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Tracking the Swing States for Harris and Trump
Iowa
Kan.
Ky.
Ala.
Alaska
Ariz.
Ark.
Calif.
Colo.
Conn.
Fla.
Ga.
Hawaii
Idaho
Ill.
Ind.
Texas
Utah
Vt
La.
Maine
Md.
Mass.
Mich.
Minn.
Miss.
Mo.
Mont.
Neb. 3rd CD
N.H.
N.J.
N.M.
N.Y.
N.C.
N.D.
Ohio
Okla.
Ore.
Pa.
R.I.
S.C.
S.D.
Tenn.
Va.
Wash.
W.Va.
Wis.
Wyo.
Del.
Nev.
Neb. 1st CD
Neb. 2
Maine 1
The presidential race will most likely come down to voters in 10 states that remain competitive, according to the most recent ratings by the Cook Political Report.
These states are the most competitive in the race for the presidency.
Lean Dem.
Tossup
Lean Rep.
Note: Nebraska and Maine each award two electoral votes to the statewide winner and one to the top vote-getter in each congressional district. Nebraska’s Second District is rated as “Lean Democratic” by Cook Political Report.
Solidly Democratic states
Solidly Republican states
There are many combinations of states that could put either Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald J. Trump over the threshold of the 270 electoral votes needed to win.
If both candidates win all of the states in their solid, likely and lean categories, the race would come down to the six tossup states in yellow. Ms. Harris would need 44 electoral votes from the tossup states to win. Mr. Trump would need just 35.
Michigan
15 D +2.8
Pennsylvania
19
D +1.2
Wisconsin 10
D +0.6
Georgia
16
D +0.2 Arizona
11
D +0.3
Nevada
6 D +2.4
Tossups
State
Elec. votes
2020 margin
2024 polling
Harris +1.5 ›
Trump +0.1 ›
Harris +1.8 ›
Not enough polls
Not enough polls
Not enough polls
The six states rated as tossups were all won narrowly by Joseph R. Biden Jr. in 2020. If the race comes down to these places, Mr. Trump has an advantage in the electoral math. He could win with just two electorally valuable tossup states — Pennsylvania and Georgia — while all of Ms. Harris’s paths to victory include at least three. If Mr. Trump loses Georgia but wins Pennsylvania, Ms. Harris would still need at least three other tossups (in addition to Georgia) to win.
Of course, some of the states currently rated as leaning or likely Democrat or Republican could also come into play.
Minnesota Minn.
10
D +7.1
Nebraska 2nd District
Neb. 2 1
D +6.5
New Hampshire
N.H.
4 D +0.4
North Carolina
N.C.
16 R +1.3
New Mexico
N.M.
5 D +10.8
Virginia
Va.
13
D +10.1 Maine
Maine
2
D +9.1
Florida
Fla.
30
R +3.4
Maine 2nd District Me. 2
1
R +7.9
Texas
Texas 40
R +5.6
Note: Nebraska and Maine each award two electoral votes to the statewide winner and one to the top vote-getter in each congressional district. Nebraska’s second district is rated as “Lean Democratic” by Cook Political Report.
Lean Democrat
State
E.V.
2020
Lean Republican
State
E.V.
2020
Likely Democrat
State
E.V.
2020
Likely Republican
State
E.V.
2020