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Illinois vs. Kentucky Prediction, Odds, Key Players to Watch for NCAA Tournament Second Round

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Illinois vs. Kentucky Prediction, Odds, Key Players to Watch for NCAA Tournament Second Round


No. 3 seed Kentucky will be a betting underdog on Sunday in Milwaukee against No. 6 seed Illinois in what should be one of the most entertaining matchups of the second round of the NCAA Tournament. 

The Fighting Illini, who were pegged as a dark horse in the Midwest Region, are favored in the second round against the Wildcats, as both teams looked the part in the first round with double digit victories. 

Can Illinois make good on being a favorite? What about a sky high total in the 170’s? Let’s break down this game from a betting perspective below. 

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Moneyline

Total: 170.5 (Over -115/Under -105)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Illinois

Kasparas Jakucionis: The freshman guard had it all working in the first round against Xavier, scoring 16 points with nine rebounds and 10 assists. While he was still plagued by turnovers, he had six in the win, the conservative Kentucky defense will not pose as much of a threat in that department. He can be in for another big effort on Sunday. 

Kentucky

Otega Oweh: The Oklahoma transfer continued his torrid second half of the season, scoring 20 points with eight rebounds and six assists as Kentucky pulled away from Troy in the second half to advance. Oweh is a force at getting to the rim with an emerging perimeter game, how will he continue his NCAA Tournament performance? 

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With two fast pace offenses that have bucket getters all along the roster, I’m going to side with the over in this one. 

While the Illinois defense is formidable, the Kentucky offense will be comfortable against the opponents drop coverage. The Wildcats are flush with players that can score from off the dribble, one of the best offenses in the country in dribble jump shots while also able to use its off-ball motion to put pressure on Illinois’ over-playing defense that wants to run teams off the three-point line. 

Meanwhile, Illinois’ up-tempo attack should give Kentucky fits in transition, similar to how Alabama did in SEC play. The Fighting Illini have some similarities to the Crimson Tide, who scored 102, 96 and 99 points in two games against the Wildcats. 

On the year, Kentucky has allowed KenPom top 20 offenses in adjusted offensive efficiency to score to allow nearly 94 points per game in seven instances, and I believe with Illinois’ up-tempo attack, ranking top 20 in the country in adjusted tempo, this game will fly over the total. 

PICK: OVER 170.5 (-115, Available at FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Kentucky Bill Filed to Legalize Fixed-Odds Wagering

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Kentucky Bill Filed to Legalize Fixed-Odds Wagering


The legalization of fixed-odds wagering is part of a comprehensive gaming and wagering bill filed March 4 with the Kentucky House of Representatives. 

Rep. Matt Koch, a Republican from Paris, and Rep. Michael Meredith, a Republican from Oakland, are sponsors of HB 904, which creates a form of betting that sets the payout odds at the time a wager is placed and those odds do not change.

Wagering on horse racing in Kentucky is now only pari-mutuel, the traditional form for the sport in which gamblers bet against each other and odds are determined based on how much is wagered on a specific bet—for example, win, place, or show—compared with the total money in the wagering pool.

With pari-mutuel wagering, the odds change as money enters the pool and has become a sore spot with many gamblers because these changes can be dramatic due to the introduction of computer-assisted wagering. CAW betting is a form of wagering that uses computer algorithms to formulate selections and then push those bets through to pari-mutuel pools, up to six bets per second in the final minute before pools are closed. This last-minute deluge of wagers can cause a horse’s odds to fall, for example, from 8-1 as they are loading into the gate to 3-1 as the race unfolds and the tote system catches up with calculating the late wagers.

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Offering fixed odds is seen as one solution and has already been adopted in New Jersey, Colorado, and in West Virginia last April.

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“This basically puts it in hands of the tracks to test the waters,” said Koch, who is the co-founder of Shawhan Place in Bourbon County. “As the gambling market continues to expand, we’re exploring ways to give tracks the flexibility to introduce new and engaging products. For many who enjoy wagering, consistency is key. They want the confidence of knowing a horse’s odds will remain steady throughout the race, allowing them to enjoy the experience to the fullest. However, we recognize the uncertainty that a new product brings and want to be particularly mindful of its potential impact.”

