Maryland vs Alabama Odds, Picks | NCAA Tournament Betting Preview

Maryland vs Alabama Odds

To cap off the Saturday slate within the Spherical of 32, we’ve bought a standalone sport within the South Area, the place the Maryland Terrapins will look to tug off the upset towards the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Remarkably, the Crimson Tide scored 96 factors of their win, however NBA lottery decide Brandon Miller didn’t rating a single level. It’s not the most effective thought to overreact, however this tells me Alabama can get main manufacturing from different areas with out leaning on its star.

This can be dangerous information for the Terrapins, who want to clinch a spot within the Candy 16 for the primary time since 2016. As a lot love as I’ve for Alabama, I believe this Terps group is getting ignored by everybody within the nation.

Let’s see what betting angle we will dig up by breaking down these groups.

I used to be very impressed with Maryland’s efficiency on Thursday afternoon, because it got here again from a number of deficits to defeat a gritty West Virginia group. The query heading into this matchup is whether or not or not the Terps have the potential to decelerate this explosive Alabama offense.

They do.

Though it fires a ton of 3s per sport, Alabama is just 169th in 3-point proportion, which is an space the Terps defend notably properly.

Even when Alabama decides to restrict the variety of 3s it takes, Maryland additionally defend properly inside. Lengthy story brief, this Terps group doesn’t foul fairly often and has the chops to comprise this explosive offense.

Nonetheless, I believe this matchup will come right down to the Terps’ offensive assault. Factors might come at a premium right here.

Maryland likes to assault on the within, however Alabama is the highest group within the nation in opposing 2-point proportion, so the Terrapins are going to need to hit just a few photographs from the surface if they need a shot of pulling off the upset.  Maryland ranks 219th nationally from deep, whereas the Tide rank third defensively on this space.

If the Terps need to pull off the upset right here, they’re going to want to proceed to depend on their robust protection and hope to get out in transition as usually as potential. That can stop the Tide from organising their protection within the half-court.

This Alabama group is in the most effective place to win the nationwide title out of any group remaining within the area. It’s not the boldest take, however with the harm conditions surrounding the UCLA and Houston applications, it’s arms down the favourite getting into Saturday.

The Tide can beat their opponents in so some ways. They’re one of many deepest groups within the nation, and their explosive offense can blow anyone out of the health club inside minutes. Bama enters this matchup with a top-20 rank in each offensive and defensive adjusted effectivity.

I spoke concerning the elite Alabama protection when breaking down the Terps, however I believe it’s an space that’s slept on by the general public. Everyone talks about how explosive this offense is, and rightfully so. Nonetheless, its capability to defend on the perimeter and contained in the paint will give any elite offense a headache.

I believe Alabama will outshine the Terps offensively, however the one space it appears to wrestle with is turnovers. If Maryland’s protection performs as much as its full potential and the Tide are their standard careless selves with the basketball, the Terps might have a area day.

Nonetheless, Alabama likes to get out in transition and put up a ton of 3s, so if it turns this sport right into a observe meet, it is likely to be an extended evening for the Terps.

Maryland vs Alabama Betting Choose

I’m a bit involved concerning the Terps’ capability to shoot from behind the arc, however I nonetheless assume that is too many factors to go up. KenPom makes this sport Alabama -6, so the actual fact we will get the Terps at +8.5 right here looks as if first rate worth.

This Terps protection is nice sufficient to comprise this Alabama offense, and I believe they’ll have the ability to get out in transition early and sometimes by forcing turnovers. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Kevin Willard come out with some early press and traps to decelerate this Alabama offense and put it in uncomfortable conditions.

The dearth of depth for the Terps is type of scary, however I like the variety of factors we’re getting right here to cap off Saturday night.

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