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Kentucky Derby 2024: Formulas for weekend’s 4 points preps

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Kentucky Derby 2024: Formulas for weekend’s 4 points preps


The Fountain of Youth, the San Felipe and the John Battaglia
Memorial traditionally are held around this time of the winter. We may not have
known it at the time, but the eventual Kentucky Derby winner three of the last
four years came through one of these points preps.

Authentic won the Grade 2 San Felipe in 2020 at Santa Anita on his way
through the outbreak of a human pandemic and a six-month wait before he took
the Derby at an empty Churchill Downs.

Click here for entries and results at all tracks.

Rich Strike earned one qualifying point in the 2022 John
Battaglia Memorial at Turfway Park. If not for that bob of the head against Erase, he would not
have finished fourth, would not have gotten that all-important point, would not
have been an also-eligible entrant in Louisville and would not have drawn in the
day before he was the 80-1 winner of the Derby.

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It was not such a razor’s edge for Mage, but he also
finished fourth in his late-winter prep last year at Gulfstream Park. From that result in the
Fountain of Youth (G2) through a runner-up finish in the Florida Derby (G1), he
would pull off the 15-1 upset last year in Louisville.

The Gotham (G3) is the lone outlier this weekend. Secretariat
won at Aqueduct on his way through the 1973 Triple Crown to the Hall of Fame.
He is still the only graduate of the Aqueduct race to win the Derby.

Recent histories for these four races reveal not only how
important they are on the road to the Derby but also the styles that do well in
each race.

Fountain of Youth

Fourteen horses who finished first in the Fountain of Youth went
on to win the roses in Louisville. That is a record for a Derby prep currently
run in the winter.

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The table here shows Derby starters who came out of the
Fountain of Youth since 2000. The higher the number in the Quirin Speed Points, the more
likely the horse was to lead in the first turn. E means early speed through the
first half of the race, E/P an early presser indicate of a stalking style, P for
pressers running in mid-pack and S for a sustained run typical of closers.

Year  Horse Quirin FoY Derby
2023 Mage E 6 4th 1st
  Rocket Can P 6 2nd 9th
  Cyclone Mischief E/P 6 3rd 18th
2022 Simplification E/P 4 1st 4th
2021        
2020        
2019 Code of Honor S 2 1st *2nd
  Vekoma E/P 5 3rd *12th
2018 Good Magic P 4 3rd 2nd
  Promises Fulfilled E 8 1st 15th
2017 Practical Joke P 3 2nd 5th
  Gunnevera S 1 1st 7th
  Irish War Cry E/P 8 7th 10th
2016 Mohaymen E/P 6 1st 4th
2015 Frosted E/P 4 4th 4th
  Itsaknockout P 4 *1st 9th
  Frammento S 0 3rd 11th
  Upstart E/P 7 **2nd 18th
2014 Medal Count P 3 5th 8th
  We Miss Artie P 3 8th 10th
  General a Rod E/P 8 2nd 11th
  Wildcat Red E 8 1st 18th
2013 Orb P 2 1st 1st
2012 Union Rags P 2 1st 7th
2011 Shackleford E 6 5th 4th
  Soldat E/P 5 1st 11th
2010 Ice Box P 3 5th 2nd
  Jackson Bend E/P 5 2nd 12th
2009        
2008 Anak Nakal P 1 8th 7th
  Court Vision S 3 3rd 13th
  Z Humor E/P 5 4th 14th
  Cool Coal Man E/P 5 1st 15th
  Adriano P 3 9th 19th
  Monba E/P 3 12th 20th
2007 Nobiz Like Shobiz E 7 3rd 10th
  Scat Daddy E/P 5 1st 18th
  Stormello E/P 8 2nd 19th
2006 Jazil S 2 7th 4th
  Flashy Bull E/P 5 *2nd 14th
2005 High Fly E/P 6 1st 10th
  Bandini E/P 6 2nd 19th
2004 Read the Footnotes E/P 6 1st 7th
2003 Ten Cents a Shine S 2 6th 8th
  Offlee Wild E/P 4 4th 12th
  Supah Blitz P 1 2nd 13th
2002 Harlan’s Holiday P 3 2nd 7th
  Blue Burner S 0 3rd 11th
2001 Songandaprayer E 8 1st 13th
  Talk Is Money E/P 5 10th DNF
2000 Deputy Warlock S 0 7th 10th
  High Yield E 8 1st 15th
  Hal’s Hope E 7 2nd 16th
    *Promoted 1 place      
  **DQ’d from 1st    

Mage ended a long drought for the race currently run at 1
1/16 miles around two turns at Gulfstream Park. Orb in 2013 was the only horse
between 1996 and 2022 was the only Derby winner to come out of the prep.

