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Alabama vs. Auburn score prediction by expert football model

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Alabama vs. Auburn score prediction by expert football model


Iron Bowl 2025 is here, as SEC title and playoff hopeful Alabama hits the road looking to avoid a third loss against rival Auburn, hoping to simply become bowl eligible.

Alabama has never been ranked in the top-ten and lost on the road against an unranked Auburn team, and this time around the Tide have a shot at reaching the SEC Championship Game.

Auburn has history on its side in a way, losing by a combined five points in their last two home games against the Crimson Tide, whose playoff hopes are considerably shakier now with two losses.

Looking ahead to this week’s matchup, let’s check out the latest college football predictions from the SP+ computer prediction model.

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The model simulates every NCAA college football game and uses key analytics from both teams and picks winners based on a projected scoring margin per game.

The model predictably likes the Crimson Tide over the Tigers, but in a very close game.

SP+ predicts that Alabama will defeat Auburn by a projected score of 27 to 21 and will win the game by an expected margin of 6.0 points in the process.

The model gives the Crimson Tide a solid 65 percent chance against the Tigers outright.

SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”

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How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ college football prediction model is 349-336 against the spread with a 50.9 win percentage. Last week, it was 29-31 (48.3%) in its picks against the spread.

The betting markets also favor the Crimson Tide, but by less than a touchdown on the road.

Alabama is a 5.5 point favorite against Auburn, according to the latest game lines posted to FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel lists the total at 46.5 points for the matchup, and set the moneyline odds for Alabama at -220 and for Auburn at +184 to win outright.

Ty Simpson has been the backbone of an efficient Alabama aerial attack, but has seen his efficiency slip in recent weeks heading into what could be an intense road environment.

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Auburn does not have the same skill at quarterback, but have proven successful at running the football, albeit now into the teeth of a much improved Alabama run defense.

College Football HQ predicts: Alabama wins, and covers.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

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‘I want to see lower rates in Alabama’: Britt presses Energy Secretary on lowering power bills

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‘I want to see lower rates in Alabama’: Britt presses Energy Secretary on lowering power bills


Sen. Katie Britt (R-Montgomery) pressed Energy Secretary Chris Wright on lowering energy costs for Alabama families during a Senate Appropriations subcommittee hearing reviewing the Department of Energy’s fiscal year 2027 budget request.

Britt opened her questioning by focusing on data center development and its impact on residential ratepayers.

“We have to keep that compute power advantage. That is critically important,” Britt said. “But in the larger conversation, we want to make sure that that advantage and the cost of that doesn’t actually fall on family’s power bills. Between 2021 and 2025, we saw residential power bills go up in this nation over 40%. It’s totally unacceptable.”

She noted that wholesale electricity prices in data center heavy regions surged over 250% during the same period, and credited the Trump Administration’s Ratepayer Protection Pledge and Energy Dominance Financing announcement with freezing rates in Alabama and Georgia.

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“But ultimately, we’ve got to figure out how do we drill down and how do we actually lower rates, not just freeze them?” Britt said. “I want to see lower rates in Alabama.”

Wright outlined steps the department is taking to bring costs down.

“We worked with you and the Senate and the House to finally end the 34 years of wind subsidies and solar subsidies,” Wright said. “We’re focusing on, in the short term, how can we get more out of our existing grid? We’re upgrading hydro facilities. We’re upgrading natural gas facilities. We’ve restarted a nuclear power plant, which will have a ribbon cutting on very soon.”

Britt also raised grid cybersecurity and workforce development, citing work underway at Auburn University through SERC-3, and asked Wright to dedicate budget resources to grid security workforce needs. Wright confirmed the department’s commitment.

Sawyer Knowles is a capitol reporter for Yellowhammer News. You may contact him at [email protected].

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WalletHub says Alabama among worst states for working moms. Here’s why

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WalletHub says Alabama among worst states for working moms. Here’s why


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Balancing a career and raising a family is no small task, and where you live can make a big difference in how manageable that balance feels.

For working mothers in Alabama, achieving this balance may be especially challenging. In a recent analysis by WalletHub, Alabama ranked 50th out of 51 (including Washington, D.C.) for working moms.

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From childcare costs to workplace advancement, working mothers across Alabama face challenges that contribute to the state’s low national ranking.

Here’s how Alabama ranks in WalletHub’s analysis.

Working moms in Alabama are struggling

Alabama ranked 50th out of 51 states, with an overall score of 27.29 out of 100, based on assessments across several key categories affecting working mothers. 

  • Childcare systems: 47th nationally.
  • Professional opportunities: 49th.
  • Female executive representation: 49th.
  • Work-life balance: 43rd.

The state also performed poorly in the quality and availability of the daycare system, according to the report.

These rankings mirror the daily realities for many working mothers in Alabama, who weigh affordability, career growth and family care.

Limited access to high-quality childcare can make full-time employment more difficult, while fewer women in leadership roles may signal narrower career advancement paths. These challenges are especially significant for households balancing rising living costs with child-rearing responsibilities.

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WalletHub expert insight

WalletHub noted that women make up nearly half of the U.S. workforce, and about 74% of mothers with children under 18 are employed, underscoring the importance of supportive workplace and childcare systems.

“The U.S. still has a lot of work to do when it comes to improving conditions for working moms, given the wage gap and the lack of representation women have in certain leadership positions,” said Chip Lupo, a WalletHub analyst.

Top states for mothers:

In contrast to Alabama’s low ranking, several states excel in support for working mothers. Here are the top 10:

  1. Connecticut
  2. Massachusetts
  3. Rhode Island
  4. New Jersey
  5. Vermont
  6. Maine
  7. Minnesota
  8. District of Columbia
  9. New York
  10. North Dakota

The worst states for mothers:

Notably, Alabama joins other states struggling across key measures. Here are the bottom 10:

  1. Louisiana
  2. Alabama
  3. New Mexico
  4. Mississippi
  5. Nevada
  6. Arizona
  7. South Carolina
  8. West Virginia
  9. Texas
  10. Idaho

WalletHub’s methodology

WalletHub’s analysis compares all 50 states and Washington, D.C., across 17 metrics in three categories—childcare, professional opportunities, and work-life balance—including childcare quality and costs, gender pay gaps, women’s leadership, parental leave policies and access to health care.

Each state was scored on a 100-point scale and ranked by overall performance across these measures.

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Jennifer Lindahl is a Breaking and Trending Reporter in Alabama for USA TODAY’s Deep South Connect Team. Connect with her on X @jenn_lindahl and email at jlindahl@usatodayco.com.



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Ex-Alabama tackle pleads guilty in $20M NFL player impersonation case

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Ex-Alabama tackle pleads guilty in M NFL player impersonation case


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Prosecutors say Luther Davis wore wigs and makeup to disguise himself as NFL players in a sham loan scheme.

Alabama’s Luther Davis reacts after its 32-13 win over Florida in the SEC championship NCAA college football game at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta on Dec. 5, 2009. Davis pleaded guilty Monday to fraud in a $20 million federal case accusing him of impersonating NFL players to secure loans. (Dave Martin/AP)

A former defensive tackle at the University of Alabama pleaded guilty Monday to felony charges in a federal case accusing him of wearing wigs and makeup to impersonate NFL players and fraudulently secure almost $20 million in loans.

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Luther Davis, 37, pleaded guilty to single counts of conspiracy to commit wire fraud and aggravated identity theft in a deal with prosecutors.

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Rosie Manins

Journalist Rosie Manins is a legal affairs reporter for The Atlanta Journal-Constitution.



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