)

Chucky Hepburn (15.6)

Rebounds

Jacob Cofie (5.4)

J’Vonne Hadley (7.8)

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Assists

Andrew Rohde (3.5)

Chucky Hepburn (5.7)

Steals

Andrew Rohde (1.3)

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Chucky Hepburn (2.5)

Blocks

Blake Buchanan (1.1)

James Scott (0.8)

Virginia

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Louisville

Points Per Game

61.0

78.2

Field Goal %

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42.7%

43.7%

FGM/FGA Per Game

21.6/50.6

26.4/60.5

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Three Point %

35.5%

30.9%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

7.7/21.7

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9.6/30.9

Free Throw %

75.4%

72.4

FTM/FTA Per Game

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10.1/13.4

15.8/21.8

Virginia

Louisville

Rebounds Per Game

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30.7

38.5

Off. Reb. Per Game

6.9

12.7

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Def. Reb. Per Game

23.8

25.8

Rebound Margin

-3.1

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5.2

Virginia

Louisville

Opp. Points Per Game

63.4

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69.7

Opp. FG%

41.1%

43.7%

Opp. 3PT%

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32.5%

34.8%

Steals Per Game

5.1

6.9

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Blocks Per Game

3.9

3.0

Turnovers Forced Per Game

9.6

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13.5

Virginia

Louisville

Assists Per Game

14.2

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13.7

Turnovers Per Game

11.0

11.6

Turnovers Margin

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-1.4

1.9

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.3

1.2

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– ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 87.8 percent chance to win against Virginia. The Cardinals have a BPI rating of 12.1 (40th overall), whereas the Cavaliers have a BPI rating of 3.3 (111th overall).

– KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 90 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 71-57 in favor of Louisville. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +19.32 (30th overall), whereas Virginia has an adjusted efficiency margin of +2.35 (132nd overall).

– Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 91 percent chance to take down the Hoos, with a projected final score of 69-56 in favor of Louisville. Louisville has a “Barthag” of .8957 (29th overall), whereas Virginia has a “Barthag” of .5931 (122nd overall).

(Photo of Noah Waterman: Mark Konezny – Imagn Images)

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