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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-15-2024

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-15-2024


We’ve made it through the regular season and for 18 teams, their year is over. For 14 teams with hopes of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy, their dream lives on, at least for another week. Twelve of those teams play this weekend with the winner moving on and the loser going home for the offseason. In an AFC Wild Card Round matchup, the Pittsburgh Steelers take the short trip to take on the Buffalo Bills Sunday afternoon. Pittsburgh finished their regular season slate with a 17-10 road win over Baltimore last Saturday, covering the line as a three-point favorite. Buffalo downed Miami 21-14 on the road last Sunday, covering the line as a 2.5-point favorite. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Steelers own a 15-11 edge though the Bills rolled to a 38-3 home win in the most recent meeting on October 9, 2022. They have met in the postseason three times with the Steelers owning a 2-1 edge, though they haven’t met in the playoffs since 1996.

(This game has been moved to Monday at 4:30pmET due to weather conditions in Buffalo)

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Pittsburgh Steelers Looking to Maintain Late Season Charge

Pittsburgh won three straight to close the regular season and earned a playoff spot by beating Baltimore, coupled by Jacksonville losing to Tennessee. The Steelers finished the regular season 10-7 overall and look to earn the road upset here. Against Baltimore, Pittsburgh overcame wintry conditions and took advantage of the fact that the Ravens sat a majority of their starters to earn a victory. The Steelers led 7-0 after the opening quarter, were even at the half and after three quarters. Pittsburgh took the lead for good on the first play of the fourth quarter on a 71-yard touchdown pass to Diontae Johnson and went on to the victory. The Steelers owned a 289-224 edge in total offense, held a 16-13 advantage in first downs and controlled the clock by a 34:04 to 25:56 margin. Each team turned the ball over twice in the game.

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The Steelers finished the regular season 25th in the league in passing offense as they average 186.1 yards per game through the air. The team is 13th in the league in rushing offense as they put up an average of 118.2 yards per contest. Pittsburgh is 28th in the league in scoring offense with 17.9 points per contest and 6th in scoring defense as they allow 19.1 points per game. Kenny Pickett is 201 of 324 passing for 2,070 yards with six touchdowns and four interceptions on the year. He contributes 54 yards and a score on the ground. Mitch Trubisky is 67 of 107 for 632 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions in limited action. Mason Rudolph is 55 of 74 for 719 yards with three scores. Najee Harris leads the team on the ground with 255 carries for 1,035 yards plus eight scores. Jaylen Warren (149 carries, 784 yards, four TD) is the #2 back in the ground game this season. Diontae Johnson has 51 receptions totaling 717 yards and five scores on the season, putting him third on the team. George Pickens (63 catches, 1140 yards, five TD), Pat Freiermuth (32 grabs, 308 yards, two TD), Allen Robinson II (34 catches, 280 yards), Calvin Austin III (17 grabs, 180 yards, TD) and Warren (61 receptions, 370 yards) have been active as well. Chris Boswell has hit 27 of 28 extra point attempts and 29 of 31 field goal attempts this season with a long of 57 on the year.

Pittsburgh’s biggest injury is T.J. Watt (knee), who led the league with 19 sacks. He sprained his MCL against the Ravens and is out here.

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Buffalo Bills Shoot to Keep Rolling

Buffalo won their final five games in the regular season, all coming after their bye in week 13, and their triumph over Miami on the road last week gave them the AFC East crown for the fourth straight season. The Bills finished the regular season 11-6 and look to carry that momentum to the postseason. Against Miami, Buffalo had their struggles finishing drives but made the plays in all three phases of the game in crunch time to earn the victory. The Bills trailed 14-7 at the half and after three quarters before Deonte Harty’s franchise-record 96-yard punt return for a score tied the game early in the fourth quarter. Buffalo forced a three-and-out, then went down the field again, capped by a five-yard touchdown pass to Dawson Knox, to take the lead with 7:16 to play. The Bills’ defense held from there, forcing another three-and-out, followed by Taylor Rapp’s interception with 1:13 to play, which allowed them to run out the clock. Buffalo rolled up a massive 473-275 edge in total offense, picked up a 26-16 advantage in first downs and dominated time of possession by a 38:07 to 21:53 margin. Those numbers helped overshadow the fact that they turned the ball over three times while forcing two takeaways.

