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Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight — College Football Week 8

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Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight — College Football Week 8


Photo By – Imagn Images. South Alabama running back Keenan Phillips (21) breaks a tackle.

Two Sun Belt teams looking for a win collide tonight as the Arkansas State Red Wolves visit the South Alabama Jaguars.

The Red Wolves broke a four-game losing streak with a win over Texas State last time out, while South Alabama fell to Troy, marking its fifth loss in a row.

My Arkansas State vs. South Alabama predictions don’t expect much scoring from either side.

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Find out more in my college football picks for Tuesday, October 14. 

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, with the game airing on ESPN2.

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Arkansas State vs South Alabama prediction

Arkansas State vs South Alabama best bet: Under 59.5 (-105)

I understand the thinking that two of the worst defenses in the Sun Belt colliding could allow for a ton of points — they each give up an identical 31.7 points per game — but the Arkansas State Red Wolves can’t hold up their end of the offensive bargain.

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Arkansas State has seen the Under cash in four straight, and only once in that stretch were they able to touch the 60-point plateau, that being a 31-30 win over Texas State last time out.

The Red Wolves are scoring 23.3 points per game (11th in Sun Belt) and are next to last in rushing, averaging just 119 yards per game. It makes their pass offense — fifth in the conference — too predictable, even with a Top-5 ranking in the Sun Belt.

It won’t help that the South Alabama Jaguars are third in the conference in pass defense and a Top-60 team in the nation, allowing 169.2 passing yards.

South Alabama has a 4-2-0 Over record through its first six games of the season, but none of the last four games have gone higher than 58 points.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama same-game parlay

Arkansas State QB Jaylen Raynor has only passed for more than his 250.5-yard line twice this season, but he should remember last year’s performance against South Alabama.

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He went 30-for-39 for 345 yards and a TD, only the fourth time he’s hit the 300-yard passing plateau in a game since the start of last year.

Those numbers came in an 18-16 win, so he can pass big while the score stays low.

Bishop Davenport has only topped 200 yards passing once in a game this season, so his 196.5 passing line is a fair number.

It’s a line he’s passed just twice in six games this season. His dual play has been more on the run side of late, running for at least 59 yards in three of the last five, including a season-high 72 yards on 15 carries and a TD.

South Alabama should find success against this poor Red Wolves’ run defense, keeping the ball on the ground more than airing it out.

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Arkansas State vs South Alabama SGP

  • Under 59.5
  • Jaylen Raynor Over 250.5 passing yards
  • Bishop Davenport Under 196.5 passing yards

Our deep-ball SGP: Threading the needle

Chauncey Cobb has alternated between big games and sub-par efforts, and he’s coming off a seven-catch, 39-yard effort against Texas State. This was after a 126-yard game against ULM. It’s been like this all year, so a bigger effort is in store against South Alabama.

Meanwhile, Kentrel Bullock leads the Jaguars with five TDs on the season, though he’s coming off a scoreless Saturday against Troy. He has yet to go back-to-back games without a major this season.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama SGP

  • Under 59.5
  • Jaylen Raynor Over 250.5 passing yards
  • Bishop Davenport Under 196.5 passing yards
  • Chauncey Cobb Over 63.5 receiving yards
  • Kentrel Bullock anytime TD

Arkansas State vs South Alabama game predictions

Arkansas State vs South Alabama moneyline prediction

I don’t advise taking the moneyline on either school, as they have three wins between them in 12 games, and any scenario is in play.

Arkansas State just knocked off Texas State, the highest-scoring team with the top running attack in the Sun Belt. And yet, it’s getting +200 odds for an outright win against a team that’s lost five straight?

There are too many variables for my liking in picking a winner straight-up here. If pressed, I lean toward South Alabama.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama spread prediction

I’d recommend steering clear of this spread, because a bevy of factors can come into play when you’re wagering on teams that are likely already out of the college football postseason picture.

However, if I were forced to wager on this, I’d be looking at the Red Wolves’ inability to cover on the road as a major factor, as they are currently 0-3-0 against the spread in away games.

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South Alabama is 0-3-0 ATS as a betting favorite, but they do have the better offensive options in both the passing and rushing games. 

Arkansas State vs South Alabama Over/Under prediction

While neither defense is inspiring, the offenses aren’t good enough to capitalize, so the Under remains the play here and as our best bet.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama odds

  • Spread: Arkansas State +6.5 (+100) | South Alabama -6.5 (-122)
  • Moneyline: Arkansas State +205 | South Alabama -250
  • Over/Under: Over 59.5 (-115) | Under 59.5 (-105)

Arkansas State vs South Alabama trend to know

The Jaguars have won five of the last six head-to-head meetings. Find more college football betting trends for Arkansas State vs South Alabama.

How to watch Arkansas State vs South Alabama

Location Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
Date Tuesday, October 14, 2025
Kickoff 7:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

Arkansas State vs South Alabama latest injuries

Arkansas State vs South Alabama weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Acuff scores 18 points to lead No. 25 Arkansas over Fresno State 82-58

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Acuff scores 18 points to lead No. 25 Arkansas over Fresno State 82-58


NORTH LITTLE ROCK, ARK. — – Darius Acuff Jr. scored 18 points to lead No. 25 Arkansas to an 82-58 win over Fresno State on Saturday at Simmons Bank Arena.

