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Jets vs. Steelers odds, best bets: Pittsburgh slight underdog on SNF

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Jets vs. Steelers Betting Preview

New York Jets Betting News, Analysis

The Jets took a few steps forward against Buffalo in their first game under interim coach Jeff Ulbrich, but couldn’t overcome a slew of self-inflicted mistakes.

N.Y. moved the ball well in last week’s loss to the Bills. QB Aaron Rodgers (294 yards passing, 2 TDs, 1 interception), RB Breece Hall (18 carries, 113 yards) and WRs Allen Lazard and Garrett Wilson (a combined 14 catches for 221 yards and 2 TDs) all had big nights.

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But the Jets were undone by 11 penalties for 110 yards and a 1-for-4 night in the red zone in a painful loss to AFC East-leading Buffalo.

Read more of Newsweek’s NFL Week 7 betting preview

New York should be able to eliminate the penalties and get on track, especially with Adams making this receiver crew a lot more potent, right?

On the other hand, after six weeks of mistake-prone football, should we really trust the Jets to play clean ball going forward?

On the other side of the ball, the star-studded NYJ defense has been inconsistent through six games. There are stars all over this unit, which played well in three games this year, shutting down Tennessee, New England and Denver. But the Jets D struggled in losses to San Francisco in Week 1, Minnesota in Week 5 and Buffalo in Week 6.

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Against a Steelers offense that just made a surprise change at QB and has lost one O-linemen after another to injuries (Pittsburgh is without multiple starters tonight, including its first- and second-string centers) a statement night by the N.Y. front seven shouldn’t catch anyone off guard.

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting News, Analysis

The Steelers are ready to find out what they have in Wilson, 35, despite Fields finding more success as a runner than either Najee Harris or Jaylen Warren have so far this year.

In last week’s 32-13 win over the Raiders, Fields completed just 14 of his 24 pass attempts for 145 yards, but he also ran for 59 yards and two touchdowns.

Inserting Wilson behind an O-line that has already had three starters go down for the season with major injuries is a bold move, to put it lightly. Mike Tomlin probably definitely deserves the benefit of the doubt after leading Pittsburgh to the playoffs three of the last four years, but Wilson’s first game behind this O-line has the potential to be a disaster.

Fields’ struggles throwing downfield certainly contributed to Pittsburgh only averaging 20.7 points per game this year. However, Harris and Warren have been ineffective, and this receiving core has not gotten much production from anyone other than George Pickens. We’ll believe Wilson’s going to come in and provide a clear upgrade on Fields when we see it, especially considering A) his supporting cast and B) his struggles in Denver the last two years.

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The good news for Pittsburgh is that the defense has held up. Despite pass rusher Alex Highsmith missing the last three games, the Steelers are allowing just over 14 points per game.

The Pitt D has only struggled in two games this year, and this team lost both of those contests. Indianapolis found success both on the ground and through the air vs. Pittsburgh in Week 4. And while the Cowboys scored only 20 points in Week 5, they piled up 445 yards of offense.

The Steelers’ front seven has a chance to make this a long game for Aaron Rodgers, but if the Jets can protect their veteran QB, he could have a big night targeting Adams, Wilson and Lazard.

Jets vs. Steelers Prediction, Best Bets

Trusting New York (2-4 ATS) is dangerous. The same thing can also be said of the Pittsburgh offense, though.

The Jets defense has dominated teams with issues at either QB or O-line this year. Unless Wilson has made a behind-the-scenes recovery of the form that made him a star in Seattle, the Steelers — like the Titans, Pats and Broncos before them — will struggle to move the ball against the Jets.

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Yes, for better or worse, we’re talking ourselves into New York, again. We feel better about the under than the Jets, but we will (reluctantly) go with Rodgers and Co. to take care of business after three consecutive frustrating losses.

Jets vs. Steelers Best Bets

  • Under 39.5 (-112 at DraftKings) 1 unit
  • Jets -2 (-115 at DK, bet365) 0.5 units

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