Mississippi
College Basketball Odds, Picks, Prediction for LSU vs Mississippi State
LSU vs Mississippi State Odds
Closing out Wednesday’s motion within the Southeastern Convention, Mississippi State appears to be like so as to add to its successful streak by beating LSU on the Humphrey Coliseum.
The Bulldogs have racked up three straight victories to enter this matchup with a 15-7 report general and a 3-7 mark within the SEC.
In the meantime, the Tigers have struggled since getting into convention motion, dropping 10 straight to take a seat at 12-11 on the yr.
In a recreation with main postseason ramifications, we must always have two determined groups which are on the lookout for a win below first-year head coaches.
Head coach Matt McMahon’s debut season in Baton Rouge was off to an important begin after he picked up 11 wins all through the nonconference schedule. Nevertheless, this system has gained simply as soon as since, which got here all the way in which again on Dec. 28.
The struggles have actually proven on the highway, the place the common margin of defeat within the SEC has been 17.2 factors per recreation. The Tigers have additionally allowed a mean of 79.2 PPG in these losses.
Even within the workforce’s poor performances, ahead KJ Williams has been a brilliant star for LSU. He enters this recreation because the league’s third-best scorer at 16.7 PPG.
He additionally leads the Tigers in rebounding at 7.6 RPG, which goes to be very key on this matchup in opposition to Mississippi State massive man Tolu Smith.
Similarly to McMahon, Bulldogs head coach Chris Jans’ regime at his new college additionally obtained off to a flying begin. He opened the season with 11 straight wins earlier than stumbling to open SEC play.
Nevertheless, the Bulldogs have responded with victories over No. 17 TCU, Missouri and South Carolina.
After this successful run, MSU has moved as much as forty sixth within the NET rankings, which provides this system an opportunity to make the NCAA Match below its new coach.
The Bulldogs’ calling card this season has been their play on the defensive finish of the ground, the place they rank inside the highest 20 in adjusted defensive effectivity (eleventh), efficient discipline purpose proportion (fifteenth), forcing turnovers (twelfth) and defending 2-pointers (sixteenth), in accordance with BartTorvik.
That is additionally the identical squad that ranks forty second in opponent 3-point proportion.
Smith leads MSU on offense, and he was named SEC Participant of the Week final week after averaging 20 PPG and 10 RPG. The veteran heart leads the convention in discipline purpose proportion (58.3%) to associate with averages of 14.9 PPG and eight.4 RPG this season.
LSU vs Mississippi State Betting Choose
Once I take a look at the percentages for this matchup, I’m not able to again Mississippi State to win by double figures. However I’m additionally not working to the window to again LSU away from residence.
As an alternative, I’m concentrating on a play within the opening half of the sport. My finest guess is for the first-half whole to fall below 58.5 or higher.
The Tigers’ points have been effectively documented in SEC play, however they’re magnified within the opening intervals of contests. LSU has averaged simply 26.4 PPG within the first half of convention highway video games, which isn’t good when it’s going through a Bulldog squad that ranks third within the nation in first-half factors allowed.
During the last six residence video games, MSU has held opponents to only 23.3 PPG, which is a stretch that features No. 6 Tennessee, No. 3 Alabama, No. 17 TCU and a high-scoring Missouri workforce. This identical guess would have cashed in 4 of these matchups and in 70% of all Bulldogs video games this season.
Tempo can also be key when betting totals, and each of those packages prefer to play at a sluggish tempo. The Tigers rank 268th in tempo, KenPom, whereas Mississippi State is even slower at 329th.
If I had been to choose a aspect, it will be the house workforce within the first half. However I’ll stick to this whole in a slow-starting contest.
Choose: 1H Below 58.5 or Higher
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