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ALABAMA VS FLORIDA PREDICTION, PICKS & ODDS FOR TODAY'S SEC TOURNAMENT GAME

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ALABAMA VS FLORIDA PREDICTION, PICKS & ODDS FOR TODAY'S SEC TOURNAMENT GAME


Two big-time offenses collide in the SEC semifinal, and our expert college basketball predictions expect a high-scoring affair this afternoon at Bridgestone Arena.

Mar 15, 2025 • 09:27 ET

• 4 min read

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Photo By – Imagn Images.

The No. 2 seeded Florida Gators face off against the No. 3 seed Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC Tournament semifinals on Saturday.

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These elite attacks have been lighting up the scoreboard and my Alabama vs Florida predictions are betting on a shootout today.

Here are my best free college basketball picks for this conference tournament clash on March 15, with tipoff at 7 p.m. ET.

Who will win Alabama vs Florida?

Only two spots separate the No. 4 Florida Gators from the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide in the KenPom and NET rankings.

While both of these teams have highly efficient offenses, the Gators have a far better defense, ranking ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency, while the Tide are 35th.

Florida beat Alabama in Tuscaloosa just a week ago and it makes sense that they would be able to beat them in a rematch at a neutral site.

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Alabama vs Florida prediction

My best bet: Over 175.5 (-110 at bet365)

These national title contenders clashed in Tuscaloosa just a week ago, with the Gators handing the Alabama Crimson Tide a rare home loss. The Total was set at 178.5 in that contest and easily cashed, with the Florida Gators winning 99-94.

What was surprising about that high-scoring game was that neither side shot particularly well from the perimeter, with Florida going 8-27 and Alabama 9-25.

Based on the quality of shots taken and allowed, ShotQualityBets projected a whopping 208 points in that contest, which is why it’s strange to see the O/U open 4.5 points lower for the rematch (it has since ticked up 1.5 points).

The Tide are coming off their best defensive performance this season in a 99-70 victory against Kentucky. They held the Wildcats highly-rated attack to 38% shooting from the field with just five offensive boards while forcing 16 turnovers.

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That said, the Tide are 347th in the country in opponent turnover rate over the entire season, and I don’t see the disruptive defense from last night appearing against a Florida offense that ranks in the Top 50 in turnover rate.

The Gators beat Missouri 95-81 last night and shot a sizzling 62% from the floor. Since getting shut down by Tennessee’s elite defense on February 1, Florida’s offense has been firing on an all cylinders.

The Gators have scored more than 80 points in 10 of their last 11 games and have hit the 90-point plateau in their last three. 

As good as Florida’s defense is, I don’t see it completely slowing down an Alabama attack that leads the nation with 91.4 ppg this season.

The Tide have been held to fewer than 80 points just once in their last 15 games (against that same top-rated Volunteers defense) and hit the 90-point mark in 10 of those contests.

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With both of these teams featuring highly efficient and consistent offenses that play at a breakneck pace, strap yourself in for a shootout at Bridgestone Arena and bet the Over. 

Alabama vs Florida same-game parlay (SGP)

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I know this parlay seems a bit strange since I said that the Gators would likely win, but it pays out far better than the Florida ML as a leg and makes sense, given the circumstances.

The lower the score is, the better it suits the Gators, who will need to slow down Alabama’s elite offense.

But a high-scoring shootout tends to favor the Tide who have the firepower to go blow-for-blow with anyone.

It’s also tough for a team to beat an evenly matched conference foe twice in a row during the same season (see the recent Alabama/Auburn games).

That makes the Tide tempting to bet on in a revenge spot, especially since they’ve gone 5-2 straight up and 6-1 against the spread as underdogs this season.

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Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365’s early win payout

Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game CBB moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your school goes up by 18+ points!

Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365’s offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review.

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Alabama vs Florida odds

Alabama vs Florida live odds

Alabama vs Florida opening odds

  • Spread: Alabama +3.5 | Florida -3.5
  • Moneyline: Alabama +140 | Florida -165
  • Over/Under: Over 174 | Under 174

Odds courtesy of bet365

Alabama vs Florida betting trend to know

Despite some sky-high totals the Over the is 6-3 in Alabama last nine games while cashing in five straight contests for Florida. Find more college basketball betting trends for Alabama vs. Florida.

