Rhode Island

The Rhode Island Scumbag NFL Locks of the Week: Fighting off regression with the underdog Falcons

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The heater is over. For the primary time since Tremendous Bowl 56, our Rhode Island Scumbag had a foul week.

Granted, that solely dropped his NFL report all the way down to 6-3-1 on the season, however the man is feeling the frustration of getting an epic run snapped, largely, by Joe Flacco, Jimmy Garoppolo and Davis Mills. How can I inform? Effectively, he started this week’s betting suggestions/sequence of lectures comprised principally of insults at my expense with a quote from our highschool’s athletic director.

“Within the phrases of the legendary Rhode Island Excessive Faculty Soccer Coach Dom Marcone: ‘If it have been straightforward, everybody would do it.’”

OH WE’RE *STARTING* HERE???

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I’ve points with a minimum of 85 p.c of that opening line. Ol’ Dom, a person who gained roughly 25 p.c of his video games as a highschool soccer coach within the talent-rich plains of Warwick, Rhode Island was by no means “legendary.” That quote is most notably attributed the hit Tom Hanks-Geena Davis automobile A League of Their Personal (and roughly a thousand different sources) fairly than the administrator who prioritized his golf recreation over his college students. Plus, I’m 80 p.c sure Marcone wasn’t even the top coach by the point the RIS was taking part in varsity soccer.

So, we’re off to an ideal begin. Our Scumbag pal continues to be destroying my bets this 12 months. Let’s see what he’s bought to say.

First, a breakdown on what we realized from final week’s 0-2-1 report

Daniel Bartel-USA TODAY Sports activities

Betting sports activities is a grind. There are weeks while you really feel like all the pieces is working towards you. All you are able to do is be trustworthy with your self and your handicapping system.

I’ll take the warmth on two of my picks; the New York Jets are a horrible group and I backed them. That’s on me.

I laid factors on the highway with the 49ers; one thing I chastised my boy Christian for final week when he laid it with the exact same San Francisco workforce in Week 1.

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Nevertheless, I can’t again down from my Houston Texans decide. The Texans have been the higher workforce, they’d extra possibilities to win the soccer recreation and so they went forward and squandered nearly each one in all them. That’s trustworthy handicapping. When you maintain making the suitable bets, they may ultimately repay.

I identified a system final week that went 5-1; divisional matchups going beneath the Vegas complete. These performs simply went fell in need of the full with the lone exception being the Lions who forgot to cowl a man within the fourth quarter. That’s what can drive the unseasoned sports activities bettor loopy. To know that you simply have been conscious of a system … conscious that there have been six video games that matched the system … and also you have a look at your wager historical past and don’t have a single greenback on any of the video games. As a substitute, you’re in your knees in entrance of your TV begging for Joe Flacco to guide his workforce to a backdoor cowl.

Yeah, this racket ain’t for the faint of coronary heart.

The Scumbag Lock of the Week, half I: Atlanta Falcons (+3, if the road will get again there) vs. the Cleveland Browns

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports activities

I’ll introduce (and truly play) one other system in the present day. Residence underdogs coming off a straight-up win as a highway underdog.

My boy Chinz   performed this technique (I’m guessing unknowingly since he didn’t reference it in his write up) with Pittsburgh in Week 2. They have been +3 at residence vs. New England after beating Cincinnati as a six-point canine in Cincy. This technique is clearly not computerized (it’s truly 0-1-1 this season), however I do discover it to be a dependable spot for handicapping the NFL.

I additionally use it in NCAA hoops. I’ve to credit score fellow Rhode Island Scumbag “the Schnizz” for instructing me this worthwhile handicapping technique .

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After going winless in week 2, I’m going to lean on my system performs. Take Atlanta +3 at residence vs the Browns. When you can’t get the three, play it with the Falcons +8/New England +16.5.

The Scumbag Lock of the Week, half II: Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts first half UNDER 21.5 factors

Syndication: The Tennessean

The remainder of the performs shall be based mostly on divisional opponents and Vegas totals. I typically like taking part in unders within the first half as a result of defenses are recent, coaches haven’t been capable of get to the whiteboard at halftime and scheme towards what the opposition is doing and there aren’t any late-game shenanigans to take care of.

The Scumbag Lock of the Week, half III: Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys first half complete UNDER 21 factors

Elsa/Getty Photographs

See above.

Scumbag locks final week: 0-2-1 (.167)

Scumbag locks 12 months up to now: 6-3-1 (.650)

My non-scumbag locks: Arizona Cardinals (+2) over the Carolina Panthers and Giants-Bears UNDER 39.5

I guess on Kliff Kingsbury final week, hoping his early season magic would repay. Nope! The Cardinals could be a foul workforce year-round in 2022.

And but, right here we’re, laying money to journey this curler coaster of disappointment another time. I’m not the one one: per NFL Pickwatch 75 p.c of skilled straight-up picks have tabbed Arizona to win.

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There’s an opportunity this all backfires;. Carolina has flipped from a +2.5 underdog to favourite with relative quickness. Is it a scarcity of religion in a passing offense that could be with out A.J. Inexperienced? Or a mirrored image on a workforce that scored zero touchdowns final week whereas fielding the league’s Thirty first-ranked protection?

Both method, I’m headed again into the breach with Kyler Murray, who hasn’t been particularly good this season however stays considerably higher than Baker Mayfield.

by way of RBSDM.com and the writer

Give me Bears-Giants UNDER 39.5 as nicely, because it appears like we’re headed towards a Massive Ten-type matchup with roughly 80 handoffs in 60 minutes of play.

Non-Scumbag lock final week: 0-1 (.000)

Non-Scumbag locks 12 months up to now: 1-3-1 (.300)

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