In Mississippi, GOP aims to hang on to statewide majority

Mississippi is deciding 4 U.S. Home races, with incumbents on the poll in three. The longest-serving member of the state’s present congressional delegation is Democratic Rep. Bennie Thompson, chairman of the Home Homeland Safety Committee and of the Home choose committee investigating the Jan. 6, 2021, assault on the U.S. Capitol. Thompson was first elected in 1993 within the 2nd District in western Mississippi.

He faces the identical Republican he defeated in 2020, navy veteran Brian Flowers. Within the northern 1st District, Republican Rep. Trent Kelly was first elected in 2015. He faces Democrat Dianne Black, a enterprise proprietor. Within the central third District, Republican Rep. Michael Visitor was first elected in 2018. He faces Democrat Shuwaski Younger, a navy veteran.

Within the southern 4th District, Republican Rep. Steven Palazzo, first elected in 2010, misplaced the GOP major in June to Mike Ezell, a sheriff. Ezell faces Democrat Johnny DuPree, a former mayor who was the 2011 Democratic nominee for governor, and a Libertarian candidate, Alden Patrick Johnson.

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Right here’s a take a look at what to anticipate on election evening:

Election Evening

Polls shut at 7 p.m. native time (8 p.m. ET).

How Mississippi Votes

Republicans maintain all statewide places of work in Mississippi, together with the governorship and each U.S. Senate seats. In addition they maintain extensive majorities within the state Home and Senate, which aren’t on the poll this yr. Throughout redistricting this yr, legislators didn’t make main modifications to the 4 U.S. Home districts. Three of the districts are majority-white and one is majority-Black. Mississippi has a historical past of racially polarized voting, with Republicans extra prone to win in areas with increased concentrations of white voters and Democrats extra prone to win in majority-Black districts.

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Determination Notes

AP will tabulate and declare winners in 5 contested elections in Mississippi, together with 4 U.S. Home races and one particular state Home race. Within the 2020 common election, AP first reported outcomes at 8:18 p.m. ET Tuesday, Nov. 3, and 100% of outcomes at 8:29 a.m. ET on Thursday, Nov. 5.

The AP doesn’t make projections and can solely declare a winner when it’s decided there isn’t any situation that might permit the trailing candidates to shut the hole.

Ought to a candidate declare victory or provide a concession earlier than the AP calls a race, we are going to cowl newsworthy developments in our reporting. In doing so, we are going to clarify that the AP has not declared a winner and clarify why.

The AP could name a statewide or U.S. Home race during which the margin between the highest two candidates is 0.5% or much less, if we decide the lead is just too massive for a recount to vary the end result.

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The AP is not going to name down-ballot races on election evening if the margin between the highest two candidates is lower than 2%. AP will revisit these races later within the week to verify there will not be sufficient excellent votes left to rely that might change the end result.

What Else Ought to I Know?

Q: What’s Modified Because the Pandemic Election of 2020?

A: Not a lot when it comes to how Mississippi votes. The state stays primarily a spot of in-person voting, with no early voting and no no-excuse voting by mail.

Q: What Do Turnout and Advance Vote Look Like?

A: Whole advance vote doubtless will return to lower than 10% of the overall vote after spiking in 2020 to almost 20% attributable to Covid exceptions for absentee voting. With no statewide races and no aggressive Home races, turnout can be low. It was about 11% for the June 2022 major. Absentee and abroad ballots have to be returned or postmarked by Election Day to be counted.

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Q: How Lengthy Does Counting Often Take?

A: Mississippi usually doesn’t rely all its votes on election evening, however the share of uncounted votes shouldn’t be as excessive as November 2020 when solely 83% of the overall vote was accomplished election day.

Q: What Occurs After Tuesday?

A: Mississippi legislation doesn’t present for automated recounts. Anybody who needs to contest an election should go to court docket.