Closers like Grade 1 winner Locked, the 5-2 second choice on
Saturday’s morning line, have done well lately in the Fountain of Youth. It
might be a stretch to call 2023 victor Forte a closer, but he was the third
consecutive winner to rally from at least fifth place. He also was the third
straight favorite to finish first.

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These were the Fountain of Youth winners since 2000 with
their running lines gleaned from Equibase charts:

 Year  Winner 1/4 1/2 3/4 Str Fin Odds
2023 Forte   5 –   2 5 – 2 1/2 4 – 2 3 –    1/2 1 f 1-2
2022 Simplification   6 –   3 3/4 7 – 2 1/4 6 – 1 1 1 f 5-2
2021 Greatest Honour   9 –   7 3/4 8 – 6 8 – 8 1/2 4 – 5 1 f 1-1
2020 Été Indien   1 1 1 1 1   3-1
2019 Code of Honor   5 –   7 1/2 5 – 8 1/2 3 – 4 2 –    1/2 1   9-1
2018 Promises Fulfilled   1 1 1 1 1 18-1
2017 Gunnevera 10 – 13 7 – 9 5 – 4 1 1   4-1
2016 Mohaymen   5 –   3 1/2 3 – 1 1/2 2 –    1/2 1 1 f 2-5
2015 x-Itsaknockout   3 –   1 4 – 2 4 – 5 4 – 1 1/2 2 – 2 3/4   5-1
2014 Wildcat Red   1 2 – hd 1 1 1   9-2
2013 Orb   7 –   8 6 – 8 5 – 5 1/2 2 – 1 1/2 1   5-1
2012 Union Rags   3 –   1 4 – 2 4 – 2 1/2 1 1   6-5
2011** Soldat   1 1 1 1 1 f 7-5
2010** Eskendereya   2 –   2 2 – 1 1 1 1   7-2
2009* Quality Road   2 –   1 1/2 2 – 1 2 –    1/2 1 1   5-1
2008** Cool Coal Man   4 –   2 1/2 4 – 4 4 – 2 1 1   7-1
2007** Scat Daddy   7 –   5 6 – 4 1/2 5 – 3 5 – 4 1   5-1
2006** x-First Samurai   1 1 1 2 –    1/2 2 – 1   7-1
2005** High Fly   2 –   2 2 – 1 1/2 2 – 1 1 1 f 1-1
2004 Read the Footnotes   3 –   2 1/2 3 – 1 2 – 1 2 –    1/2 1   2-1
2003 Trust n Luck   1 1 1 1 1   9-2
2002 Booklet   1 1 1 1 1   5-1
2001 Songandaprayer   1 1 1 1 1 18-1
2000 High Yield   1 1 1 1 1 f 2-1
    *1 mile            
  **1 1/8 miles            
  Others 1 1/16 mi.            
  x – promoted to 1st          
  f – favorite          

The 2-1 morning-line favorite Saturday, Dornoch has a front-running
style that would be the exception to the recent rule. Since the Derby
established qualifying points in 2013, only two horses led at every call prepping
in the Fountain of Youth. Promises Fulfilled went on to finish 15th in Kentucky
in 2018, and Été Indien did not start in the September 2020 running of the Derby.

San Felipe

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Last year marked the first time since 2007 the San Felipe
did not produce a Kentucky Derby starter. Fevers were said to have stymied top-three
finishers Practical Move, Geaux Rocket Ride and Skinner in the weeks following
last year’s race.

Thirteen eventual winners at Churchill Downs used this race
as a prep. All four since 2000 were pacesetters or stalkers.

