Science
Earth is warming faster than previously estimated, new study shows
Planetary warming has significantly accelerated over the past 10 years, with temperatures rising at a higher rate since 2015 than in any previous decade on record, a new study showed.
The Earth warmed around 0.35 degrees Celsius in the decade to 2025, compared to just under 0.2C per decade on average between 1970 and 2015, according to a paper published on Friday in the scientific journal Geophysical Research Letters. This is the first statistically significant evidence of an acceleration of global warming, the authors said.
The past three years have been the hottest on record, compared to the average before the Industrial Revolution. In 2024, warming went past 1.5C, the lower limit set by the Paris Agreement. That target refers to temperature increases over 20 years, but breaching it for one year shows efforts to slow down climate change have been insufficient, the scientists who wrote the new paper said.
The findings shed light on an ongoing debate among researchers. While there is consensus that greenhouse gas emissions have caused the planet to heat up since pre-industrial times, that warming had been steady for decades. But record-breaking temperatures in recent years have led scientists to question whether the pace of temperature gains is accelerating.
Demonstrating that was difficult due to natural fluctuations in temperatures. The researchers filtered out the “noise” to make the “underlying long-term warming signal” more clearly visible, said Grant Foster, a co-author of the study and a U.S.-based statistics expert.
Researchers isolated phenomena including the El Niño weather phase, volcanic eruptions and solar irradiance. When looking at temperature increases without their influence, the authors concluded the evidence is “strong” that the accelerated warming was not due to an unusually hot 2023 and 2024, but that since 2015 global temperatures departed from their previous, slower path of warming.
The new report adds to a growing body of work that indicates climate change is having a quicker and larger impact on the planet than scientists have understood. A separate paper published this week found that many studies on sea-level increases underestimate how much water along the coast has already risen.
“If the warming rate of the past 10 years continues, it would lead to a long-term exceedance of the 1.5C limit of the Paris Agreement before 2030,” said Stefan Rahmstorf, the lead author of the warming study and a researcher at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. “How quickly the Earth continues to warm ultimately depends on how rapidly we reduce global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels to zero.”
Millan writes for Bloomberg.
Science
The Vaccine Skeptic in Trump’s New C.D.C. Leadership Team
When President Trump named a new leadership team at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention two weeks ago, public attention focused on Dr. Erica Schwartz, his nominee to be the agency’s director. Her public support of vaccines was interpreted by some as a sign that Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s quest to limit childhood immunizations might be coming to an end.
But another senior official Mr. Trump named to the team shares many of Mr. Kennedy’s views, suggesting the potential for continuing tension at the public health agency.
Mr. Trump appointed Dr. Sara Brenner, a deputy commissioner at the Food and Drug Administration and a self-described “MAHA mom,” to be Mr. Kennedy’s senior counselor for public health, a post that, unlike the C.D.C. director, does not require Senate confirmation. A look at Dr. Brenner’s background suggests she is aligned with Mr. Kennedy on some of his signature issues, including skepticism about vaccines and a strong belief in the importance of fitness.
The public health counselor serves as the liaison between the health secretary and the C.D.C. (and on occasion the White House). As such, Dr. Brenner, who starts the job in the next couple of weeks, will be Mr. Kennedy’s eyes and ears at an agency he has been warring with through most of his tenure as the nation’s top health official.
She will be based in Washington in the office of the secretary, and will most likely meet with the top officials at the C.D.C. at least once every day. She will also be Mr. Kennedy’s liaison to the National Institutes of Health, an agency that has come under fire for making large cuts to medical research grants.
Dr. Nirav Shah, who was the C.D.C.’s principal deputy director from March 2023 through February 2025, said Dr. Brenner could wield a powerful influence on the nation’s public health policies through her role. (Dr. Shah, a Democrat, is currently running for governor in Maine.)
He cited the work of previous officials who held that role and acted as “a conduit and a sounding board for agencies to help them get where they wanted to go.”
“If Sara follows that lead,” he added, “then there’s a possibility that it will be constructive. But if she rather asserts herself as a stand-in for the secretary or the director, then what we will see is more political interference.”
The Department of Health and Human Services would not make Dr. Brenner available for an interview.