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How to watch Alabama vs Florida

Location Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
Date Saturday, 3-15-2025
Tip-off 3:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Alabama vs Florida key injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Democratic former Sen. Doug Jones launches campaign for Alabama governor

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Democratic former Sen. Doug Jones launches campaign for Alabama governor


BIRMINGHAM, Ala. — Former U.S. Sen. Doug Jones, the last Democrat to hold statewide office in Alabama, kicked off his campaign for governor Friday, saying voters deserve a choice and a leader who will put aside divisions to address the state’s pressing needs.

“With your help we can finish what we began. We can build the Alabama we’ve always deserved,” Jones told a packed crowd at a Birmingham campaign rally featuring musician Jason Isbell.

He said the state has urgent economic, health care and educational issues that are not being addressed by those in public office.

The campaign kickoff came on the eighth anniversary of Jones’ stunning 2017 win over Republican Roy Moore, and Jones said Alabama proved back then that it can defy “simplified labels of red and blue.”

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“You stood up and you said something simple but powerful. We can do better,” Jones said. “You said with your votes that our values, Alabama values, are more important than any political party, any personality, any prepackaged ideology.”

His entry into the race sets up a possible rematch with Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville, who defeated Jones by 20 points in 2020 and is also now running for governor. Both will have party primaries in May before the November election.

Before running for office, Jones, a lawyer and former U.S. attorney, was best known for prosecuting two Ku Klux Klansmen responsible for Birmingham’s infamous 1963 church bombing.

Former Sen. Doug Jones, D-Ala., and gubernatorial candidate speaks during an event Friday, Dec. 12, 2025, in Birmingham, Ala. Credit: AP/Brynn Anderson

In an interview with The Associated Press, Jones said families are having a hard time with things like health care, energy bills and simply making ends meet.

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“People are struggling,” he said. “They are hurting.”

Jones used part of his speech to describe his agenda if elected governor. He said it is time for Alabama to join most states in establishing a state lottery and expanding Medicaid. Expanding Medicaid, he said, will protect rural hospitals from closure and provide health care coverage to working families and others who need it.

He criticized Tuberville’s opposition to extending Affordable Care Act subsidies. Jones said many Alabama families depend on those subsides to buy health insurance “to keep their families healthy.”

Former Sen. Doug Jones, D-Ala., and gubernatorial candidate speaks during...

Former Sen. Doug Jones, D-Ala., and gubernatorial candidate speaks during an event Friday, Dec. 12, 2025, in Birmingham, Ala. Credit: AP/Brynn Anderson

Alabama has not elected a Democratic governor since Don Siegelman in 1998. In 2020, Tuberville held Jones to about 40% of the vote, which has been the ceiling for Alabama Democrats in recent statewide races.

Retired political science professor Jess Brown said Jones lost in 2020 despite being a well-funded incumbent, and that’s a sign that he faces an uphill battle in 2026.

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“Based on what I know today, at this juncture of the campaign, I would say that Doug Jones, who’s a very talented and bright man, is politically the walking dead,” Brown said.

Jones acknowledged being the underdog and said his decision to run stemmed in part from a desire for Tuberville not to coast into office unchallenged.

Jones pointed to recent Democratic victories in Georgia, Mississippi and other locations as cause for optimism.

Tuberville, who previously headed up the football program at Auburn University, had “no record except as a football coach” when he first ran, Jones said. And “now there are five years of being a United States senator. There are five years of embarrassing the state.”

Jones continued to question Tuberville’s residency, saying he “doesn’t even live in Alabama, and if he does, then prove me wrong.” Tuberville has a beach house in Walton County, Florida, but has repeatedly said Auburn is his home.

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Tuberville’s campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment but has previously noted that he defeated Jones handily in 2020. Tuberville spent part of Friday with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth in Huntsville to mark the official relocation of U.S. Space Command from Colorado to Alabama.

Jones’ 2017 victory renewed the hopes, at least temporarily, of Democratic voters in the Deep South state. Those gathered to hear him Friday cheered his return to the political stage.

