Alabama
ALABAMA VS FLORIDA PREDICTION, PICKS & ODDS FOR TODAY'S SEC TOURNAMENT GAME
Two big-time offenses collide in the SEC semifinal, and our expert college basketball predictions expect a high-scoring affair this afternoon at Bridgestone Arena.
Photo By – Imagn Images.
The No. 2 seeded Florida Gators face off against the No. 3 seed Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC Tournament semifinals on Saturday.
These elite attacks have been lighting up the scoreboard and my Alabama vs Florida predictions are betting on a shootout today.
Here are my best free college basketball picks for this conference tournament clash on March 15, with tipoff at 7 p.m. ET.
Who will win Alabama vs Florida?
Only two spots separate the No. 4 Florida Gators from the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide in the KenPom and NET rankings.
While both of these teams have highly efficient offenses, the Gators have a far better defense, ranking ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency, while the Tide are 35th.
Florida beat Alabama in Tuscaloosa just a week ago and it makes sense that they would be able to beat them in a rematch at a neutral site.
Alabama vs Florida prediction
My best bet: Over 175.5 (-110 at bet365)
These national title contenders clashed in Tuscaloosa just a week ago, with the Gators handing the Alabama Crimson Tide a rare home loss. The Total was set at 178.5 in that contest and easily cashed, with the Florida Gators winning 99-94.
What was surprising about that high-scoring game was that neither side shot particularly well from the perimeter, with Florida going 8-27 and Alabama 9-25.
Based on the quality of shots taken and allowed, ShotQualityBets projected a whopping 208 points in that contest, which is why it’s strange to see the O/U open 4.5 points lower for the rematch (it has since ticked up 1.5 points).
The Tide are coming off their best defensive performance this season in a 99-70 victory against Kentucky. They held the Wildcats highly-rated attack to 38% shooting from the field with just five offensive boards while forcing 16 turnovers.
That said, the Tide are 347th in the country in opponent turnover rate over the entire season, and I don’t see the disruptive defense from last night appearing against a Florida offense that ranks in the Top 50 in turnover rate.
The Gators beat Missouri 95-81 last night and shot a sizzling 62% from the floor. Since getting shut down by Tennessee’s elite defense on February 1, Florida’s offense has been firing on an all cylinders.
The Gators have scored more than 80 points in 10 of their last 11 games and have hit the 90-point plateau in their last three.
As good as Florida’s defense is, I don’t see it completely slowing down an Alabama attack that leads the nation with 91.4 ppg this season.
The Tide have been held to fewer than 80 points just once in their last 15 games (against that same top-rated Volunteers defense) and hit the 90-point mark in 10 of those contests.
With both of these teams featuring highly efficient and consistent offenses that play at a breakneck pace, strap yourself in for a shootout at Bridgestone Arena and bet the Over.
Alabama vs Florida same-game parlay (SGP)
I know this parlay seems a bit strange since I said that the Gators would likely win, but it pays out far better than the Florida ML as a leg and makes sense, given the circumstances.
The lower the score is, the better it suits the Gators, who will need to slow down Alabama’s elite offense.
But a high-scoring shootout tends to favor the Tide who have the firepower to go blow-for-blow with anyone.
It’s also tough for a team to beat an evenly matched conference foe twice in a row during the same season (see the recent Alabama/Auburn games).
That makes the Tide tempting to bet on in a revenge spot, especially since they’ve gone 5-2 straight up and 6-1 against the spread as underdogs this season.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365’s early win payout
Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game CBB moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your school goes up by 18+ points!
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Alabama vs Florida odds
Alabama vs Florida live odds
Alabama vs Florida opening odds
- Spread: Alabama +3.5 | Florida -3.5
- Moneyline: Alabama +140 | Florida -165
- Over/Under: Over 174 | Under 174
Odds courtesy of bet365
Alabama vs Florida betting trend to know
Despite some sky-high totals the Over the is 6-3 in Alabama last nine games while cashing in five straight contests for Florida. Find more college basketball betting trends for Alabama vs. Florida.