“Dr. Brenner was selected for this role because of her experience as a physician and her work on federal public health policy,” Andrew Nixon, a spokesman for the department, said in an emailed statement.
“She brings a strong understanding of both clinical care and research and will work with Secretary Kennedy to optimize coordination with the C.D.C. and N.I.H.,” he added.
At a Make America Healthy Again event last May, Dr. Brenner said she had been pregnant during the pandemic and chose not to receive the Covid vaccine because she was concerned about the vaccine’s “biodistribution patterns.”
She co-wrote a memo saying there was “no clear evidence” that the benefits of Covid vaccines for children under 18 outweighed the risk of harm. She also intervened in the F.D.A.’s review of Novavax’s Covid vaccine, asking for more data on the shot at the 11th hour — a highly unusual step for the agency’s deputy commissioner.
Sarah Despres, who served as the public health counselor during the Biden administration, would not comment on Dr. Brenner specifically. But she said a person in that role would receive enough notice of new initiatives and scientific reports, including in the agency’s flagship journal, for her or the secretary’s office to block them.
“If you’re interested in interfering, you will have a heads-up,” Ms. Despres said.
Dr. Brenner, who holds degrees in medicine and public health, is currently a principal deputy commissioner at the F.D.A. In interviews, four former senior officials who worked closely with her described her as ambitious and eager to please her bosses, even if that meant going against the interests of the F.D.A.’s rank-and-file employees. (They asked to remain anonymous because of fear of retaliation from the administration.)
Two former colleagues recalled Dr. Brenner saying that people should not reflexively believe in vaccines but should insist on facts as they do for other medical products — echoing comments made by Mr. Kennedy and others who question vaccines. Dr. Brenner seemed unaware of the large body of evidence on vaccine safety that already exists, the colleagues said.
Asked about Dr. Brenner’s views on vaccines, Mr. Nixon said, “Anonymous characterizations don’t reflect her record.”
Aaron Siri, a lawyer who for years joined with Mr. Kennedy to bring lawsuits over vaccine safety, said he believed Dr. Brenner would “at least critically consider concerns” from people with opposing views.
“Wherever she comes out at the end, at least you feel like the data and evidence were given a more objective overall review,” he said.
Dr. Brenner joined the F.D.A. in 2019 as a midlevel scientist in the agency’s Center for Devices and Radiological Health. Shortly after Mr. Trump’s inauguration, in January 2025, she was catapulted to the position of acting commissioner, a job she held until April when his nominee for the job, Dr. Martin Makary, became the agency’s leader.
Before her ascent, some top officials were unfamiliar with her. Dr. Janet Woodcock, who worked at the agency for decades and was its principal deputy commissioner from 2022 to 2024, said she had “never even heard her name.”
Dr. Robert Califf, who led the F.D.A. during parts of the Obama and Biden administrations, said Dr. Brenner “was part of some briefings and seemed very professional,” but he did not know her well enough to comment on her work.
Dr. Brenner may have come to the attention of Mr. Trump’s team when she worked at the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy during his first term. After being named acting commissioner, she fully embraced the MAHA movement, signing her introductory emails to the F.D.A. staff with the slogan.
She was the agency’s leader while widespread layoffs were decimating the ranks of staff scientists. In her communications with staff members, she amplified the messages of the administration and did not address the distress of the employees, the former colleagues said. At the same time, she made it clear that she did not want to be in the office five days a week and sometimes showed up to meetings in workout clothes, the colleagues said.
In a video posted by the F.D.A. to social media as a “spin on the Pete and Bobby challenge” — referring to fitness videos made by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Mr. Kennedy — she knocks out 50 burpees, 50 forearm to full planks and 100 bicycle situps in seven minutes and one second.
Sounding much like Mr. Kennedy, she says, “I’ve been encouraging people my whole career to understand that taking care of their body is one of the most important things that you can do on a daily basis.”
Mr. Nixon, the health department spokesman, said that “Dr. Brenner exemplifies what it means to be a MAHA mom through her commitment to improving children’s health and well-being through nutrition and fitness.”
The other three officials Mr. Trump named to lead the C.D.C. have all been enthusiastically received by public health experts.
