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ALABAMA VS FLORIDA PREDICTION, PICKS & ODDS FOR TODAY'S SEC TOURNAMENT GAME

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ALABAMA VS FLORIDA PREDICTION, PICKS & ODDS FOR TODAY'S SEC TOURNAMENT GAME


Two big-time offenses collide in the SEC semifinal, and our expert college basketball predictions expect a high-scoring affair this afternoon at Bridgestone Arena.

Mar 15, 2025 • 09:27 ET

• 4 min read

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Photo By – Imagn Images.

The No. 2 seeded Florida Gators face off against the No. 3 seed Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC Tournament semifinals on Saturday.

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These elite attacks have been lighting up the scoreboard and my Alabama vs Florida predictions are betting on a shootout today.

Here are my best free college basketball picks for this conference tournament clash on March 15, with tipoff at 7 p.m. ET.

Who will win Alabama vs Florida?

Only two spots separate the No. 4 Florida Gators from the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide in the KenPom and NET rankings.

While both of these teams have highly efficient offenses, the Gators have a far better defense, ranking ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency, while the Tide are 35th.

Florida beat Alabama in Tuscaloosa just a week ago and it makes sense that they would be able to beat them in a rematch at a neutral site.

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Alabama vs Florida prediction

My best bet: Over 175.5 (-110 at bet365)

These national title contenders clashed in Tuscaloosa just a week ago, with the Gators handing the Alabama Crimson Tide a rare home loss. The Total was set at 178.5 in that contest and easily cashed, with the Florida Gators winning 99-94.

What was surprising about that high-scoring game was that neither side shot particularly well from the perimeter, with Florida going 8-27 and Alabama 9-25.

Based on the quality of shots taken and allowed, ShotQualityBets projected a whopping 208 points in that contest, which is why it’s strange to see the O/U open 4.5 points lower for the rematch (it has since ticked up 1.5 points).

The Tide are coming off their best defensive performance this season in a 99-70 victory against Kentucky. They held the Wildcats highly-rated attack to 38% shooting from the field with just five offensive boards while forcing 16 turnovers.

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That said, the Tide are 347th in the country in opponent turnover rate over the entire season, and I don’t see the disruptive defense from last night appearing against a Florida offense that ranks in the Top 50 in turnover rate.

The Gators beat Missouri 95-81 last night and shot a sizzling 62% from the floor. Since getting shut down by Tennessee’s elite defense on February 1, Florida’s offense has been firing on an all cylinders.

The Gators have scored more than 80 points in 10 of their last 11 games and have hit the 90-point plateau in their last three. 

As good as Florida’s defense is, I don’t see it completely slowing down an Alabama attack that leads the nation with 91.4 ppg this season.

The Tide have been held to fewer than 80 points just once in their last 15 games (against that same top-rated Volunteers defense) and hit the 90-point mark in 10 of those contests.

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With both of these teams featuring highly efficient and consistent offenses that play at a breakneck pace, strap yourself in for a shootout at Bridgestone Arena and bet the Over. 

Alabama vs Florida same-game parlay (SGP)

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I know this parlay seems a bit strange since I said that the Gators would likely win, but it pays out far better than the Florida ML as a leg and makes sense, given the circumstances.

The lower the score is, the better it suits the Gators, who will need to slow down Alabama’s elite offense.

But a high-scoring shootout tends to favor the Tide who have the firepower to go blow-for-blow with anyone.

It’s also tough for a team to beat an evenly matched conference foe twice in a row during the same season (see the recent Alabama/Auburn games).

That makes the Tide tempting to bet on in a revenge spot, especially since they’ve gone 5-2 straight up and 6-1 against the spread as underdogs this season.

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Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365’s early win payout

Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game CBB moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your school goes up by 18+ points!

Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365’s offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review.

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Alabama vs Florida odds

Alabama vs Florida live odds

Alabama vs Florida opening odds

  • Spread: Alabama +3.5 | Florida -3.5
  • Moneyline: Alabama +140 | Florida -165
  • Over/Under: Over 174 | Under 174

Odds courtesy of bet365

Alabama vs Florida betting trend to know

Despite some sky-high totals the Over the is 6-3 in Alabama last nine games while cashing in five straight contests for Florida. Find more college basketball betting trends for Alabama vs. Florida.

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How to watch Alabama vs Florida

Location Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
Date Saturday, 3-15-2025
Tip-off 3:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Alabama vs Florida key injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Alabama

Top-30 overall recruit Jaxon Richardson commits to Alabama

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Top-30 overall recruit Jaxon Richardson commits to Alabama


Jaxon Richardson, the No. 27 overall recruit in the 2026 class per the Rivals Industry Ranking, has committed to Alabama.

The 6-foot-6 four-star small forward out of Southeastern Prep (FL) ultimately chose the Crimson Tide over USC, Creighton, and Ole Miss. He also received offers from Miami, Cincinnati, Michigan, Florida, Villanova, and others.

Richardson, a McDonald’s All-American, becomes the Crimson Tide’s third commitment of the 2026 cycle. He joins four-star shooting guard Qayden Samuels (No. 28 NATL) and four-star small forward Tarris Bouie (No. 54 NATL).

He’s the son of NBA veteran and two-time NBA Dunk Contest champion Jason Richardson. His older brother, Jase, played for Michigan State last season before being selected 25th overall in the 2025 NBA Draft by the Orlando Magic.

