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Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight — College Football Week 8

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Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight — College Football Week 8


Photo By – Imagn Images. South Alabama running back Keenan Phillips (21) breaks a tackle.

Two Sun Belt teams looking for a win collide tonight as the Arkansas State Red Wolves visit the South Alabama Jaguars.

The Red Wolves broke a four-game losing streak with a win over Texas State last time out, while South Alabama fell to Troy, marking its fifth loss in a row.

My Arkansas State vs. South Alabama predictions don’t expect much scoring from either side.

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Find out more in my college football picks for Tuesday, October 14. 

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, with the game airing on ESPN2.

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Arkansas State vs South Alabama prediction

Arkansas State vs South Alabama best bet: Under 59.5 (-105)

I understand the thinking that two of the worst defenses in the Sun Belt colliding could allow for a ton of points — they each give up an identical 31.7 points per game — but the Arkansas State Red Wolves can’t hold up their end of the offensive bargain.

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Arkansas State has seen the Under cash in four straight, and only once in that stretch were they able to touch the 60-point plateau, that being a 31-30 win over Texas State last time out.

The Red Wolves are scoring 23.3 points per game (11th in Sun Belt) and are next to last in rushing, averaging just 119 yards per game. It makes their pass offense — fifth in the conference — too predictable, even with a Top-5 ranking in the Sun Belt.

It won’t help that the South Alabama Jaguars are third in the conference in pass defense and a Top-60 team in the nation, allowing 169.2 passing yards.

South Alabama has a 4-2-0 Over record through its first six games of the season, but none of the last four games have gone higher than 58 points.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama same-game parlay

Arkansas State QB Jaylen Raynor has only passed for more than his 250.5-yard line twice this season, but he should remember last year’s performance against South Alabama.

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He went 30-for-39 for 345 yards and a TD, only the fourth time he’s hit the 300-yard passing plateau in a game since the start of last year.

Those numbers came in an 18-16 win, so he can pass big while the score stays low.

Bishop Davenport has only topped 200 yards passing once in a game this season, so his 196.5 passing line is a fair number.

It’s a line he’s passed just twice in six games this season. His dual play has been more on the run side of late, running for at least 59 yards in three of the last five, including a season-high 72 yards on 15 carries and a TD.

South Alabama should find success against this poor Red Wolves’ run defense, keeping the ball on the ground more than airing it out.

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Arkansas State vs South Alabama SGP

  • Under 59.5
  • Jaylen Raynor Over 250.5 passing yards
  • Bishop Davenport Under 196.5 passing yards

Our deep-ball SGP: Threading the needle

Chauncey Cobb has alternated between big games and sub-par efforts, and he’s coming off a seven-catch, 39-yard effort against Texas State. This was after a 126-yard game against ULM. It’s been like this all year, so a bigger effort is in store against South Alabama.

Meanwhile, Kentrel Bullock leads the Jaguars with five TDs on the season, though he’s coming off a scoreless Saturday against Troy. He has yet to go back-to-back games without a major this season.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama SGP

  • Under 59.5
  • Jaylen Raynor Over 250.5 passing yards
  • Bishop Davenport Under 196.5 passing yards
  • Chauncey Cobb Over 63.5 receiving yards
  • Kentrel Bullock anytime TD

Arkansas State vs South Alabama game predictions

Arkansas State vs South Alabama moneyline prediction

I don’t advise taking the moneyline on either school, as they have three wins between them in 12 games, and any scenario is in play.

Arkansas State just knocked off Texas State, the highest-scoring team with the top running attack in the Sun Belt. And yet, it’s getting +200 odds for an outright win against a team that’s lost five straight?

There are too many variables for my liking in picking a winner straight-up here. If pressed, I lean toward South Alabama.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama spread prediction

I’d recommend steering clear of this spread, because a bevy of factors can come into play when you’re wagering on teams that are likely already out of the college football postseason picture.