“I’m just glad that there’s somebody sensible getting in the race,” Angela Hornbuckle said. “He proved that he could do it as a senator.”



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Alabama Shakes Set Spring 2026 Tour Dates

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Alabama Shakes Set Spring 2026 Tour Dates


Alabama Shakes have lined up a string of North American tour dates for 2026. Brittany Howard and the band’s spring run includes multiple stops in Florida and a concluding two-night stint at Red Rocks Amphitheater in Denver, Colorado. Check out the new dates, plus their previously announced festival shows, European itinerary, and Zach Bryan support dates, below.

Support for the headline shows comes from Joy Oladokun, Mon Rovîa, Lamont Landers, and JJ Grey & Mofro. For every ticket sold, $1 will go towards nonprofits around the United States via the Alabama Shakes Fund, a press release notes. There is, as yet, no word on a follow-up to the band’s 2015 album, Sound & Color, but they did sign to Island this year and release their first single since that record.

Alabama Shakes:

04-16 Richmond, VA – Allianz Amphitheater at Riverfront ~
04-17 Asheville, NC – ExploreAsheville.com Arena ~
04-18 Charleston, SC – High Water Fest
04-22 Memphis, TN – Grind City Amphitheater +
04-24 Atlanta, GA – Synovus Bank Amphitheater at Chastain Park +
04-25 Raleigh, NC – Red Hat Amphitheater +
04-26 St. Augustine, FL – St. Augustine Amphitheatre %
04-28 Tallahassee, FL – Adderley Amphitheater %
04-29 Boca Raton, FL – Sunset Cove Amphitheater %
04-30 Clearwater, FL – The BayCare Sound %
05-02 New Orleans, LA – New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival
05-24 Morrison, CO – Red Rocks Amphitheatre #
05-25 Morrison, CO – Red Rocks Amphitheatre #
06-13 Manchester, Tennessee – Bonnaroo Music and Arts Festival
07-01 Leeds, England – Millennium Square
07-02 Wasing, England – On the Mount at Wasing
07-03 London, England – Alexandra Palace *
07-05 Ghent, Belgium – Gent Jazz Festival
07-07 Lucca, Italy – Summer Festival
07-09 Lisbon, Portugal – NOS Alive Festival
07-10 Bilbao, Spain – BBK Live
07-11 Madrid, Spain – Noches del Botanico
07-25 Eugene, OR – Autzen Stadium ^
09-19 Dover, DE – The Woodlands ^

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~ with Joy Oladokun
+ with Mon Rovîa
% with Lamont Landers
# with JJ Grey & Mofro
* with Tyler Ballgame
^ supporting Zach Bryan



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Jacob Crews scores 20 for Missouri in 85-77 win over Alabama State

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Jacob Crews scores 20 for Missouri in 85-77 win over Alabama State


COLUMBIA, Mo. (AP) — Jacob Crews scored 20, and Anthony Robinson II added 19 in Missouri’s 85-77 win over Alabama State on Thursday night.

Crews shot 7 of 9 from the field, including 6 of 8 from the 3-point arc. Mark Mitchell added 15 points for Missouri (9-2), and Sebastian Mack added 10.

The Tigers had a 15-0 run in the first half, heading into the locker room up 52-39. Alabama State was held scoreless over a 4:19 drought in the middle of the second half to open a 9-0 run for the Tigers. The Hornets (3-8) responded with their own 10-0 run to bring the game within eight, 74-62. The Tigers regained control, though, to keep their eight-point lead the rest of the game, handing Alabama State their fourth loss in a row.

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The Tigers shot 65% (33 of 51). Both teams shot 50% from the free-throw line.

Alabama State outscored Missouri in the final period, 38-33. Asjon Anderscon scored 23 for the Hornets, leading all players in scoring.

Up next

Missouri hosts Bethune-Cookman on Dec. 14.

Alabama State travels to Cincinnati to face the Bearcats on Dec. 17.

___ Get poll alerts and updates on the AP Top 25 throughout the season. Sign up here and here (AP News mobile app). AP college basketball: https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-basketball-poll and https://apnews.com/hub/college-basketball

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