Early voting, by mail and in person, surged in the 2020 presidential election — driving a massive increase in overall turnout and helping Joseph R. Biden Jr. secure his victory. This year, we’re tracking how the early vote will unfold without pandemic-era restrictions, and what it can tell us about the effects of new laws in some competitive states.
The strength of early voting in this election will be important for the campaigns of both former President Donald J. Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. In 2020, about 60 percent of Democrats and 32 percent of Republicans voted by mail, according to a study by the M.I.T. Election Data and Science Lab.
Despite Mr. Trump’s frequent false claims that mail-in voting is rife with fraud, Republicans have made efforts to encourage early voting in this election. In Pennsylvania, the party has pledged more than $10 million to persuade Republicans to vote by mail in November, but as of late September, only about 373,000 Republicans had requested absentee ballots, compared with 881,000 Democrats.