Mississippi State’s 2022 Schedule Is Statistically Too Difficult for Most FBS Top 25 Teams

Mississippi State soccer is taken into account to have probably the most tough 2022 schedule within the nation, however a brand new set of statistics reveals simply how a lot work the Bulldogs may have lower out for them.

A lot of MSU’s foes — which embrace the complete SEC West, a number of non-conference opponents and Georgia and Kentucky of the SEC East– are heading into the 2022 season with unimaginable expertise and excessive expectations. In response to statistics produced by KFord Scores, the MSU’s slate of opponents could be tough for even the highest groups within the nation to deal with with ease.

A typical Prime-25 crew would solely stand a 0.1 % probability of going undefeated towards Mississippi State’s opponents. Auburn is the one crew within the nation that’s perceived to have a barely more durable schedule — groups have a 0.08 % probability of going undefeated towards the Tigers’ opponents, however the share is rounded to 0.1.

Even profitable 10 video games towards Mississippi State’s regular-season opponents could be a tricky job for many groups within the FBS Prime 25. Solely 9 % of ranked groups might make it by means of the Bulldogs’ schedule and stroll away with 10 wins and simply two losses. Maybe it is as a result of State has the unlucky luck of getting to face each groups who competed in final season’s nationwide championship: Alabama and Georgia.

As soon as once more, MSU is second on the checklist by way of the potential of nationally-ranked groups profitable 9 video games towards its opponents. Roughly 29 % of FBS Prime 25 groups might do it — mathematically, that implies that simply seven different groups would have the ability to pull it off. That quantity does change drastically in terms of eight wins, as KFord Scores analyzes that 57 % of high-caliber groups might go 8-4 with the Bulldogs’ schedule.

Lastly, Mississippi State has the fourth-toughest path to bowl eligibility in 2022, behind solely LSU, Georgia Tech and Auburn. 95 % of common FBS Prime 25 groups would have the ability to decide up at the very least six wins towards everything of MSU’s regular-season schedule.

Whereas the 4 non-conference video games that the Bulldogs will play this coming season ought to end in victories, the vast majority of the SEC is anticipated to be a vicious gauntlet as soon as once more. Mississippi State has been listed as a possible Prime 25 crew by a number of shops forward of the season, so the Bulldogs will hopefully have the ability to compete pretty properly and have a profitable season total.