How to watch Alabama vs Florida
| Location | Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN |
| Date | Saturday, 3-15-2025 |
| Tip-off | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Alabama vs Florida key injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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Alabama
Marques surges past Carl in Alabama congressional race as former congressman’s comeback bid stalls — 45% still undecided
State Rep. Rhett Marques (R-Enterprise) opened a six-point lead over former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl (R-Mobile) in the Alabama congressional race for the First District, and Carl’s comeback bid shows no signs of catching up.
The PI Polling survey, conducted May 2 through May 4 for Alabama Daily News, puts Marques at 27% and Carl at 21% among likely Republican primary voters. Joshua McKee trailed at 4%.
The trend line tells the sharper story. Marques climbed steadily across three consecutive PI Polling surveys, rising from 19% in early April to 22% later that month to 27% now. Carl posted 23%, 20%, and 21% across the same stretch. Marques is building. Carl is treading water.
Forty-five percent of likely Republican primary voters remain undecided, meaning the Alabama congressional race will be decided by which campaign breaks through in the final two weeks.
Carl pulls 46% in Mobile County, home turf for the former county commissioner and congressman.
That advantage vanishes everywhere else. Marques leads in Baldwin County, holds a 32-to-6 edge in the Dothan media market, and dominates the district’s rural and exurban counties at 38% to Carl’s 5%.
The Alabama congressional race outside Mobile belongs to Marques.
Marques also leads Carl across every ideological group the survey tracked: very conservative voters at 29% to 21%, somewhat conservative voters at 26% to 21%, and moderates at 26% to 19%.
His favorability climbed from 24% in early April to 32% now, with just 9% unfavorable. Fifty-nine percent of voters still have no opinion of him, leaving significant room to grow as the primary closes.
Alabama requires a majority to win a party primary outright. If no candidate clears 50% on May 19, the top two finishers will advance to a runoff on June 16. With nearly half the electorate still uncommitted, a runoff remains a very real possibility.
The survey was conducted May 2 through May 4, 2026 by PI Polling for Alabama Daily News. It included 531 likely Republican primary election voters and was weighted to match likely 2026 turnout demographics. The margin of error is ±4.3% at a 95% level of confidence.
Sawyer Knowles is a capitol reporter for Yellowhammer News. You may contact him at [email protected].
Alabama
How Kalen DeBoer is building Alabama football quarterback room
Kalen DeBoer explains Austin Mack Alabama football A-Day snap total
Here’s what Kalen DeBoer said about Alabama quarterback Austin Mack’s A-Day performance.
While recruiting, Alabama football coach Kalen DeBoer never promises anything. Ever.
And in the Crimson Tide’s quarterback room, that approach works.
It’s what kept Austin Mack, the fourth-year DeBoer disciple, and former five-star Keelon Russell in the same 2026 quarterback room, along with freshmen Jett Thomalla and Tayden-Evan Kaawa. It’s what convinced five-star Elijah Haven to join a 2027 recruiting class that already had four-star Trent Seaborn committed.
This is Alabama’s development-forward quarterback philosophy, at least for now.
“What you can show them is the past and whatever we’ve done, what it looked like for those quarterbacks,” DeBoer told The Tuscaloosa News. “Their success and production when they were in college, the growth and how that led to them going to the next level. You show them the past and then you show them what we have here at Alabama.”
It’s the story of Alabama’s 2026 room, one where the eventually-named starter — whether it’s Mack or Russell — will have waited his turn, will have watched and learned. That’s the path DeBoer wants, even if it’s not the same path other college football powers take.
In the 12-team 2025 College Football Playoff fold, seven offenses were led by a veteran transfer quarterback, including each one that ended up in the CFP national championship game.
DeBoer has had transfers. Oregon State transfer Marcus McMaryion was his quarterback at Fresno State in 2017 and 2018. Washington transfer Jake Haener was DeBoer’s quarterback at Fresno State in 2020 and 2021. Michael Penix Jr. followed DeBoer to Washington in 2022 from Indiana. And Mack followed DeBoer to Tuscaloosa.