On the year, the Bills are eighth in the league in passing offense with an average of 244.4 yards per game and 7th in rushing with an average of 130.1 yards per contest. Buffalo is sixth in the league in scoring offense by putting up 26.5 points per contest and they are fourth in the league in scoring defense by allowing 18.3 points per game. Josh Allen is 385 of 579 passing for 4,306 yards with 29 touchdowns and 18 interceptions on the season. He is second on the team on the ground with 524 rushing yards and 15 scores. James Cook leads the run game with 237 carries for 1,122 yards and two scores. Latavius Murray (79 carries, 300 yards, three TD) and Ty Johnson (30 carries, 132 yards) have also seen work on the ground. Stefon Diggs is the team’s top receiver as he has hauled in 107 passes for 1,183 yards and eight touchdowns. Gabe Davis (45 catches, 746 yards, seven TD), Cook (44 receptions, 445 yards, four TD), Dalton Kincaid (73 grabs, 673 yards, two TD) and Khalil Shakir (39 grabs, 611 yards, two TD) are each over the 400-yard mark in receiving yards. Tyler Bass is 49 of 50 on extra point attempts and 24 of 29 on field goal attempts with a long of 54 this season.

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Buffalo has several names to monitor going through the rest of the week on the injury report. Safety Taylor Rapp (calf), defensive ends Leonard Floyd (rest) and Von Miller (rest), cornerback Rasul Douglas (knee) and wide receiver Gabe Davis (knee) all didn’t practice Wednesday. Tackle Dion Dawkins (hand), running back Ty Johnson (concussion) and linebacker Tyrel Dodson (shoulder) were each limited. Watch for updates over the coming days for new information.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:


These teams have some similarities when you look at them. Both teams fired their offensive coordinators during the season. Each side closed the season on a win streak with Pittsburgh winning three straight games while Buffalo won five in a row. The Steelers have their work cut out for them here, especially without Watt. He’s a disruptor and a force to be reckoned with that has to be accounted for on every play. Without him, the Steelers have to try and regroup defensively, which is a challenge. Rudolph has been solid after taking over the QB role down the stretch but he’s making his first postseason start here. Allen, through the good and the bad, has been here before. That, with the home field advantage of the Bills Mafia, helps Buffalo advance to the divisional round.

Prediction: Buffalo Bills -9.5

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Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:


Pittsburgh has stayed under the total in 11 of their 17 games on the year. Six of the Steelers’ eight road games this season have wound up under the number. Buffalo has seen the under go 11-6 in their 17 games on the year. The Bills have stayed under the total in five of their eight home games on the year, including five of their last six contests at Highmark Stadium. Weather could be a major factor with lake effect snow and winds upward of 20 miles per hour wreaking havoc. Those factors have driven the number down substantially and it might be a little too low here. Look for this game to wind up over the number.

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Prediction: Over 35

Written By
Chris King , “Chris King”

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it’s playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he’s checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it’s out there, he’s covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He’s written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you’re looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.

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Pittsburg, PA

Steelers insider just poured gasoline on the Aaron Rodgers fire following latest report of what he was doing in Pittsburgh

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Steelers insider just poured gasoline on the Aaron Rodgers fire following latest report of what he was doing in Pittsburgh


Aaron Rodgers was supposed to be in Pittsburgh over the weekend, with the thought that a deal would get done. One Steelers insider backs the report, but adds details that only compound a messy situation.

Dec 15, 2025; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (8) looks to throw in the second quarter against the Miami Dolphins at Acrisure Stadium.
Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

At this point, the events of the past two seasons between Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers could probably be a book or movie. Everything from walks on the beach, to him throwing with DK Metcalf before signing, to someone capturing him driving a rental car into Pittsburgh has made waves.

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This offseason was supposed to be different, and a decision from Rodgers was supposed to come much earlier. However, the Steelers remain in a holding pattern, and one that many believed would end over the weekend, after it was reported that Rodgers would be in town to sign a contract. Well, that seems to be true, but like much of this saga over the past two years, there seems to be a holdup.

Aaron Rodgers 2025 stats

  • 3.4 TD to INT ratio.
  • 3,322 passing yards.
  • 65.7% completion percentage.

Aaron Rodgers visited Pittsburgh, but not the Steelers over the weekend

“Aaron Rodgers has been in town for a couple days, but the Steelers have not met with him yet and instead have been talking with his agent. Rodgers has stayed away from the team’s South Side facility while the three-day rookie minicamp has been going on.” – Gerry Dulac, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

The news from Dulac comes on the heels of the report from 93.7 The Fan in Pittsburgh that Rodgers would be visiting the Steelers over the weekend, with the intention to sign his deal.

That report was backed up nationally by NFL Network insider Ian Rapoport, but some in Steelers media (Mark Kaboly) said that if Rodgers was going to be in town, that was news to the team.

Omar Khan said as much during a radio hit after the reports surfaced, saying that he didn’t know where Rodgers was, but that talks remained fluid. Of course, general managers, including Omar Khan, have been known to bend the truth, which seems to lie somewhere in the middle here.

The bottom line with Aaron Rodgers

It’s obvious to me that the Steelers and Rodgers are held up over money. I know that it was said to not be the case, but you don’t intentionally avoid meeting with a team and have your agent talk to them, just days after they use a tender that determines your 2026 salary, if you’re just going to sign.

