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India bans wheat exports as heat wave hurts crop, domestic prices soar

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India bans wheat exports as heat wave hurts crop, domestic prices soar

The federal government mentioned it could nonetheless enable exports backed by already issued letters of credit score and to international locations that request provides “to satisfy their meals safety wants.”

The transfer to ban abroad shipments was not in perpetuity and might be revised, senior authorities officers instructed a press convention.

International patrons have been banking on provides from the world’s second-biggest wheat producer after exports from the Black Sea area plunged following Russia’s Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine. Earlier than the ban, India had aimed to ship a report 10 million tonnes this yr.

The officers added that there was no dramatic fall in wheat output this yr, however unregulated exports had led to an increase in native costs.

“We do not need wheat commerce to occur in an unregulated method or hoarding to occur,” commerce secretary BVR Subrahmanyam instructed reporters in New Delhi.

Though not one of many world’s high wheat exporters, India’s ban might drive international costs to new peaks given already tight provide, hitting poor shoppers in Asia and Africa significantly onerous.

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“The ban is surprising,” a Mumbai-based seller with a world buying and selling agency mentioned. “We have been anticipating curbs on exports after two to a few months, nevertheless it looks like the inflation numbers modified the federal government’s thoughts.”

Rising meals and vitality costs pushed India’s annual retail inflation close to an eight-year excessive in April, strengthening expectations that the central financial institution would elevate rates of interest extra aggressively.

Wheat costs in India have risen to report highs, in some spot markets hitting 25,000 rupees ($320) per tonne, nicely above the federal government’s minimal assist value of 20,150 rupees.

Rising gasoline, labor, transportation and packaging prices are additionally boosting the worth of wheat flour in India.

“It was not wheat alone. The rise in total costs raised considerations about inflation and that is why the federal government needed to ban wheat exports,” mentioned one other senior authorities official who requested to not be named as discussions about export curbs have been non-public. “For us, it is abundance of warning.”

Smaller crop

India this week outlined its report export goal for the fiscal yr that began on April 1, saying it could ship commerce delegations to international locations similar to Morocco, Tunisia, Indonesia and the Philippines to discover methods to spice up shipments.

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In February, the federal government forecast manufacturing of 111.32 million tonnes, the sixth straight report crop, nevertheless it minimize the forecast to 105 million tonnes in Might.

A spike in temperatures in mid-March means the crop might as an alternative be round 100 million tonnes and even decrease, mentioned a New Delhi-based seller with a world buying and selling agency.

“The federal government’s procurement has fallen greater than 50%. Spot markets are getting far decrease provides than final yr. All these items are indicating decrease crop,” the seller mentioned.

Forget oil prices. Watch the cost of bread

Cashing in on a rally in international wheat costs after Russia invaded Ukraine, India exported a report 7 million tonnes of wheat within the fiscal yr to March, up greater than 250% from the earlier yr.

“The rise in wheat value was reasonably average, and Indian costs are nonetheless considerably decrease than international costs,” mentioned Rajesh Paharia Jain, a New Delhi-based dealer.

“Wheat costs in some components of the nation had jumped to the present degree even final yr, so the transfer to ban export is nothing however a knee-jerk response.”

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Regardless of a drop in manufacturing and authorities purchases by the state-run Meals Company of India (FCI), India might have shipped not less than 10 million tonnes of wheat this fiscal yr, Jain mentioned.

The FCI has to this point purchased a little bit over 19 million tonnes of wheat from home farmers, towards final yr’s whole purchases of a report 43.34 million tonnes. It buys grain from native farmers to run a meals welfare program for the poor.

In contrast to earlier years, farmers have most popular to promote wheat to personal merchants, who supplied higher costs than the federal government’s fastened charge.

In April, India exported a report 1.4 million tonnes of wheat and offers have been already signed to export round 1.5 million tonnes in Might.

“The Indian ban will raise international wheat costs. Proper now there isn’t any large provider available in the market,” one other seller mentioned.

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German economy shrinks for second consecutive year

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German economy shrinks for second consecutive year

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Germany’s economy shrank for a second straight year in 2024, underlining the severity of the downturn facing Europe’s manufacturing powerhouse.

The Federal Statistics Office said on Wednesday that Europe’s largest economy contracted by 0.2 per cent last year, after shrinking by 0.3 per cent in 2023. Economists had expected a decline of 0.2 per cent.

“Germany is experiencing the longest stagnation of its postwar history by far,” said Timo Wollmershäuser, economist at Ifo, a Munich-based economic think-tank, adding that the country was also underperforming significantly in an international comparison.

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Confirmation that Germany is suffering one of the most protracted economic crises in decades comes six weeks ahead of a crucial snap election.