Arkansas (7-2) followed up its victory over No. 6 Louisville with a second straight win.

The Razorbacks blew open the game with a 22-6 run to open the second half and led by as many as 32 points. They outscored Fresno State 26-11 in transition and went 11 for 30 (36.7%) from 3-point range compared to the Bulldogs’ 4 for 26 (15.4%).

Meleek Thomas and DJ Wagner each scored 12 points while Karter Knox contributed 11.

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Jac Mani and Wilson Jacques each scored 12 points for Fresno State (6-4).

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Fresno State has lost back-to-back games after a four-game winning streak.

Arkansas, coming off its 89-80 home win over Louisville in the ACC/SEC Challenge on Wednesday, has won six of its last seven games.

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Fresno State will remain on the road for a matchup against Cal State-Northridge on Dec. 10.

Arkansas will face No. 19 Texas Tech on Dec. 13 on a neutral court in Dallas.

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Arkansas Razorbacks’ football staff under Silverfield begins taking shape | Arkansas Democrat Gazette

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Arkansas Razorbacks’ football staff under Silverfield begins taking shape | Arkansas Democrat Gazette


FAYETTEVILLE — The coaching staff of new University of Arkansas football Coach Ryan Silverfield began to take shape on a busy Friday.

Silverfield moved to keep some of his offensive staff at Memphis together and targeted a veteran Power Four defensive coach to serve as coordinator, based on national reports.

CBS Sports reporter Matt Zenitz reported Silverfield will bring offensive coordinator Tim Cramsey, receivers coach Larry Smith and offensive analyst Nick Mathews over from Memphis. Meanwhile, outgoing Florida defensive coordinator Ron Roberts emerged as a strong candidate to fill that position for the Razorbacks.

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Zenitz also reported Silverfield has honed in on Florida State assistant coach David Johnson to be his running backs coach.

Silverfield is reportedly working with a salary pool for assistant coaches that UA Athletic Director Hunter Yurachek said would push Arkansas into the top half of the SEC.

Speaking at a joint news conference with Silverfield on Thursday, Yurachek said the first indicator of the program’s enhanced financial commitment will come via Silverfield’s staff hirings.

“I think when you look at what the staff looks like, the support staff as well, and then the players that become a part of this program, that will show you the financial commitment we’ve made to our football program,” Yurachek said.

Silverfield, who said he would bring aboard coaches with SEC experience, was asked at the same news conference about the key characteristics he wanted in his assistant coaches.

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“I always value experience, and I think that’s important, but most importantly, great coaches and great leaders of men,” Silverfield said.

“We’re going to find coaches that are going to truly pour into these guys. And they may think it’s corny, but I’m going to tell them like, these guys are going to love them. They’re going to hold them accountable, OK, to everything these guys say they want to do, and they’re going to make sure they achieve exactly what we say we’re putting out there.”

Cramsey, 50, played quarterback and long snapper at New Hampshire in the mid-1990s and has been coaching since 2001, the last four years at Memphis. His offenses with the Tigers all ranked in the top 25 in scoring with at least 34 points per game and were between 14th and 38th in total offense since 2022.

Cramsey had previously been offensive coordinator at New Hampshire (2009-11), Florida International (2012), Montana State (2013-15), Nevada (2016), Sam Houston State (2017) and Marshall (2018-21) before joining Silverfield’s staff.

Smith, a former quarterback at Vanderbilt with 27 career starts, joined Silverfield at Memphis in 2023 after seven years as receivers coach at Alabama-Birmingham. He helped develop first-team All-American Conference receiver Cortez Braham Jr. this season.

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Mathews, a senior analyst assisting with quarterbacks at Memphis, has previous experience at Arkansas, having served as an assistant defensive backs coach under Sam Pittman.

Roberts was deeply involved in Pittman’s search for a defensive coordinator for the 2023 season, but he joined up with Hugh Freeze at Auburn while the Razorbacks turned to Travis Williams.

Roberts, 58, has spent the last six seasons as a Power Four defensive coordinator at Baylor (2020-22), Auburn (2023) and Florida (2024-25), including the past two seasons as executive head coach with Billy Napier.

Auburn ranked No. 45 in the FBS in total defense in 2023 by allowing 357.2 yards per game, No. 41 in scoring defense (22.6) and No. 76 in rushing defense (155.0).

Florida ranked No. 76 in total defense in 2024, allowing 376.9 yards per game, and No. 66 against the run (149.5). The Gators are No. 69 in total defense this season (376.8), No. 74 against the run (153.9) and No. 73 in passing yards allowed (222.9).

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Johnson, 52, has roots in southern Louisiana as a two-time all-conference wide receiver at Nicholls State and a high school head coach who had former LSU All-American running back Leonard Fournette. Johnson has been running backs coach and recruiting coordinator at Florida State since 2020.

Prior to that he worked two seasons at Tennessee as wide receivers coach (2018) and running backs coach (2019), and served two seasons at Memphis (2016-17) as receivers coach and passing game coordinator. His first major college coaching experience came at Tulane from 2012-15 as running backs and tight end coach.

Zenitz had previously reported Silverfield planned to bring General Manager Scott Gasper and strength and conditioning coach Noah Franklin over from his Memphis staff.



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