Science

The Wildfire Researchers Who Burn Houses Down on Purpose

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A group in South Carolina is burning houses to better understand how wildfires spread.

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On a sweltering spring day in South Carolina, a worker they call the “Burn Boss” stands by a house, holding a torch. The radio crackles with a countdown, “3, 2, 1!”

And the Burn Boss sets the house on fire.

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Within minutes, flames breach the walls and enter the building. They set alight a sofa, a bed, a closet full of clothes and a kitchen stocked with cooking oil and potato chips — all fuels for an accelerating blaze. Moments later, the light and heat roar outward from shattered windows, forcing onlookers to step back.

This is a test.

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A nonprofit in South Carolina is in the unusual business of intentionally burning down houses built for this purpose in order to learn how best to protect people and their property against catastrophic wildfires.

As climate change amplifies heat waves and droughts, it is priming wildfires to burn bigger and faster. At the same time, people continue to move into areas more vulnerable to fire. This one-two punch is driving record financial losses as homes and entire communities burn.

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Controlled experiments like these are contributing to a growing body of evidence suggesting that losing entire communities to fire is not inevitable, if the right steps are taken when designing homes and neighborhoods. If you can “prevent this house from igniting, you’ve likely prevented the next one from igniting,” said Murray Morrison, the Managing Director of Research at the Insurance Institute for Business and Home Safety, or IBHS, the organization running the test.

Disastrous wildfires used to be thought of as relatively isolated events, but there’s been a significant change in their frequency, said Michael J. Gollner, the director of the fire research laboratory at the University of California at Berkeley. “We have to start recognizing that our communities are no longer safe,” he said.

Tests like the one in South Carolina are an acknowledgment that climate change is already affecting people’s lives in potentially devastating ways.

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Covers being removed just before the test.

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Flames catch beneath open eaves.

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After the test house ignites, IBHS employees track the flames as they burrow under the roof, shatter windows and send a torrent of embers toward a second building downwind. While they’re studying the blaze, a wall of industrial turbines fan the flames with gusts up to 50 miles per hour — roughly the same wind speeds that helped to fuel the wildfires in 2018 that destroyed Paradise, Calif., one of the most devastating disasters in recent years.

By the end of the experiment, millions of data points will capture exactly how a fire might spread from house to house. This is precisely the kind of blaze that’s becoming more common as wildfires reach into dense neighborhoods.

Few organizations have the funding and facilities to study fire in this way. In a series of experiments, researchers have burned down 14 “test” homes. They tweak the building materials, wind speeds and other variables to mimic real-world conditions. The video above shows the downwind building, equipped with a half-million dollars of sensors and equipment, as it measured the danger posed by its fiery neighbor under one of these scenarios.

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These and other experiments have taught valuable lessons. For example, use building materials and methods designed to withstand embers, heat and flames. Remove flammable things in the yard, particularly within five feet of a building, to lower the chance of fire reaching it at all.

An analysis found that communities combining these strategies were twice as likely to survive a major conflagration.

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The insurance industry, which is the primary source of funding for IBHS, is using its research. California requires insurers to offer discounts if homeowners upgrade their properties to be more fire-resistant. Some of the biggest savings come from meeting a collection of standards that qualify for a certification under the IBHS Wildfire Prepared Home program, rather than making individual changes. California’s fifth-largest insurer, CSAA, now guarantees policies to anyone with the certification.

Studies also show that the distance between buildings is important. Ideally, according to IBHS research, homes would have 30 feet or more between them to minimize the chance that one becomes fuel to burn the other.

Of course, the distance between homes is impossible to modify once a neighborhood has been built. But “can we reduce the exposure enough that the hardened materials on the neighbor’s structure actually prevent your home from igniting?” asked Dr. Morrison. “What you’re trying to do is stop the catastrophe, not achieve perfection,” he said.

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A camera set up to record the test.

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Industrial fans generate realistic wind.

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Even though California has some of the country’s strongest standards for new construction, it has struggled to keep pace with the wildfire threat. After devastating fire seasons in 2017 and 2018, private insurers began rapidly dropping customers, pushing more than 500,000 homeowners onto the state’s costly, bare-bones insurer of last resort. Many people have decided to forgo coverage altogether.

In an effort to lure insurance companies back into the state, California lawmakers have taken steps to require people to reduce their fire risk.

In 2020, the state legislature passed a bill requiring people in particularly fire-prone places to clear flammable materials from the first five feet around their house. However, some local officials and neighborhood organizations objected, and implementation of the plan has been delayed.

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Unwilling to wait, the city of Berkeley, Calif., enacted its own local version of the rules. They took effect in January. This is an area where there is a strong body of research,” said Colin Arnold, the assistant fire chief at Berkeley Fire.

As this map shows, homes in Berkeley with starkly different fire risks can exist on the very same street, depending on construction methods, vegetation nearby and proximity to other houses. By focusing on the blocks closest to the fire-prone hills to the east, Berkeley officials hope to lower the threat posed to the rest of the city.

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Building-to-building fire risk in Berkeley

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Note: Map shows risk to individual buildings from wildfires that transition into the urban environment. Risk scores account for building materials and surrounding vegetation. Source: Cotality. The New York Times

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To ease the transition, fire officials started with voluntary inspections and community groups are helping clear brush for neighbors at no cost. And local landscape architects are helping residents adapt their yards in ways that they still find attractive.

Wildfire isn’t a new threat; it’s been affecting humanity for millennia, said Roy Wright, the president of IBHS. “I don’t want us to ever assert that we can somehow design ourselves out of this risk,” he said. The goal, instead, is to put people in a place where “the risk doesn’t feel catastrophic.”

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