However, if I were forced to wager on this, I’d be looking at the Red Wolves’ inability to cover on the road as a major factor, as they are currently 0-3-0 against the spread in away games.

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South Alabama is 0-3-0 ATS as a betting favorite, but they do have the better offensive options in both the passing and rushing games. 

Arkansas State vs South Alabama Over/Under prediction

While neither defense is inspiring, the offenses aren’t good enough to capitalize, so the Under remains the play here and as our best bet.

Arkansas State vs South Alabama odds

  • Spread: Arkansas State +6.5 (+100) | South Alabama -6.5 (-122)
  • Moneyline: Arkansas State +205 | South Alabama -250
  • Over/Under: Over 59.5 (-115) | Under 59.5 (-105)

Arkansas State vs South Alabama trend to know

The Jaguars have won five of the last six head-to-head meetings. Find more college football betting trends for Arkansas State vs South Alabama.

How to watch Arkansas State vs South Alabama

Location Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
Date Tuesday, October 14, 2025
Kickoff 7:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

Arkansas State vs South Alabama latest injuries

Arkansas State vs South Alabama weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sports Illustrated’s Men’s College Basketball Preseason Top 25: No. 14 Arkansas

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Sports Illustrated’s Men’s College Basketball Preseason Top 25: No. 14 Arkansas


Through Oct. 31, Sports Illustrated will count down its preseason college basketball Top 25 with overviews of each team. Here are the full rankings so far.

John Calipari’s first year at Arkansas started slow but ended with a bang, beating Bill Self and Rick Pitino in the span of three days to make a run to the second weekend before losing a heartbreaker to Texas Tech in the Sweet 16. For a transition year, it’s hard to argue with the results, even if the route to get there was bumpier than expected. 

This year’s Arkansas roster, Calipari’s first with a full offseason to recruit, looks a lot more complete. There’s potential one-and-done talent here, but this isn’t like his Kentucky teams with a new roster every year. In fact, Arkansas returns a higher percentage of its minutes played than anyone in the SEC, with three starters and a fourth key rotation cog back. 

D.J. Wagner hasn’t had the college career many expected given his recruiting pedigree, but he’s a proven starting-caliber option in the backcourt who took steps forward as a sophomore. Trevon Brazile had an uneven start to his season but was at his best when Arkansas was making its run in March. He scored in double figures in seven out of his final nine games, shot 39% from three in that stretch and brought some serious edge on the boards. Karter Knox also finished strong, with 15 points in the win over St. John’s and 20 against Texas Tech. The former five-star looks like a prototypical sophomore breakout guy. 

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The talent injection around that trio is real. Is it enough to get Calipari back competing for national championships? 

PG: Darius Acuff
SG: D.J. Wagner
SF: Karter Knox
PF: Trevon Brazile
C: Malique Ewin
Key Reserves: G Meleek Thomas, W Billy Richmond, C Nick Pringle

Darius Acuff during a high school basketball game.

John Calipari has been recruiting Darius Acuff (5) since Cal was at Kentucky. / David Rodriguez Munoz / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Calipari has long coveted Darius Acuff, a Michigan native who Calipari started recruiting when he was at Kentucky. Acuff is an absolute bucket-getter, and while he’s less shifty than Rob Dillingham was, it’s easy to envision a similar role for him in college. Expect to see the ball in his hands more this season, sliding Wagner off the ball. 

Wagner’s minutes could also get pushed by Meleek Thomas, another five-star who has earned a reputation for being one of the most competitive players in the class. He’s a dynamic off-the-dribble scorer and shotmaker, though that style can sometimes lend itself to inefficiency. Finding shots for all of Acuff, Wagner, Thomas, Knox and Billy Richmond will be a challenge. 