Year  Horse Quirin SFS Derby
2023        
2022 Happy Jack S 2 3rd 14th
2021 Medina Spirit E 7 2nd *19th
2020 Authentic E 8 1st 1st
  Honor A. P. E/P 5 2nd 4th
  Storm the Court E 6 3rd 6th
2019 – no San Felipe –      
2018 Bolt d’Oro E/P 4 1st 12th
2017 Gormley E/P 5 4th 9th
2016 Exaggerator P 3 3rd 2nd
  Mor Spirit P 3 2nd 10th
  Danzing Candy E 8 1st 15th
2015 Dortmund E 8 1st 3rd
  Bolo E/P 6 3rd 12th
  Ocho Ocho Ocho E/P 3 8th 14th
2014 California Chrome E/P 7 1st 1st
2013 Goldencents E/P 8 4th 17th
2012 Bodemeister E 8 2nd 2nd
  Creative Cause P 4 1st 5th
  Liaison P 2 4th 6th
  Rousing Sermon S 0 5th 8th
2011 Comma to the Top E 7 4th 19th
2010 American Lion E/P 8 4th 11th
  Sidney’s Candy E 8 1st 17th
2009 Pioneerof the Nile E/P 5 1st 2nd
2008 Bob Black Jack E 8 3rd 16th
  Gayego E/P 7 2nd 17th
2007        
2006 Point Determined P 5 2nd 9th
  Bob and John E/P 5 3rd 17th
  A. P. Warrior E/P 3 1st 18th
2005 Giacomo E/P 5 2nd 1st
  Don’t Get Mad S 0 3rd 4th
  Wilko P 3 4th 6th
2004 Action This Day S 1 7th 6th
2003 Atswhatimtalknbout S 0 2nd 4th
  Buddy Gil P 3 1st 6th
  Ten Cents a Shine S 2 8th 8th
  Domestic Dispute P 3 5th 10th
  Brancusi E/P 7 3rd 16th
2002 Medaglia d’Oro E/P 8 1st 4th
2001 Point Given E/P 5 1st 5th
  Jamaican Rum S 3 3rd 6th
2000 Fusaichi Pegasus E/P 7 1st 1st
  Anees S 0 3rd 13th
  The Deputy E/P 5 2nd 14th
  Commendable E/P 4 4th 17th
  *DQ’d from 1st    

In the Derby points era, early speed has dominated the 1
1/16-mile San Felipe. Seven of the 10 winners led from gate to wire. Six were post-time
favorites.

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 Year  Winner 1/4 1/2 3/4 Str Fin Odds
2023 Practical Move 4 – 2 1/2 3 – 1 1/2 4 – 1 1/2 1 1   4-1
2022 Forbidden Kingdom 1 1 1 1 1 f 1-1
2021 Life Is Good 1 1 1 1 1 f 1-2
2020 Authentic 1 1 1 1 1 f 6-5
2019 – no race –            
2018 x-Bolt d’Oro 4 – 3 4 – 1 1/4 3 – 1 1 2-hd   6-5
2017 Mastery 1 1 1 1 1 f 4-5
2016 Danzing Candy 1 1 1 1 1   5-1
2015 Dortmund 1 1 1 1 1 f 4-5
2014 California Chrome 1 1 1 1 1 f 7-5
2013 Hear the Ghost 4 – 2 1/2 5 – 4 1/2 4 – 6 4 – 6 1/2 1   5-1
2012 Creative Cause 5 – 4 5 – 2 1/2 4 – 1 1/2 2 –    1/2 1   2-1
2011 Premier Pegasus 6 – 5 1/4 7 – 7 3/4 5 – 4 1/2 1 1   7-1
2010* Sidney’s Candy 1 1 1 1 1   7-2
2009* Pioneerof the Nile 5 – 4 1/2 2 – 1 2 –    1/2 1 1 f 1-5
2008* Georgie Boy 3 – 1 1/2 3 – 1 1/2 3 – 1 3 – 2 1 f 7-5
2007 Cobalt Blue 1 1 1 1 1   2-1
2006 A. P. Warrior 5 – 2 1/2 6 – 2 1/2 4 – 3/4 1 1   7-1
2005 Consolidator 2 – hd 2 – hd 2 – hd 1 1   7-1
2004 Preachinatthebar 3 – 2 2 – 1 1/2 1 1 1   8-1
2003 Buddy Gil 5 – 1 1/4 6 – 2 5 – 3 4 – 1 1   9-1
2002 Medaglia d’Oro 1 1 3 –    1/2 2 – hd 1   8-1
2001 Point Given 5 – 5 5 – 4 1 1 1 f 2-5
2000 Fusaichi Pegasus 2 – 1 2 – 2 2 – 2 1 1 f 6-5
   *synthetic            
  f – favorite            
  x – promoted to win          

