2023 ReliaQuest Bowl prediction, odds: Mississippi State vs. Illinois picks, best bets from proven model

Groups trying to end their seasons on a excessive observe conflict when the Mississippi State Bulldogs battle the Illinois Preventing Illini within the 2023 ReliaQuest Bowl on Monday. The Bulldogs (8-4), who tied for third with Ole Miss within the SEC West at 4-4 beneath the late coach Mike Leach, want to win their tenth bowl recreation since 1999, and second in three years. The Preventing Illini (8-4), who tied for second with Iowa and Minnesota within the Huge Ten West at 5-4, are on the lookout for their first bowl win since 2011. This will likely be Illinois’ first bowl look since 2019. 

Kickoff from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla, is ready for midday ET. The all-time collection is tied 1-1, with Mississippi State incomes a 28-21 win of their final assembly in 1980. The Bulldogs are 2.5-point favorites within the newest Mississippi State vs. Illinois odds from Caesars Sportsbook, whereas the over/beneath for whole factors scored is ready at 46. Earlier than locking in any Illinois vs. Mississippi State picks, be sure you take a look at the faculty soccer predictions and betting recommendation from the SportsLine Projection Mannequin.

The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each FBS school soccer recreation 10,000 instances. Over the previous six-plus years, the proprietary laptop mannequin has generated a shocking revenue of just about $2,500 for $100 gamers on its top-rated school soccer picks towards the unfold. Anybody who has adopted it has seen enormous returns.

Now, the mannequin has locked in on Illinois vs. Mississippi State and simply revealed its ReliaQuest Bowl 2023 predictions. You’ll be able to head to SportsLine to see the mannequin’s picks. Listed here are the CFB odds and betting strains for Mississippi State vs. Illinois:

• Mississippi State vs. Illinois unfold: Mississippi State -2.5
• Mississippi State vs. Illinois over/beneath: 46 factors
• Mississippi State vs. Illinois cash line: Mississippi State -140, Illinois +118
• MSU: The Bulldogs are 3-0-1 towards the unfold of their final 4 non-conference video games
• ILL: The Preventing Illini are 9-2-1 ATS vs. a group with a profitable file
• Mississippi State vs. Illinois picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Mississippi State can cowl

Junior quarterback Will Rogers will look to spark the offense after a strong common season. In 12 video games behind heart, he accomplished 386 of 566 passes (68.2%) for 3,713 yards and 34 touchdowns with simply six interceptions and a score of 141. He has thrown for 300 or extra yards seven instances, together with a season-high 450 yards in a 49-23 season-opening win over Memphis. In that recreation, he accomplished 38 of 49 passes (77.6%) for 5 touchdowns and one interception. He has thrown 11 touchdowns over the previous 4 video games, together with 5 in a 56-7 win over East Tennessee State on Nov. 19.

With sophomore receiver Rara Thomas within the switch portal, redshirt senior Caleb Ducking will likely be amongst these prepared to select up the slack. Ducking completed the common season with 44 receptions for 467 yards (10.6 common) and eight touchdowns. He is had at the least two receptions in each recreation, together with a seven-catch, 96-yard and two landing efficiency towards Bowling Inexperienced in a 45-14 win on Sept. 24. He additionally had seven catches for 56 yards and a pair of scores in a 39-17 win at Arizona on Sept. 10.

Why Illinois can cowl

Regardless of that, the Bulldogs are usually not a lock to cowl the Mississippi State vs. Illinois unfold. That is as a result of the Preventing Illini are led by senior quarterback Tommy DeVito, who ranks third within the nation at 69.9% in completions. His 142.3 passer score is on tempo to interrupt the Illini file of 141.6 set by Wes Lunt in 2014. For the 12 months, he has accomplished 234 of 335 passes for two,397 yards and 15 touchdowns with 4 interceptions. He accomplished 24 of 32 passes (75%) for 332 yards and three touchdowns in a 31-0 win over Tennessee-Chattanooga on Sept. 22.

The nation’s second-leading rusher, junior Chase Brown, is not going to play after declaring for the NFL Draft. In his place will likely be sophomore working again Reggie Love III and senior again Chase Hayden. Love carried 59 instances for 277 yards (4.7 common) and two touchdowns, whereas Hayden carried 22 instances for 87 yards (4.0 common). Within the season finale at Northwestern, Love confirmed off his expertise, carrying 11 instances for 85 yards (7.7 common) and one landing.

The way to make Illinois vs. Mississippi State picks

The mannequin is leaning Below on the whole, projecting 43 mixed factors. It additionally says one aspect of the unfold hits over 60% of the time. You’ll be able to see who to again at SportsLine.

So who wins Mississippi State vs. Illinois? And which aspect of the unfold hits over 60% of the time? Go to SportsLine proper now to see which aspect of the unfold to again, all from the superior mannequin that has been crushing its top-rated school soccer picks, and discover out.