Dr. Schwartz, the White House’s nominee to be the agency’s director, has degrees in medicine and public health and has praised vaccines, prompting cautious optimism that she will steady the C.D.C. It is unclear when she might be confirmed by Senate. The White House has not yet filed papers to move her nomination forward.
The agency has been without an official director since Mr. Kennedy fired Susan Monarez after a dispute over vaccine policy 29 days after she began the job. The agency has also experienced widespread layoffs, resignations and a shooting since Mr. Trump returned to the White House.
In hearings before Congress over the past few days, Mr. Kennedy has contradicted himself, telling one group of lawmakers that he would not commit to carrying out Dr. Schwartz’s policies on vaccines, but later recanting that stance in front of another.
But Dr. Schwartz is also a longstanding member of the armed forces, used to following orders in that context, some public health experts noted.
Mr. Trump named two others, Sean Slovenski, a seasoned health care executive, and Dr. Jennifer Shuford, a highly respected epidemiologist and physician, as deputies to Dr. Schwartz. But more quietly, the administration has also appointed Stephen Sayle, a former tobacco executive, as deputy director for legislative affairs. And several other political appointees with known antipathy to vaccines, including Stuart Burns, remain at the agency.
Mr. Kennedy and his appointees have already skirted the normal procedures to try to alter the childhood vaccine schedule, although a federal judge has blocked those efforts. And Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, the C.D.C.’s acting head, recently canceled publication of a report showing the effectiveness of Covid shots last winter.
It is unclear where Dr. Brenner stands on other issues and whether she would go along with Mr. Kennedy’s agenda without question.
“It’s important for people who work in the Office of the Secretary to have their own red lines, and to be willing to push back if a request from their boss comes that is inappropriate,” Ms. Despres said.
Science
Chonkers the ‘Food-Motivated’ Sea Lion Plops Into San Francisco
A very large sea lion is drawing onlookers to a pier popular among both other sea lions and tourists in San Francisco, wowing visitors and catapulting him to online fame.
“POV: You pull up to the gym and see that one guy who’s just built different,” reads the caption on one video of the sea lion. Commenters across several Reddit threads dedicated to the mammal call him an “AbsoluteUnit,” “Harbor Master” and “Sir Chungus Maximus.”
But the name that has stuck is Chonkers — because, well, he is chonky.
Video posted on social media last month showed the sea lion leaping from the bay onto a pontoon full of smaller sea lions, who immediately scattered to make way. Chonkers, about two to three times as large, weighs about 1,500 to 2,000 pounds, according to experts. He has a light-tan coat and a boxy, bearlike head.
He is not a freak of nature. He is a Steller sea lion.
His species, unlike the California sea lions most typically found around San Francisco, rarely shows up at Pier 39 — a popular tourist spot near one end of Fisherman’s Wharf. There, thousands of the less sizable animals laze atop wooden floats installed for their rest.
Steller sea lions typically migrate farther offshore, said Laura Gill, the public programs manager at the Marine Mammal Center in Sausalito, which has been tracking Chonkers since March 13. She and other experts believe Chonkers most likely swam about 30 miles from a rookery in the Farallon Islands, making his way under the Golden Gate Bridge and into the San Francisco Bay.
The bay’s waters are more shallow than the open sea, Ms. Gill said, where sea lions can avoid predators and more easily track prey like anchovies and rockfish. The floating platforms, she added, are a comfortable alternative to the harsh ocean, where, in order to rest, a sea lion may have to haul itself onto jagged rocks.
“They can just rest on those platforms for hours, days at a time,” she added, “and not have to worry about the elements.” Though life is great at the dock, the journey there is long, which may deter other Steller sea lions, Ms. Gill said.
Steller sea lions are similar in appearance to California sea lions, but they grow much larger. Males can be up to 11 feet long and weigh up to about 2,500 pounds.
They usually forage at night, feasting on more than a hundred species of fish and cephalopods. But individual sea lions may adopt their own hunting strategies, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
“He’s kind of out of the ordinary,” Ms. Gill said of Chonkers. “He is probably just very food-motivated.”
On the Farallon Islands, Steller sea lions and their smaller counterparts, the California sea lion, compete intensely for food, Ms. Gill said.