Practical Move last year was an exception to the
frontrunning rule, although he never was more than 2 1/2 lengths behind at any
call. Hear the Ghost in 2013 was the last San Felipe winner who made up more
than three lengths.

Nysos, who is 3-for-3 for eight-time San Felipe-winning
trainer Bob Baffert, is certain to be the favorite this weekend. He made his
debut with a gate-to-wire win but then stalked the early lead in winning the
Bob Hope (G3) and the Robert B. Lewis (G3).

John Battaglia Memorial

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There is a lot of white space in this chart showing the
horses who came out of this race and ran in America’s biggest race.

Year  Horse Quirin JBM Derby
2023        
2022 Rich Strike S 0 4th 1st
  Tiz the Bomb P 2 1st 9th
2021 Like the King E/P 4 2nd 12th
2020        
2019        
2018        
2017        
2016        
2015        
2014 Harry’s Holiday E 6 3rd 16th
2013 Giant Finish E 8 2nd 10th
2012        
2011 Twinspired P 2 4th 17th
2010        
2009        
2008        
2007        
2006        
2005        
2004        
2003        
2002 Perfect Drift P 3 2nd 3rd
  Request for Parole E/P 7 1st 5th
2001        
2000      

The absence of Battaglia Memorial horses advancing to the
Derby can be explained mostly by its not being a qualifying prep until Churchill
Downs Inc. bought Turfway Park and gave it the points cachet in 2021.

Another factor is that the Florence, Ky., racecourse has had
a synthetic surface since 2006, putting more guesswork into how horses coming
out of the race will do on the dirt in Louisville.

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Closers have thrived in the Battaglia. The last three
winners and five of the last eight gave up at least seven lengths of ground
before their triumphant rallies.

 Year  Winner 1/4 1/2 3/4 Str Fin Odds
2023 Congruent 12 –   7 3/4 12 –   9 10 –   4 1/2 3 – hd 1 16-1
2022 Tiz the Bomb   7 –   7   7 –   4 1/2   4 –   2 1/2 1 1 f 8-5
2021 Hush of a Storm   8 –   7   8 –   6   6 –   2 3/4 3 – hd 1   6-1
2020 Invader   3 –   1 1/2   3 –   1   2 –   1 1 1   5-1
2019 Somelikeithotbrown   3 –   1   3 –   1 1/2   3 –   2 2 – hd 1 f 1-1
2018 Magicalmeister   4 –   3   4 –   3   3 –   2 1 1 39-1
2017 It’s Your Nickel (g)   9 –   9 1/2   8 –   5 1/4   7 –   4 1/4 1 1 f 2-1
2016 Surgical Strike 10 –   7 11 –   6 3/4   7 –   2 1/4 1 1   3-1
2015 Royal Son (g)   1   1   1 1 1   9-1
2014 Solitary Ranger   1   1   1 1 1   9-1
2013 General Election (g)   7 – 10 1/2   6 –   8   6 –   5 1/2 1 1 13-1
2012 State of Play   2 –      1/2   2 –   1 1/2   1 1 1   2-1
2011 Positive Response (g)   1   1   1 1 1 f 2-1
2010 Vow to Wager-x   6 –   1 3/4   6 –   5 1/2   7 –   3 1/4 2 – 1 2 – 1 23-1
2009 Proceed Bee   3 –   1 1/2   5 –   2 1/4   4 –      3/4 1 1   4-1
2008 Absolutely Cindy (f) 11 – 15 1/2 11 – 21 10 – 10 1/4 3 – 2 1/2 1 19-1
2007 Catman Running   4 –   2   3 –      1/2   2 – hd 1 1   9-2
2006 Laity   1 –      1/2   4 –      3/4   2 – hd 2 – hd 1   6-1
2005 Magna Graduate   2 –      1/2   2-   1 1/2   2 – hd 1 1   3-1
2004 Silver Minister   2 –   1   2 – hd   1 1 1 f 2-1
2003 Champali   4 –   1 3/4   3 – hd   1 1 1   2-1
2002 Request For Parole   4 –   1 3/4   3 –   2   2 –   1 2 – hd 1 f 3-5
2001 Bonnie Scot (g)   7 –   8   6 –   9   4 –   4 1/2 1 1 f 3-5
2000 Nature   6 –   7   5 –   4 1/2   4 –   3 1 1   2-1
  x – promoted from 2nd            
  (f) filly            
  (g) gelding            
  f – favorite          