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More on Richardson

Rivals’ National Recruiting Analyst Jamie Shaw says Richardson is one of the most explosive players in the 2026 class:

Jaxon Richardson is able to combine fluid athleticism with explosive burst in a way no other player in this class can. He uses his athleticism to his advantage on the floor. He fills the outside channels with a purpose in transition, he is aggressive in the passing lanes, and he plays as a vertical floor spacer in the dunker spots and lob plays. Last summer, playing with the Florida Rebels on Nike’s EYBL Circuit, the 6-foot-6 wing averaged 12.8 points on 54.0 percent shooting and 10.5 attempts per game. Last high school season, he averaged 12.9 points on 61.0 percent shooting on 8.9 attempts per game. He is a highly efficient player, as 84.4 percent of his makes last high school season were at the rim.



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Alabama Baseball Ties Stolen Base Record In Win Over Hornets

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Alabama Baseball Ties Stolen Base Record In Win Over Hornets


Alabama baseball cruised to a win over Alabama State on Wednesday night, beating the Hornets 13-4 to complete the season sweep. The Crimson Tide tied a program record with nine stolen bases in one of the stranger contests that will be played this season.

The tone was set for a tumultuous night on the basepaths in the opening minutes of the game. Leadoff batter Bryce Fowler, who exited Tuesday’s game after getting beaned in the head, was walked, and promptly took second base. He advanced to third on a wild pitch in Justin Lebron’s at-bat, paving the way for Lebron to steal second when he was ultimately walked as well.

The successful baserunning instantly paid off, as Brady Neal drove both in with a double to left-center field before John Lemm walked two at-bats later. Both runners stole their respective bases on the same pitch in Jason Torres’ plate appearance, meaning that four of the first five batters of the game stole a base.

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Alabama has been exceptional on the basepaths, sitting at 30-for-30 on the season. Lebron, who swiped two bags on Wednesday, leads the team with 12. The junior had an up-and-down night, hitting his eighth home run of the season, but also committing an error at shortstop for the fourth consecutive game.

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“Get those things out of there now, baby. The dude is unbelievable,” an unconcerned Rob Vaughn said on Tuesday of Lebron’s errors. “We’re going to look up at the end of the year, and that guy is going to have five or six errors, which one he’s got right now, and we’ll be like, ‘Man, that guy is the best of all time to do it.’”

Wednesday’s game was a very prototypical midweek contest with no shortage of quirks and oddities throughout its nearly four-hour runtime. Fifteen Alabama batters were walked, falling just one shy of the program record, and the hit by pitch record was tied as seven batters were plunked.

The game was never competitive from an on-field standpoint. After barely escaping with a 2-1 win in the first matchup with the Hornets two weeks ago, this was a far more accurate representation of what these games typically look like, as Alabama now leads the all-time series 15-0.

Freshman Joe Chiarodo made his first career start, allowing two hits and one walk over two scoreless innings. He was named the winning pitcher. Luke Smyers, Connor Lehman, Anthony Pesci and Tate Robertson were the other pitchers to take the mound. Lehman allowed a three-run blast in the sixth inning, and those were the only runs until the incredibly-named Skywalker Mann drove in a run off Robertson in the ninth.

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Perhaps the most shocking figure from the game was that Alabama had 19 runners left on base. The Crimson Tide left the bases loaded in four different innings. As stated, this was just a bizarre baseball game across the board. With the midweeks out of the way, the Crimson Tide gets to prepare for its final weekend tune-up before SEC play as North Florida heads into Tuscaloosa on Friday.



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Alabama

New Alabama law to set screen time limits for kids in day care, pre-K and kindergarten

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New Alabama law to set screen time limits for kids in day care, pre-K and kindergarten


The Healthy Early Development and Screen Time Act was signed on Wednesday, March 4, by Governor Kay Ivey to introduce limits on children’s screen time access in Alabama.

The Act is one of Ivey’s 2026 legislative priorities.

“Video screen access in classrooms can boost learning skills among our young children, but too much screen exposure can also be detrimental, harming critical social and cognitive development,” Ivey said. “The Healthy Early Development and Screen Time Act ensures our youngest students are provided a healthy balance of screen time and traditional learning in order to protect social and emotional development.”

Under the Healthy Early Development and Screen Time Act, the Alabama Department of Early Childhood Education will be required to work with the Department of Human Resources and the State Department of Education to develop guidelines for screen-based media.

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Guidelines will be implemented in early childhood education programs like day care centers, day care homes, night care facilities, pre-kindergarten, kindergarten and group day care homes. The Act was sponsored by Representative Jeana Ross and Senator Donnie Chesteen.

“House Bill 78 establishes clear, research-based expectations for how technology is used in early childhood settings,” said Ross. “The goal is not to eliminate technology, but to ensure its use is developmentally appropriate and never replaces the hands-on learning and human interaction young children need most. By setting thoughtful guardrails and aligning classroom practices with the best available research on early brain development, this legislation supports educators, protects the quality of early learning and reinforces our commitment to giving Alabama’s youngest students the strongest possible start.”

A training program will also be created by the Department of Early Childhood Education to create a baseline for the appropriate use of child screentime for teachers and staff members supervising children.

“The Healthy Early Development and Screen Time Act represents another important step in ensuring Alabama’s youngest children grow and learn in environments that prioritize human interaction, exploration and healthy development,” said Chesteen. “Building on the progress made with last year’s FOCUS Act, this legislation continues our commitment to protecting the most formative years of childhood. I am grateful to Governor Kay Ivey and my colleagues in the Legislature for recognizing the importance of this issue and working together to support Alabama families.”

The Healthy Early Development and Screen Time Act will become effective on January 1, 2027.

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