Campaigning has been dominated by the spectre of deindustrialisation, crumbling infrastructure and whether or not the country should abandon a debt brake that constrains public spending.

Friedrich Merz, head of the centre-right Christian Democratic Union who is likely to be Germany’s next chancellor, is campaigning on a reform agenda, promising to cut red tape and taxes and dial back welfare benefits for people who are not working.

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While private sector output contracted, government consumption rose sharply by 2.6 per cent compared with 2023.

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Ruth Brand, president of the Federal Statistics Office, blamed “cyclical and structural pressures” for the poor performance, pointing to “increasing competition for the German export industry, high energy costs, an interest rate level that remains high and an uncertain economic outlook.”

In the three months to December, output fell by 0.1 per cent compared with the third quarter.

Robin Winkler, chief economist for Germany at Deutsche Bank, said the contraction in the fourth quarter came as a “surprise” and was “concerning”.

“If this is confirmed, the economy would have lost further momentum by the end of the year,” he said, suggesting this was probably driven by “political uncertainty in Berlin and Washington”.

The Bundesbank said last month that stagnation was set to continue this year, predicting growth of just 0.1 per cent and warning that a trade war with the US would trigger another year of economic contraction.

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US president-elect Donald Trump has pledged to impose blanket tariffs of up to 20 per cent on all US imports.

Germany is struggling with a crisis in its automotive industry fuelled by Chinese competition and an expensive transition to electric cars, alongside high energy costs and tepid consumer demand.

Output in manufacturing contracted by 3 per cent, the statistics office said on Wednesday, while corporate investment fell by 2.8 per cent.

Germany has in effect seen no meaningful economic growth since the start of the pandemic, with industrial production hovering more than 10 per cent below its peak while unemployment has started to rise again after it fell to record lows.

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Trump’s attorney general pick to face scrutiny on first day of Senate hearing

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Trump’s attorney general pick to face scrutiny on first day of Senate hearing

Pam Bondi, Donald Trump’s nominee for attorney general, is expected to face scrutiny on Wednesday during the first day of her confirmation hearing about her ability to resist the White House from exerting political pressure on the justice department.

The hearing, before the Senate judiciary committee, comes at a crunch time for the department, which has faced unrelenting criticism from Trump after its prosecutors charged him in two federal criminal cases and is about to see Trump’s personal lawyers in those cases take over key leadership positions.

Bondi, the first female Florida attorney general and onetime lobbyist for Qatar, was not on the legal team defending Trump in those federal criminal cases. But she has been a longtime presence in his orbit, including when she worked to defend Trump at his first impeachment trial.

She also supported Trump’s fabricated claims of election fraud in 2020, which helped her become Trump’s nominee for attorney general almost immediately after Matt Gaetz, the initial pick, withdrew as he found himself dogged by a series of sexual misconduct allegations.

That loyalty to Trump has raised hackles at the justice department, which prides itself on its independence from White House pressure and recalls with a deep fear how Trump in his first term ousted top officials when they stopped acquiescing to his demands.

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Trump replaced his first attorney general, Jeff Sessions, after he recused himself from the investigation into the Trump campaign’s contacts with Russia and, later, soured on his last attorney general, Bill Barr, after he refused to endorse Trump’s false 2020 election claims.

Bondi is also expected to be questioned about her prosecutorial record as the Florida attorney general and possible conflicts of interest arising from her most recent work for the major corporate lobbying firm Ballard Partners.

During her tenure as Florida attorney general, in 2013, Bondi’s office received nearly two dozen complaints about Trump University and her aides have said she once considered joining a multi-state lawsuit brought on behalf of students who claimed they had been cheated.

As she was weighing the lawsuit, Bondi’s political action committee received a $25,000 contribution from a non-profit funded by Trump. While Trump and Bondi both deny a quid pro quo, Bondi never joined the lawsuit and Trump had to pay a $2,500 fine for violating tax laws to make the donation.

As the chair of Ballard’s corporate regulatory compliance practice, Bondi lobbied for major companies that have battled the justice department she will be tasked with leading, including in various antitrust and fraud lawsuits.

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Bondi was a county prosecutor in Florida before successfully running for Florida attorney general in 2010 in part due to regular appearances on Fox News.

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Video: Fires Continue to Burn One Week Later in California

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Video: Fires Continue to Burn One Week Later in California

new video loaded: Fires Continue to Burn One Week Later in California

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Fires Continue to Burn One Week Later in California

The Palisades and Eaton fires, ravaging Los Angeles for more than a week, remain mostly uncontained by firefighters.

“We just had — just had Christmas morning right over here, right in front of that chimney. And this is what’s left.” “I urge, and everybody here urges, you to remain alert as danger has not yet passed. Please follow all evacuation warnings and orders without delay and prioritize your safety.”

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