Epic Ride, Bolt at Midnight and Encino, the top three horses
on the morning line, have shown a forward-going style in their races.
Gettysburg Address and Blue Eyed George, each 6-1, come from off the pace.

Gotham

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It has been 24 years since Derby runner-up Aptitude was the most
recent Gotham finisher to hit the board at Churchill Downs.

Year  Horse Quirin GS Derby
2023 Raise Cain P 2 1st 8th
2022        
2021 Highly Motivated E/P 6 3rd *9th
2020 Necker Island E/P 5 5th 9th
Attachment Rate E/P 3 3rd 14th
2019        
2018 Firenze Fire S 3 4th 11th
Enticed P 3 1st 14th
Free Drop Billy P 2 3rd 16th
2017 J Boys Echo P 2 1st 15th
2016 Shagaf E/P 4 1st DNF
2015 Tendencur P 3 5th 17th
2014 Samraat E/P 6 1st 5th
Uncle Sigh E 5 2nd 14th
2013 Overanalyze S 4 5th 11th
Vyjack E/P 4 1st 18th
2012 Hansen E 8 1st 9th
Done Talking S 0 10th 14th
2011 Stay Thirsty E/P 2 1st 12th
2010 Awesome Act P 2 1st 19th
2009        
2008 Visionaire S 3 1st 12th
2007 Cowtown Cat E/P 6 1st 20th
2006 Sweetnorthernsaint E/P 7 3rd 7th
  Keyed Entry E 7 2nd 20th
2005        
2004        
2003        
2002 Saarland S 3 2nd 10th
2001        
2000 Aptitude P 2 2nd 2nd
  *promoted    

Putting aside the race’s poor track record for producing
Derby horses, there was a most noteworthy horse who became a champion. Who knew
Knicks Go would go from a sixth-place finish at 20-1 in 2019 to become horse of
the year in 2021?

The Gotham used to be a two-turn, 1 1/16-mile race. It
reverted to a one-turn mile six years ago. The split since has been even between
winners who were forwardly placed and those coming from off the pace.