As part of the legalization of fixed-odds wagering, the bill creates a “purse stabilization fund” that will be supported by excise taxes and fees from fixed-odds wagering. Licensed tracks would pay 15% on the adjusted gross revenue of fixed-odds wagers placed on-track and via advance-deposit wagering websites and mobile applications. This fund will be used to supplement purses at live horse racing meets annually at an amount not to exceed 10% of the fund.

“This is similar to how other states manage the revenue from fixed odds and protects the traditional purse pools,” Koch said.

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Additionally, Koch said having outdated totalizator networks contributes to the frustration with CAW, so HB 904 includes a provision for licensed totalizator companies and licensed racetracks to accelerate the adoption of improved technologies for wagering systems and provide “commercially reasonable access to the betting odds for retail bettors by April 1, 2027.”

“Some of these totes are only updating every 30 seconds and that is contributing to the perception and frustration,” he said, referring to bettors seeing late odds changes. “Doing our research, we realize there are things we can do for tracks to update their totes and have those updated odds in seconds. We need to stay on top of the IT and that needs to be an ongoing deal.”

The bill also includes a prohibition against any track or association licensed to conduct horse racing, sports wagering, or fantasy sports being affiliated with or benefiting from any entity that offers prediction market contracts. 

Prediction market operators are a growing concern for the gambling industry because they have expanded from taking wagers on the outcome of future events, such as elections or new events, and are now including sporting events, such as horse racing. The prediction markets defend their business by claiming to take “contracts” and not “wagers.”

The threat of the prediction markets was addressed by Churchill Downs Inc. CEO Bill Carstanjen during a Feb. 26 conference call with investors and analysts and is the subject of a panel discussion this week during the National Horsemen’s Benevolent and Protective Association’s annual conference being held at Oaklawn Park.

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READ: Prediction Markets Have the Racing Industry’s Attention

Other provisions of HB 904 include:

  • After Nov. 1 of a calendar year, the Kentucky Horse Racing and Gaming Corporation may authorize additional racing dates or make changes to racing dates awarded if requested by a licensed association, supported by the applicable horsemen’s group and “deemed in the best interest of racing.”
  • Creates a new section that legalizes and puts the regulation of fantasy contests under the authority of the Kentucky Horse Racing and Gaming Corporation. Fantasy contests are simulated games or contests with an entry fee and awards or prizes established prior to the contest. Participants compete against each other and manage a fictional roster of actual athletes and obtain scores based on real-life performances. If adopted, all fantasy contest operators must be licensed by the state and adhere to regulations that include preventing fraud and money laundering, prevent underage participation, verify customers are geographically located in jurisdictions allowing fantasy contest participation, and comply with state audits and any complaints or allegations of prohibited conduct.
  • Sets the legal age to participate in sports betting, fantasy contests, and charitable gaming at 21 but keeps the legal age for betting on horse racing at 18.





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Northern Kentucky claims 4 titles at Class 3A indoor track state meet

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Northern Kentucky claims 4 titles at Class 3A indoor track state meet


The Kentucky High School Athletic Association indoor state track meet rolled on on Wednesday, March 4. One day after Beechwood claimed the Class 1A boys team title, three Northern Kentucky big schools combined for four individual state titles in Class 3A.

Cooper’s Paul Van Laningham won the 3,200-meter run in 9:09.49 and took second place in the 1,600-meter run in 4:07.88. It was a reversal of his results at the 2025 indoor state meet and earned him his fifth overall state title. He scored all of Cooper’s points, good for ninth place in the team standings with 18 points.

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Van Laningham’s teammate, Ava Dunn, got the day started with a shot put title, throwing the 8.82-pound ball 39 feet, 3.25 inches.

Simon Kenton’s Alexis Howard won the long jump with an attempt of 18 feet, 7.25 inches, then claimed the triple jump title with a distance of 37 feet, 4.25 inches. It is her second straight indoor long jump title and third overall as she also claimed the 2024 outdoor title. Taking fifth place in the 55-meter dash, she scored all 24 points for SK, finishing in a tie for eighth place. Cooper was right behind with 22 points.

Finally, Conner’s Avery Vanlandingham win the 800-meter run in 2:17.55, out-leaning North Oldham’s Millie Huang at the line.



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Arkansas women’s basketball blown out by Kentucky in season-ending loss at SEC Tournament | Whole Hog Sports

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Arkansas women’s basketball blown out by Kentucky in season-ending loss at SEC Tournament | Whole Hog Sports





Arkansas women’s basketball blown out by Kentucky in season-ending loss at SEC Tournament | Whole Hog Sports







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