ESPN predicts the winner of Georgia football vs Alabama

The Georgia Bulldogs (11-1, 7-1 SEC) face the Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2, 7-1 SEC) on Saturday, Dec. 6 at 4:00 p.m. ET in the 2025 SEC championship. The Georgia-Alabama game will be televised on ABC in the latest meeting between the two SEC powers.

The SEC championship will be played in Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. Last week, Georgia defeated Georgia Tech in the same venue that has haunted Georgia at times in the past, especially against Alabama. The Bulldogs lost to the Crimson Tide in the 2012, 2018, 2021 and 2023 SEC championships and in the 2017-2018 national championship in Atlanta.

Alabama continues to have Georgia’s number. The Crimson Tide beat Georgia in 2024 in the two schools’ first meeting of the Kalen DeBoer era. Alabama snapped Georgia’s 33-game home winning streak in a 24-21 victory over the Dawgs this season, which was Georgia’s only loss of the season.

“Looking forward to Saturday and the opportunity and challenge to face Georgia again this year,” DeBoer said ahead of the SEC championship. “It’s going to be an awesome environment, one our guys are excited about already. Really looking forward to it.”

Will Georgia beat Alabama? ESPN’s prediction

Georgia is a slight favorites against Alabama, which is a bit of a surprise considering Alabama’s success in the series. ESPN’s matchup predictor, which factors team performance, the football power index and other important variables, gives Georgia a 48.9% chance to defeat Alabama. The Crimson Tide have a 51.1% chance of beating Georgia.

ESPN’s SP+ also thinks Georgia will win. It predicts a 27-24 Georgia victory.

Georgia’s CFP chances

ESPN gives Georgia a 100% chance of making the playoff. Georgia’s real question for the playoff is can the Bulldogs get a first-round bye with an SEC championship loss? It would be unlikely for No. 3 Georgia to maintain a first-round bye, but if Texas Tech lost in the Big 12 championship, the Georgia could still have a bye in the playoff despite suffering an SEC title loss.

UGA has 7.6% chance of winning the national championship (fourth in the nation), according to the FPI. No. 9 Alabama has a 66.5% chance of making the playoff and a 2.8% chance of winning the national title (tied for eighth in the country).

Georgia football 2025 schedule

• Aug. 30: vs. Marshall (W, 45-7)
• Sept. 6: vs. Austin Peay (W, 28-6)
• Sept. 13: at Tennessee (W, 44-41 in OT)
• Sept. 27: vs. Alabama (L, 24-21)
• Oct. 4: vs. Kentucky (W, 35-14)
• Oct. 11: at Auburn (W, 20-10)
• Oct. 18: vs. Ole Miss (W, 43-35)
• Nov. 1: vs. Florida (W, 24-20)
• Nov. 8: at Miss. State (W, 41-21)
• Nov. 15: vs. Texas (W, 35-10)
• Nov. 22: vs. Charlotte (W, 35-3)
• Nov. 28: vs. Georgia Tech (W, 16-9)
• Dec. 6 vs. Alabama (SEC championship) at 4 p.m. ET

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