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Year Winner 1/4 1/2 3/4 Str Fin Odds
2023 Raise Cain 11 –   4 1/2 9 –   5 1/2 7 – 4 3/4 1 1 23-1
2022 Morello   2 –      1/2 2 –      1/2 2 –    1/2 1 1 f 1-1
2021 Weyburn   2 –      1/2 2 –      1/2 2 – hd 2 – hd 1 46-1
2020 Mischevious Alex   4 –   1 2 – hd 1 1 1 f 8-5
2019 Haikal   7 – 12 1/4 7 – 14 5 – 8 1/2 4 – 4 3/4 1   4-1
2018 Enticed   6 –   3 1/4 5 –   3 2 – 2 2 –    1/2 1   3-1
2017* J Boys Echo   4 –   3 1/2 4 –   7 4 – 2 1 1   6-1
2016* Shagaf   2 –   2 4 –   2 3 – 2 3 – 1 1/2 1 f 6-5
2015* El Kabeir   9 –  12 6 –   8 5 – 4 1 1 f 6-5
2014* Samraat   4 –   1 1/2 3 –   1 1/2 3 –    1/2 1 1 f 2-1
2013* Vyjack 10 –   7 8 –   7 1/4 8 – 6 3/4 3 – 2 1/2 1   2-1
2012* Hansen   3 –   1 2 –      1/2 2 – hd 1 1 f 4-5
2011* Stay Thirsty   4 –   3 4 –   3 3 – 2 1/2 2 – hd 1 f 4-5
2010* Awesome Act   7 –   5 1/2 6 –   4 4 – 1 1/4 1 1 f 5-2
2009* I Want Revenge   2 –      1/2 2 –      1/2 2 – hd 1 1   3-1
2008* Visionaire   x x x x 1   9-2
2007* Cowtown Cat   3 –   1 4 –   1 4 – 1 2 – 1 1/2 1   2-1
2006* Like Now   1 1 1 1 1 36-1
2005 Survivalist   7 –   3 1/2 8 –   4 1/2 4 – 2 3 – 1 1/2 1   3-1
2004 Saratoga County   5 –   1 1/2 5 –   1 1/2 3 – 2 1 1   9-2
2003** Alysweep   1 1 1 1 1   9-1
2002 Mayakovsky   1 1 1 1 1 f 3-5
2001 Richly Blended   1 1 1 1 1   3-1
2000 Red Bullet   6 –   2 3/4 5 –   1 1/4 5 – 2 1 1 f 1-1
    *1 1/16 mi (2 turns)            
  **1 mi 70 yds (2 turns)            
  All others 1 mi (1 turn)            
  f – favorite          

Bergen and Just a Touch, perhaps the two most highly
regarded of trainer Brad Cox’s four entrants, have different styles. Bergen
came from off the pace to win the Jimmy Winkfield sprint in the mud at Aqueduct.
Just a Touch flashed speed in his debut victory going six furlongs in the slop at
Fair Grounds.



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Kentucky

PREVIEW: Kentucky wraps up home-and-home series with Belmont on the road

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PREVIEW: Kentucky wraps up home-and-home series with Belmont on the road


Kentucky has had a week off following their 82-55 win over Central Michigan, and now, the Cats retake the court down in Nashville to take on the Belmont Bruins. This is the second game of a home-and-home series between the two programs. Kentucky won its contest against Belmont last season by just six points at home — an 84-78 game in which the Bruins gave Kentucky all it could handle.

Here’s everything you need to know about this year’s Belmont squad and the upcoming game.

Bio Blast

Belmont is 4-5 on the season, but this isn’t your average 4-5 Missouri Valley Conference team. Three of those five losses came to AP ranked teams and Princeton, who they also lost to, was the first team outside of the AP Poll in the latest release. So, make that four of their five losses that have come to AP top 26 teams.

Amidst those losses came a defeat to McNeese. That’s their only real stinker on the season. For most of the game, Belmont kept it close against No. 9 Oklahoma, No. 18 Tennessee, No. 21 Ohio State and Princeton who, again, is right outside the AP top 25.

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Kentucky is 4-0 all-time against Belmont, and all of those matches have taken place since 2014. Georgia Amoore had 23 points and five assists in last year’s win over the Bruins. Amelia Hassett had a notable outing as well, scoring 16 points, grabbing 11 rebounds and getting two steals as she played in all 40 minutes of the game.

Scouting Report

Speaking of last year’s game, guard Jailyn Banks had 23 points against the Wildcats, and she could very well put up a similar number this time around. As a junior, Banks is averaging 14.9 points, 3.3 assists and 2.8 rebounds per game. She has scored in double figures in all of Belmont’s games this season except for one, when she put up seven points against the Buckeyes.

Avery Strickland has been a big contributor for them as well, averaging 11.3 points and 2.9 rebounds per game this season. Tuti Jones, who had 11 against Kentucky a year ago, is putting up 9.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 3.2 steals per game.

Hilary Fuller is another name to watch for Belmont. She’s currently averaging 11.1 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per game while shooting 37.5% from deep. As a team, Belmont is shooting just 30.6% from three-point range, but she’s one of their players that can get hot in a hurry from the perimeter.

