Oklahoma vs. Iowa State Predictions & Picks – Women's Big 12 Tournament

Monday’s game between the No. 19 Oklahoma Sooners (22-8) and the Iowa State Cyclones (19-10) at T-Mobile Center has a projected final score of 74-70 based on our computer prediction, with Oklahoma securing the victory. Game time is at 2:30 PM ET on March 11.

The Sooners came out on top in their most recent outing 69-53 against TCU on Saturday.

The Sooners head into this matchup following a 69-53 win against TCU on Saturday. The Cyclones enter this game following a 67-62 win over Baylor on Saturday. Sahara Williams’ team-leading 17 points led the Sooners in the win. Audi Crooks’ team-high 23 points paced the Cyclones in the win.

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Oklahoma vs. Iowa State Game Info

• When: Monday, March 11, 2024 at 2:30 PM ET
• Where: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN2

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Oklahoma vs. Iowa State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Oklahoma 74, Iowa State 70

Top 25 Predictions

Oklahoma Schedule Analysis

• The Sooners’ best win this season came against the Texas Longhorns, a team ranked inside the AP’s Top 25 (No. 6). The Sooners secured the 91-87 win on the road on January 24.
• The Sooners have eight Quadrant 1 wins, tied for the eighth-most in the country. But they also have seven Quadrant 1 losses, tied for the 50th-most.
• Oklahoma has seven wins against Quadrant 2 teams, tied for the 10th-most in the country.

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Oklahoma 2023-24 Best Wins

• 91-87 on the road over Texas (No. 6/AP Poll) on January 24
• 71-70 at home over Texas (No. 6/AP Poll) on February 28
• 66-63 at home over Kansas State (No. 16/AP Poll) on January 31
• 84-73 at home over Baylor (No. 17/AP Poll) on February 14
• 80-70 on the road over Ole Miss (No. 29) on November 9

Iowa State Schedule Analysis

• When the Cyclones beat the Kansas State Wildcats (No. 16 in the AP’s Top 25) on February 14 by a score of 96-93, it was their best win of the season so far.
• The Cyclones have six Quadrant 1 wins, tied for the 18th-most in the country. But they also have seven Quadrant 1 losses, tied for the 50th-most.
• Against Quadrant 2 teams, Iowa State is 4-3 (.571%) — tied for the 41st-most wins.
• Based on the RPI, the Sooners have four wins over Quadrant 3 opponents, tied for the 120th-most in Division 1.

Iowa State 2023-24 Best Wins

• 96-93 at home over Kansas State (No. 16/AP Poll) on February 14
• 82-76 on the road over Kansas State (No. 16/AP Poll) on February 28
• 67-62 over Baylor (No. 17/AP Poll) on March 9
• 66-63 at home over Baylor (No. 17/AP Poll) on January 13
• 74-64 at home over West Virginia (No. 21) on January 10

Oklahoma Leaders

• Skylar Vann: 14.8 PTS, 7.2 REB, 1.1 STL, 46.1 FG%, 29.6 3PT% (34-for-115)
• Payton Verhulst: 12.4 PTS, 1.2 STL, 39.9 FG%, 35.2 3PT% (50-for-142)
• Nevaeh Tot: 6.8 PTS, 1.3 STL, 36.8 FG%, 31.6 3PT% (37-for-117)
• Lexy Keys: 8.9 PTS, 1.6 STL, 45 FG%, 39.7 3PT% (56-for-141)
• Williams: 9.9 PTS, 45.4 FG%, 19.7 3PT% (13-for-66)

Iowa State Leaders

• Addy Brown: 13.4 PTS, 8.4 REB, 47.3 FG%, 37.3 3PT% (44-for-118)
• Crooks: 18.4 PTS, 7.5 REB, 58.3 FG%, 33.3 3PT% (4-for-12)
• Emily Ryan: 10.3 PTS, 6.5 AST, 1.2 STL, 47.6 FG%, 34.8 3PT% (16-for-46)
• Hannah Belanger: 9.4 PTS, 38.4 FG%, 37.4 3PT% (65-for-174)
• Kelsey Joens: 5.3 PTS, 36.5 FG%, 37.2 3PT% (35-for-94)

Oklahoma Performance Insights

• The Sooners average 77.1 points per game (24th in college basketball) while giving up 68.3 per outing (265th in college basketball). They have a +264 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 8.8 points per game.
• In conference tilts, Oklahoma tallies fewer points per contest (75.5) than its season average (77.1).
• The Sooners are putting up 79.9 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 1.9 more points than they’re averaging in road games (78).
• In 2023-24, Oklahoma is giving up 64.7 points per game at home. In away games, it is allowing 73.8.
• The Sooners have seen an increase in scoring recently, putting up 78.9 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.8 points more than the 77.1 they’ve scored this season.

Iowa State Performance Insights

• The Cyclones’ +205 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 75 points per game (36th in college basketball) while giving up 67.9 per contest (258th in college basketball).
• In conference action, Iowa State is scoring fewer points (73.2 per game) than it is overall (75) in 2023-24.
• The Cyclones average 79.3 points per game at home, and 72.5 away.
• At home Iowa State is conceding 65.3 points per game, 5.5 fewer points than it is away (70.8).
• The Cyclones are scoring 74.7 points per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer points than their average for the season (75).

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