Mississippi
Where Mississippi State baseball stands in bid for SEC tournament bye ahead of Missouri series
STARKVILLE — One week remains in the college baseball regular season, and Mississippi State does not know yet which seed it will land in the SEC tournament.
The Bulldogs (31-20, 12-15 SEC) have won five of their past six SEC games. Even after firing coach Chris Lemonis on April 28, they can finish at .500 in the conference. It would be their first consecutive seasons with at least a .500 conference record since 2018 and 2019.
That would require sweeping Missouri (16-35, 3-24) on the road beginning on May 15 (6 p.m., SEC Network+).
Here’s where Mississippi State is in the SEC standings for the final week of the season.
Where Mississippi State baseball is in SEC standings
The Bulldogs are in 13th place with a 12-15 conference record. They are ahead of Missouri (3-24), South Carolina (5-22) and Texas A&M (10-17). If the regular season ended today, they would play No. 12 seed Kentucky on May 20 (12:30 p.m., SEC Network).
Can Mississippi State still get a bye in the SEC tournament?
Only three games separate seventh place from Mississippi State at 13th place. Mississippi State can finish as high as tied for eighth, the lowest seed with a first-round bye, but it’s unlikely to win tiebreakers.
Mississippi State cannot reach the seventh or eighth seed if Tennessee gets at least one win at Arkansas.
An MSU sweep of Missouri combined with Arkansas sweeping Tennessee could form a tie between the Bulldogs and Volunteers. Tennessee would win the tiebreaker because of its better record against common opponents.
MSU could be in three-way ties for the No. 8 seed with Tennessee (15-12) and combinations of Alabama (15-12), Ole Miss (14-13), Florida (13-14), Oklahoma (13-14) or Kentucky (13-14). However, it wouldn’t win any of those tiebreaker scenarios.
Four- and five-way ties are also possible. Even a six-way tie could happen. It gets increasingly complicated with more teams tied.
The first tiebreaker for three or more teams is record against the tied teams, followed by record against common opponents. The third tiebreaker is record against the highest seed of common opponents, proceeding through the entire standings. MSU is not situated well if a tiebreaker reaches that level because it was swept by No. 1 seed Texas and No. 3 seed LSU.
What’s the lowest seed Mississippi State can be in the SEC tournament?
Texas A&M could jump Mississippi State in the standings, but it would have to win its series at Georgia, and MSU would need to get swept by Missouri. MSU holds the tiebreaker over Texas A&M because of its record against common opponents.
That means No. 14 is the lowest seed MSU can be in the SEC tournament.
Sam Sklar is the Mississippi State beat reporter for the Clarion Ledger. Email him at ssklar@gannett.com and follow him on X @sklarsam_.