Belmont Bruins roster

via espn.com

Catch up with the latest episode of The Memorial Memo

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Projected Kentucky Starters

#5 – Tonie Morgan

5-FOOT-8 – GUARD – SENIOR

12.4 PPG – 8.5 APG – 2.9 RPG

#0 – Jordan Obi

6-FOOT-1 – GUARD – GRADUATE STUDENT

12.2 PPG – 6.2 RPG – 1 APG

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#32 – Amelia Hassett

6-FOOT-4 – FORWARD – SENIOR

9.7 PPG – 6.1 RPG – 2 BPG

#7 – Teonni Key

6-FOOT-5 – FORWARD – SENIOR

11.5 PPG – 5.7 RPG – 1.6 BPG

#13 – Clara Strack

6-FOOT-5 – CENTER – JUNIOR

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15.2 PPG – 10.2 RPG – 2.7 BPG

Phoenix’s Prediction

Score: 76-60, Kentucky

MVP: Amelia Hassett

Belmont’s 4-5 record is deceiving, and I would expect them to give Kentucky some trouble on the road. I don’t think they’ll ever truly threaten to win the game, but at the same time, I don’t think Kentucky is going to blow this team out to the point Gabby Brooks gets any PT. Give me Amelia Hassett to put up a team-high 20 points in the win.

How to Watch/Listen

Join The Discussion on KSBoard

Want to interact with the KSR crew during tonight’s game? Consider joining the conversation on KSBoard, where we’ll be sharing live updates while also answering questions and providing real-time analysis (and probably complaining about the officiating).

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Kentucky

Even Indiana-Kentucky basketball rivalry couldn’t resist HeisMendoza chants

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Even Indiana-Kentucky basketball rivalry couldn’t resist HeisMendoza chants


LEXINGTON, Ky. — Fernando Mendoza’s Heisman Trophy triumph made noise as far afield as Rupp Arena on Saturday night.

Indiana could not claim too many fans in the building, in the Hoosiers’ first regular-season game against Kentucky in 14 years, unsurprising given the venue. But the ones who made the trip east on I-64 made themselves heard more than once during a 72-60 loss.

That included what has become a familiar chant among IU fans, one that broke out not long into the game and yet owing absolutely nothing to what was happening on the floor.

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As news filtered through the arena that Mendoza had won his program’s first Heisman Trophy, fans seated in small clusters — including one group just a few feet away from the media seating area — began loudly chanting “Heis-Mendoza!” at the news.

It was the latest reminder of IU’s brave new world, with football and basketball co-existing so significantly, so late into the calendar. Curt Cignetti’s team, the No. 1 seed in this year’s College Football Playoff, will next play in the Rose Bowl, on New Year’s Day in Los Angeles.

The Hoosiers await the winner of the 8/9 game between Oklahoma and Alabama, in Norman.

In the meantime, they’ve spent the pre-Christmas period resting on the field, while cleaning up off it. Mendoza and Cignetti were named Big Ten offensive player and coach of the year, respectively, while Carter Smith won the conference’s lineman-of-the-year award.

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Cignetti has also won multiple national coach-of-the-year awards, with more potentially on the way.

Mendoza added a clutch of trophies to his mantle this weekend in New York, including not just the Heisman Trophy but the Davey O’Brien Award for nation’s best quarterback and the Maxwell Award for nation’s best player. Mendoza is also the first Hoosier to win the O’Brien Award, and the second (after Anthony Thompson) to win the Maxwell.

More than a dozen Hoosiers have landed All-Big Ten and/or All-America honors since their Big Ten championship game triumph a week ago. A handful — including Smith, Aiden Fisher, Riley Nowakowski, Pat Coogan, Isaiah Jones and others — traveled to New York to celebrate with their quarterback.

Alberto Mendoza, Fernando Mendoza’s backup and younger brother, also made the trip. Both brothers became visibly emotional when Fernando referenced his younger brother during his acceptance speech.

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The Hoosiers ultimately left Rupp Arena empty handed Saturday. But their football program once again left them celebrating, nonetheless.

Want more Hoosiers coverage? Sign up for IndyStar’s Hoosiers newsletter. Listen to Mind Your Banners, our IU Athletics-centric podcast, on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. Watch the latest on IndyStar TV: Hoosiers.



