Will it be a cool autumn in NC this year? See Old Farmer’s Almanac fall 2025 forecast

• The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts a warmer than average fall for 2025, especially in the western U.S.
• North Carolina’s Appalachian region is expected to have a cooler and drier September, while the Southeast region will be warmer and drier.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac issues seasonal forecasts every year. In early July, the publication’s fall 2025 forecasts arrived.

An overall warmer-than-average fall season was predicted by the Old Farmer’s Almanac for 2025 – though this temperature prediction applied more to the western half of the U.S. The almanac also advised residents of areas from California to Florida and up to Maine to be prepared for below-average rainfall.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac makes predictions for North Carolina in two separate regions including the Appalachians and the Southeast. Here’s what predictions say about fall in the Tar Heel State circa 2025.

When does fall start?

The fall equinox arrives in the Northern Hemisphere at 2:19 p.m. on Monday, Sept. 22, 2025.

Will fall 2025 be cold?

The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicted that the following regions would be cooler than normal this fall:

• The Northeast
• Appalachians
• The Lower Lakes
• Ohio Valley
• Upper Midwest
• Desert Southwest
• Hawaii

And the following regions would be warmer than normal:

• Atlantic Corridor
• Southeast
• Florida
• Deep South
• Heartland
• Texas-Oklahoma
• High Plains
• Intermountain
• Pacific Northwest
• Pacific Southwest
• Alaska

North Carolina fall weather 2025

In the Southeast, the almanac predicts that September and October will be warmer and drier than normal:

• September – Average temperature of 78 degrees, 4 inches of rain, mostly warm, stormy conditions with a cooler finish.=
• October – Average temperature of 64 degrees, 1.5 inches of rain, sunny and warm early, with light showers mid-month and a cooler end

In the Appalachian regions of the country, including much of Western N.C., September will be cooler and drier than normal:

• September – Average temperature of 65 degrees, 3 inches of rain, sunny, warm days early followed by thunderstorms mid-month, then cooler with regional variations later in the month
• October – Average temperature of 53 degrees, 2.5 inches of rain, cool with scattered showers early to mid-month, then dry and warming towards the end of the month

How does the Old Farmer’s Almanac make predictions?

According to its website, the Old Farmer’s Almanac makes its predictions by comparing solar activity with weather patterns. The almanac says it uses multiple academic disciplines for its predictions, including solar science, climatology and meteorology.

How accurate are the Old Farmer’s Almanac’s predictions?

The Old Farmer’s Almanac, which is slightly different from the Farmers’ Almanac, claims an 80% accuracy rate on its predictions.

In a report analyzing the success of its predictions for winter 2023-24, the almanac said its total accuracy rate for the season was 64%. The publication attributed the lower rate to “abnormal recent weather patterns.”

Iris Seaton is the trending news reporter for the Asheville Citizen Times, part of the USA TODAY Network. Reach her at iseaton@citizentimes.com.