Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris’ easiest paths to victory run through Georgia

ATLANTA, Ga. (Atlanta News First) – Both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have spent a lot of time in Georgia as their historic 2024 presidential campaigns come to an end.

And there’s a reason: both candidates’ respective easiest paths to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue run through the Peach State.

From Gray Media’s Washington bureau:

Harris’ easiest path

Exactly 270 through the Rust Belt (Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin). If Harris holds “the blue wall” – and avoids any surprises elsewhere – she’ll have the 270 electoral votes she needs. These states traditionally support Democrats, but all went for Trump in 2016. The “blue dot” of Omaha is also needed here.

Trump’s easiest path

Exactly 270 with Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. To pull this off, Trump would need to do well in the suburbs and improve on his 2020 performance.

Another Trump path

Through the Sun Belt with one Rust Belt state Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin (or Michigan or Pennsylvania). Trump has led in polling in Georgia and Arizona. If he can also pick up Nevada and North Carolina, he would only need any one of the coveted Rust Belt states.

Another Harris path

Through the Sun Belt Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina. A less-likely scenario based on polling, but Harris could win the presidency by only winning the Sun Belt, or with a combination of various Sun Belt and Rust Belt states.

269-269: An Electoral College tie

The most likely way this could happen is if Harris holds the “blue wall” trio of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, but loses Nebraska’s Omaha-based district. Trump would need North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada … and that Omaha district to tie.

Another way a tie could happen is if Trump wins all the Rust Belt states (Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin) and also wins Nevada.

What happens in a tie?

Trump would likely win According to the U.S. Constitution, the new House of Representatives choses the president and the new Senate choses the vice president. House members vote by state delegation, and based on current polling, Republicans are likely to hold a majority of state delegations after the election. For vice president, each senator gets an individual vote.

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