New AARP Poll: Shapiro Leads Governor Race in Pennsylvania, U.S. Senate Race Tightening

Voters 50+ might tip the scales in midterm election.

HARRISBURG, Pa., Oct. 19, 2022 /PRNewswire/ — With Election Day simply three weeks away, Legal professional Common Josh Shapiro (D) seems to be widening his lead over State Sen. Doug Mastriano (R) within the race for Governor. In distinction, Lt. Governor John Fetterman’s (D) lead over Dr. Mehmet Oz (R) within the U.S. Senate race has narrowed, based on a brand new AARP survey of doubtless Pennsylvania voters. The highest points for voters 50+ within the U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races are inflation, Social Safety and Medicare.

Pennsylvanians 50+ shall be key in figuring out who wins in November. This bloc of voters repeatedly performs a vital position in Pennsylvania elections and contains an outsized portion of the voters. Within the 2018 mid-term elections, they made up practically 61% of all Pennsylvania voters. As well as, 85% of respondents on this age group say they’re “extraordinarily motivated” to vote on this election.

Legal professional Common Shapiro leads State Sen. Mastriano 53% – 42%, an eight-point swing towards Legal professional Common Shapiro since AARP polled doubtless Pennsylvania voters in June. Amongst voters 50+, Legal professional Common Shapiro holds a ten-point lead (53% – 43%). Lt. Governor Fetterman leads Dr. Oz 48% – 46%, a four-point swing towards Dr. Oz since June; Lt. Governor Fetterman leads by an similar 2% margin amongst voters 50+.

“The message from voters 50-plus is obvious,” mentioned Invoice Johnston-Walsh, AARP Pennsylvania State Director. “They vote and so they take the time to search out out the place candidates stand on the problems that form their lives. From inflation and rising prices of requirements, like meals and utilities, to defending Social Safety and Medicare, Pennsylvanians need to guarantee that the candidates they’re voting for will characterize them and take motion on their priorities and considerations.”

4 different key takeaways from the brand new ballot:

• Social Safety and Medicare stay top-of-mind for the 50+. Eleven p.c of voters 50+ think about Social Safety and Medicare their most essential subject, up from 7% in June. Amongst voters 50+, 81% think about Social Safety “Extraordinarily” or “Very” essential when deciding their November vote, and Social Safety and Medicare is the highest subject amongst voters 50+ who’re persuadable within the race for Senate.
• Inflation continues to be a prime fear among the many state’s voters 50+. Inflation is probably the most vital subject for voters total in deciding their selection for each Governor and U.S. Senator in Pennsylvania. Voters mentioned the costs of meals, gasoline and healthcare/prescribed drugs give them probably the most concern.
• Pennsylvanians assume each the nation and the state are on the unsuitable monitor however will not be as adverse as in June. Whereas 75% of Pennsylvanians assume the nation is headed within the unsuitable path, and 63% imagine the state is headed within the unsuitable path, these numbers are enhancements from AARP’s June ballot of Pennsylvania voters.
• Pennsylvanians do not assume their leaders are listening to them. When requested in the event that they agreed or disagreed with the assertion, “Members of Congress do not hearken to folks like me,” 83% of respondents agreed, together with 81% of fifty+ voters.

AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling group of Fabrizio Ward & Affect Analysis to conduct a survey. The corporations interviewed 1,377 doubtless Pennsylvania voters, which features a statewide consultant pattern of 500 doubtless voters, with an oversample of 550 doubtless voters age 50 and older and a further oversample of 327 Black doubtless voters age 50 and older, between October 4-12, 2022. The interviews had been performed through landline, cellphone, and SMS-to-web. The margin of sampling error for the five hundred statewide pattern is ±4.4%; for the 855 complete pattern of voters 50+ is ±3.4%; for the 400 complete pattern of Black voters 50+ is ±4.9%.

For extra data on how, when and the place to vote in Pennsylvania, go to aarp.org/PAVotes.

About AARP 

AARP is the nation’s largest nonprofit, nonpartisan group devoted to empowering folks 50 and older to decide on how they stay as they age. With a nationwide presence and practically 38 million members, AARP strengthens communities and advocates for what issues most to households: well being safety, monetary stability and private achievement. AARP additionally produces the nation’s largest circulation publications: AARP The Journal and AARP Bulletin. To study extra, go to www.aarp.org, www.aarp.org/espanol or observe @AARP, @AARPenEspanol @AARPadvocates and @AliadosAdelante on social media.

Nationwide media contact: Emily Pickren, [email protected], 202-431-7752
Pennsylvania media contact: TJ Thiessen, [email protected], 202-374-8033

SOURCE AARP Pennsylvania