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After more than 40 years, a woman is reunited with her Kentucky family after allegedly being abducted by her mother | CNN

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After more than 40 years, a woman is reunited with her Kentucky family after allegedly being abducted by her mother | CNN


Three-year-old Michelle “Shelley” Newton poses for the camera in a sailor’s outfit, smiling wide, showing the gap between her two front baby teeth in an undated missing persons flyer from the Jefferson County Sheriff’s Office.

“Michelle was taken by her Mother,” it reads.

Now, Michelle, 46, is on a path to healing. Her mother is facing one charge.

The toddler’s vanishing took place in spring 1983, after her mother Debra Newton claimed she was “relocating to Georgia” from Louisville, Kentucky, “to begin a new job and prepare a new home for the family,” according to a Monday news release from the Jefferson County Sheriff’s Office.

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CNN affiliate WLKY spoke to Joseph Newton, Debra’s husband and Michelle’s father, in 1986 after three years of searching for his daughter. He said the plan had been to move to Georgia. Debra took Michelle early, he added.

When he got there, he said they were gone.

Sometime between 1984 and 1985, a “final phone call” occurred between Debra and Joseph Newton, according to the sheriff’s office. Then, “both mother and daughter vanished.”

A custodial-interference indictment warrant soon followed.

“Wouldn’t you want your child back? At least to see her grow up?” Joseph Newton asked WLKY nearly four decades ago.

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Police at one point thought it was possible Michelle was in Clayton County, Georgia, a suburban county almost 20 miles south of downtown Atlanta, according to the flyer.

Despite no signs of Michelle or her mother and Debra’s inclusion on the FBI’s “Top 8 Most Wanted parental-kidnapping fugitives,” Michelle’s case was dismissed in 2000 when “the Commonwealth” of Kentucky could not reach her father, the release said.

Five years later, Michelle, who would have been in her 20s, was removed from national child missing databases, according to the sheriff’s office.

The undated missing persons flyer says Michelle’s entry in the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children system and Debra’s warrant for custodial interference were recalled in 2005 “due to inaccurate information.”

The case was reindicted in 2016 after a family member “prompted detectives to reexamine the case.”

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Earlier this year, 66-year-old Debra Newton had been spotted in Marion County, Florida, going by a different name.

When a Crime Stoppers tip identified the woman as a possible match, a US Marshals Task Force detective compared a recent photo to a 1983 image of Debra, and a Jefferson County detective “confirmed the resemblance,” the release said.

Authorities collected DNA from Debra’s sister in Louisville, and it showed a “99.9% match” to the woman in Florida.

When police arrived at her door, Michelle told WLKY that officers officially broke the news, “You’re not who you think you are. You’re a missing person. You’re Michelle Marie Newton.”

Michelle, who had been living under a different identity, called the Jefferson County Sheriff’s Office upon discovering her true family history, according to the release.

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On the other side of that phone call was a reunion with family she hadn’t seen in decades, including her father.

“She told us she didn’t realize she was a victim until she saw everything she had missed,” Chief Deputy Col. Steve Healey said.

“She’s always been in our heart,” Joseph Newton told CNN affiliate WLKY. “I can’t explain that moment of walking in and getting to put my arms back around my daughter.”

“I wouldn’t trade that moment for anything. It was just like seeing her when she was first born. It was like an angel.”

The resolution of a case spanning more than 40 years reflects a legacy of “extraordinary” detective work from the sheriff’s office, Healey said in the release, including its long-held philosophy that “no family seeking help is ever turned away.”

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Healey says it also proves the importance of one courageous tipster. “People think calling in tips is ‘snitching.’ It isn’t,” he said. “You’re helping victims. You’re helping families. This case proves that one phone call can change a life.”

A family member of Debra’s traveled to Kentucky and posted her bond.

She has been arraigned on a felony charge of custodial interference, according to the Commonwealth’s Attorney Office in Jefferson County. Felony custodial-kidnapping charges carry no statute of limitations in Kentucky.

CNN has reached out to the Louisville-Jefferson County public defender’s office for comment on Debra Newton’s legal representation.

Debra Newton voluntarily appeared in court for her arraignment in Louisville, the release states.

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Both Michelle and Joseph Newton were in attendance.

Michelle doesn’t appear to be taking sides. She told WLKY: “My intention is to support them both through this and try to navigate and help them both just wrap it up so that we can all heal.”



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