“Chonkers is kind of just working smarter and not harder,” she added, “trying to find the easy, safe place where there’s less competition, less predators.” At Pier 39, Ms. Gill said, Chonkers is “king of the dock.”
Sheila Chandor, who has been harbor master at Pier 39 since 1985, said Chonkers had been visiting the pier for about 15 years, but had previously stayed just a day or two at a time.
“It was quite a spectacle to see this wonderful mammal,” Ms. Chandor recalled of the first time she saw him. This time, Ms. Chandor added, Chonkers had stayed far longer and appeared to have been joined by a juvenile Steller sea lion for a few days.
“I sort of hope we don’t end up with more,” Ms. Chandor said, noting that the wooden floats were built for California sea lions, which weigh up to about 700 pounds. (As it is, there is hardly enough space for all the animals, which regularly pile upon and push one another off the floats.)
“When he’s sitting on the dock, he’s so big compared to the others,” Ms. Chandor said. “He makes them all look like little kittens.”
“He’s such a big guy,” she marveled. “He’s truly huge.”
Ms. Chandor described international tourists, locals and other visitors coalescing at the pier on Wednesday morning in the hopes of witnessing the great beast.
“They didn’t know each other, but they were all saying, ‘Are you here to see Chonkers?’” she said.
Science
Kiara Brokenbrough went viral for her $500 wedding. She died the day her son was born
Kiara Brokenbrough’s 2022 wedding to Joel Brokenbrough drew national headlines for its elegant simplicity on a $500 budget.
Four years later, an Instagram post from her documented the couple’s baby shower, which was full of the creative details the social media influencer’s followers had come to expect. Photos showed a pickup basketball game with pink and blue jerseys, a heart-shaped white cake and a Bible in which guests were invited to highlight favorite passages for the pair’s first child. In one image, a radiant Kiara waved at the camera, Joel’s hands cradling her belly.
The March 22 post would be her last. Kiara, 32, died on March 30, the same day her son Jonah was born.
While the circumstances of her death remain private, a family representative told The Times that media reports stating that she died as a result of childbirth complications are not accurate.
Doctors successfully delivered Jonah “in a truly miraculous way,” Joel Brokenbrough, 34, wrote on Facebook, and the baby remains in stable condition in neonatal intensive care.
Her family is reeling from the sudden loss of a woman with a gift for making the people around her feel seen.
“She was just so pleasant. She had this smile and this poise about herself. She was confident, but yet she wasn’t arrogant,” a family representative said. “She always made you feel accepted and wanted.”
The daughter of Lori Gill Lacey and Ronald Draper, Brokenbrough grew up in the Pomona area. She and Joel met in 2017 and married five years later.
In a year when the flashy weddings of celebrity couples like Ben Affleck and Jennifer Lopez, and Kourtney Kardashian and Travis Barker, filled social media feeds, the ceremony Kiara planned caught people’s attention.
She found a dress for $47; he wore a $100 suit. They said their vows on a scenic overlook on Angeles Crest Highway, surrounded by a handful of family and friends.
The wedding went viral on social media and was featured on Good Morning America. It also spoke to who Kiara was as a person, family members said: beautiful, warm, thoughtfully attentive to details and focused on the things that matter most.
“We’ve gotten so far away from how weddings were something so simple as bride and groom coming together, bowing to God to stay together and vowing to each other to stay together,” she told The Times in 2022. “I wanted to look like myself and be myself.”
Kiara was awarded a master’s degree in digital media management from USC in May 2025 and opened a boutique marketing agency. Soon after, the couple temporarily relocated to West Virginia so Joel could take an assistant coach position on West Virginia State University’s men’s basketball team. When the season ended, they returned to the San Bernardino area and began to prepare for their son’s arrival.
Becoming a mother “is what she always wanted,” the family representative said, adding that Kiara “was very deep in her faith, to the very end. She never wavered.”
The family has started a GoFundMe for Joel and Jonah.
“No one will come between us or interfere with the bond we share or the purpose placed on our lives,” Joel wrote in an April 21 Facebook post dedicated to Jonah, who is continuing to make progress. “Prepare yourself, son. There is meaningful work ahead of us.”
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