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I would be surprised if Rodgers doesn’t sign at this point, but it doesn’t change the monetary situation that needs to be worked out here.



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Pittsburg, PA

Kennywood honors 2 employees with combined 100 years of service

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Kennywood honors 2 employees with combined 100 years of service



Kennywood honored two longtime employees Saturday who together have worked at the park for a combined 100 years.

Larry Russ and Bobby Trygar started working at Kennywood in 1976. 

Russ began his Kennywood career as a games employee, working at the Big Apple dart game. In 1980, Russ applied to the security team and has held positions there ever since, including roles as a corporal, lieutenant, chief, and captain, according to a press release provided by the park.

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Trygar began his time at Kennywood by working in the Parkside Café. Since he joined Kennywood, he has helped to maintain some of the park’s most iconic attractions, including the Racer, Log Jammer, and Merry Go Round.

“This is something you dream about. It’s so amazing,” Trygar said. “One of the best things when I worked out here was when I met my wife on the Racer. I was the mechanic. It’s just a great feeling to come here every day, see smiles on people’s faces, it’s tremendous. It gives you that extra boost and happiness.”

“I was planning on going into the mill, like everyone else was during my era,” Russ said. “Of course, the mill shut down. My father told me, ‘You don’t want to [work at the mill]. This place isn’t going to be here that much longer,’ and he was right, so I stuck it out here. I got a full-time position in 1980, and the rest is history.”

The park also dedicated two benches in their honor.

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New Market Square rule for kids under 18 gets mixed reviews as enforcement continues

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New Market Square rule for kids under 18 gets mixed reviews as enforcement continues


The new policy requiring anyone under 18 to be accompanied by someone over 21 in Market Square may not be as firm as some first thought. 

KDKA observed unaccompanied kids in and around the square in Pittsburgh on Saturday evening, but in very small numbers, especially compared to the hundreds of kids who gathered as recently as during the NFL draft last month. Many of the kids were walking through the square or to restaurants like Chipotle. 

It was the kids who lingered on Saturday evening who were approached by either youth outreach teams, private security or officers. 

Von Madden — the founder of AIM, a youth outreach group — said it’s when kids start gathering in large numbers that they’ll be asked to leave. 

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“I don’t think they are going to be kicked out of the space for buying food or walking by,” Madden said. “The policy was so they’re allowed to hang out, but if they’re causing disruption, they were asked to move.”

Outreach workers within the square on Saturday evening said they’ve been approaching kids to make sure they are aware of the rules, but aren’t forcing them to leave. Some workers suggested alternative places they could go, as they work to form relationships with the kids

Madden, who was not at the square on Saturday, said in theory, enforcement works by private security engaging kids first, and then if that doesn’t work, outreach staff comes over. Only as a last resort are police officers brought in.

KDKA watched as a group of about 15 to 20 kids formed along Market Street steps away from a police SUV on Saturday evening. A member of the private security approached the kids first, pointing toward the exit of the square. Once more kids gathered, a group of five to 10 officers walked over, and the group dispersed toward Liberty Avenue. 

A group of teenagers near Chipotle told KDKA that officers told them they had to leave if they weren’t actually going to the restaurant. Madden said the policy, which is in effect from Thursday to Sunday from 3 p.m to midnight, has worked well this week.

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“It was phenomenal. Thursday was great,” Madden said. “The kids came, a lot of kids. They were absolutely excited about everything going on.”

Thursday was the first night for the temporary roller rink in Market Square, and a rainy Friday kept many people away. People enjoying their Saturday evening in the square gave mixed reviews about the policy.

“I think it’s definitely necessary,” Cristina from Butler told KDKA. “It keeps the community safe, and it allows adults and parents to know that their kids are safe as well, and just a more controlled environment.”

Danielle Graham from Robinson said she’d been observing kids interacting with police and believes kids aren’t welcome in Market Square, even if they are not being disruptive. She said there was a discrepancy in what private security and officers knew about the rule, adding that police asked her if the child she was chaperoning was her legal guardian. 

She said she offered to chaperone kids to allow them to enjoy the square and so she could observe what was going on. 

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“There’s no clear understanding from the people that are supposedly enforcing it,” Robinson said. “You just put more vulnerable kids in front of law enforcement, things can go wrong.”

Pittsburgh City Councilwoman Barb Warwick shared her own criticism of the policy during a meeting last week.

“Not only does this feel highly unwelcoming to families with teens, it also seems questionable in terms even of enforcement,” Warwick said. “I don’t know that there’ll be like a private security, what are we checking IDs like, you know? How is this working? My understanding is it’s on an event permit.”

KDKA-TV did not observe any IDs being checked on Saturday and saw at most 12 officers in the square at once, along with the private security. 

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