But in terms of proven entities, in terms of rentals for one last run at a national championship, that doesn’t seem to be DeBoer’s style.
“To me, what you’d love to have is a guy who can come in and he can feel comfortable when his time comes,” DeBoer said. “Sooner than later is what they are hoping for, but (to be) so comfortable with the offense, the people around him and what it looks like leadership wise.”
This is the story of Ty Simpson, who had the respect of his teammates after seasons of work in the shadows. DeBoer knew exactly who Simpson was as a person. DeBoer understood Simpson’s strengths enough to put him in a position to succeed.
“The more knowledge they have of the offense, the easier it is to make checks and execute in the biggest moments that they are going to be in here,” DeBoer said.
That’s a part of Alabama’s recruiting pitch at quarterback, something DeBoer and company made clear to Haven. And it’s a philosophy that may not remain stagnant.
“Just because Alabama hasn’t necessarily dipped into the transfer portal a whole lot over the last, whatever, five, six years that that’s really become such a big thing, that doesn’t mean that can’t change because, certainly, you got to win and you got to win now,” The Dunham School football coach Neil Weiner said. “Sometimes those older, veteran guys are the ones that do it. I think Elijah understands that. I don’t think he’s worried about who will come in in the future.”
No promises were made in Alabama’s quarterback room. But the pitch remains clear and consistent, one players continue to buy into.
“I think it’s just making it very clear and then what happens is guys who really want to be pushed to be the best,” DeBoer said. “And (if) it’s actually who they are, they end up being attracted to that, and they want to be a part of it.”
Colin Gay covers Alabama football for The Tuscaloosa News, part of the USA TODAY Network. Reach him at cgay@gannett.com or follow him @_ColinGay on X, formerly known as Twitter.
Alabama
Alabama AG files emergency request to reinstate congressional map before May 19 primary
MONTGOMERY, Ala. (WBMA) — Alabama Attorney General Steve Marshall is asking a federal court to allow the state to use its own congressional district map ahead of the May 19 primary, arguing that the recent U.S. Supreme Court decision has changed the legal landscape for voting rights redistricting challenges.
Marshall filed an emergency motion with the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Alabama seeking to lift injunctions that have blocked Alabama from using the congressional map enacted by the Legislature. The request follows what Marshall described as a landmark Supreme Court ruling last week that “significantly changed the legal standards governing voting rights redistricting claims.”
In that ruling, the Supreme Court held that states have authority to draw district lines based on political and traditional geographic considerations, and that challengers must show race — not partisan politics — drove a state’s decisions. The court also held that pointing to racially polarized voting patterns alone is not enough to prove a violation without also showing the voting patterns could not be explained by party affiliation.
“The Supreme Court has confirmed that the claims that led to the injunctions against Alabama’s map are no longer viable,” Marshall said. “We are asking the court to lift those injunctions so that Alabama can conduct its congressional elections using the map its legislature lawfully enacted.”
The filing is the latest in a series of actions Marshall has taken since the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais. On April 30, Marshall filed emergency motions with the U.S. Supreme Court asking it to vacate the congressional map injunctions and remand the cases. On May 4, he filed a separate emergency motion with the Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals seeking to lift injunctions involving a different set of maps — Alabama’s state Senate districts.
The motion filed today asks the original district court that issued the congressional map injunctions to stay its own orders while appeals continue.
Gov. Kay Ivey has called the Alabama Legislature into a special session this week to prepare for the possibility that elections may proceed under the state’s map. Marshall asked the court to rule no later than 3 p.m. tomorrow, May 6, saying the state needs time to make preparations before the primary.
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“Alabama deserves the same opportunity as every other state to conduct its elections in an orderly manner using a map drawn by its own legislature,” Marshall said. “I will continue to do everything in my power to make that a reality. We are confident the court will recognize that last week’s Supreme Court decision requires a fresh look at these injunctions.”
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