Up front, Calipari added a pair of experienced centers from the portal. Malique Ewin didn’t get a lot of attention playing for a bad Florida State team, but he was quietly one of the most productive bigs in the ACC. He’s a highly effective passer, which should add an interesting element to this Razorback offense. Nick Pringle is a proven SEC big from his time at Alabama and South Carolina. He’s not a huge threat offensively, but he’s a big body who’s effective on the boards and can finish around the rim. That platoon should be a huge upgrade from a physicality standpoint from Jonas Aidoo and Zvonimir Ivisic a year ago. 

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For as much firepower as this Arkansas backcourt has, it features almost exclusively guys who need the ball in their hands to have success. Can players like Acuff and Thomas who’ve spent their entire careers being the best player on their teams all the sudden adapt and defer at times? Even their projected starting center, Ewin, is a guy who commands touches. There’s a real fear here that perhaps the whole might not be as good as the sum of the parts. 

This is the most continuity a Calipari team has had since the 2015 Kentucky squad that went 38–1. No one should be expecting that from Arkansas this year, but it’s not unrealistic to expect the Razorbacks to seriously contend at the top of the SEC. At his best, perhaps Calipari’s top attribute was his ability to get players who all believed they were the best player to buy into a team concept. If he can do that with this ball-dominant backcourt, the Hogs should be back in the second weekend … and could maybe go even further than that this March. 

More College Basketball on Sports Illustrated

Listen to SI’s new college sports podcast, Others Receiving Votes, below or on Apple and Spotify. Watch the show on SI’s YouTube channel.



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Did Arkansas Expose Tennessee Football’s Weaknesses?

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Did Arkansas Expose Tennessee Football’s Weaknesses?


The Tennessee Volunteers wrapped up another in-conference game inside the SEC on Saturday. The Vols played against the Arkansas Razorbacks, who got the best of the Tennessee team last year, but roles definitely reversed in this one as the Tennessee Volunteers walked away with a narrow victory over the Razorbacks, who had a four-game win streak over Tennessee previously.

The Tennessee Volunteers were expected to beat Arkansas by more than what they did, but walking away with a three-point victory has many concerns, as it seems to show that maybe Arkansas exposed some of the Tennessee football weaknesses.

Taylen Gree

Arkansas quarterback Taylen Green (10) pulls back for the throw during an NCAA college football game against Tennessee on Oct. 11, 2025, in Knoxville, Tennessee. / Saul Young/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The Arkansas Razorbacks showed the fact that the Vols have yet to completely be able to limit a QB and his legs. The Razorbacks quarterback, Taylen Green, showed that he is one of the better rushing quarterbacks in the nation, but the Vols just simply couldn’t stop him to the degree that they wanted. The Vols allowed a total of 63 yards rushing, which may not seem like a lot but the things that it opened made this feel like the determining factor of why they were able to pick apart the Tennessee defense.

The Vols allowed a total of 256 yards passing, but the Vols had to focus on the QB run and the rushing attack due to how the Razorbacks were scheming up the Vols. This helped the wide receivers get open due the fact that the Vols had to loosen up their grip on the coverage, especially from a linebacker/slot standpoint.

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The Vols will be taking on the Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday. This will be a game that the Vols will need to make little to no mistakes. The Vols’ back is against a wall in this one, as they are backed up into a corner before it even starts, but even in a corner, you can fight your way out of it, which is what this defensive system will need to do, as they are going to have to contain the front-runner for the Heisman Trophy award, Ty Simpson.

The Vols will be the underdogs in this one, and they will hope to have Jermod McCoy back for this one, but nothing is for certain. They may have a few injuries they have to work past, but that has been the story all season long for the Vols, as they have been getting narrow wins after narrow wins.



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Shutdown freezes Arkansas Transportation Department’s federal funding | Northwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

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Shutdown freezes Arkansas Transportation Department’s federal funding | Northwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette


Amir Mahmoud

Amir Mahmoud is a general assignment and transportation beat reporter at the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. He has worked at the newspaper since 2022, starting as a copy editor and designer before becoming a full-time reporter in March 2024. The Little Rock native attended the University of Miami, where he worked for its student newspaper, The Miami Hurricane.



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