Severe thunderstorms in southeast Nebraska Saturday evening

TOMORROW. LUKE IS BACK WITH US NOW. LUKE. IT’S WARM OUT, BUT IT’S NOT WARM. REALLY ENJOY WITH HOW HUMID IT IS. I KNOW WE HAVEN’T REALLY HAD A TASTE OF THAT HUMIDITY YET THIS YEAR. IT KIND OF REMINDS YOU OF WHAT YOU DIDN’T LIKE LAST SUMMER. YOU KNOW WHEN IT GETS SUPER HUMID OUTSIDE, IT’S NOT SUPER HUMID TODAY, BUT YOU CAN FEEL IT MORE THAN YOU DO THESE PAST FEW DAYS. THE PAST FEW WEEKS, THAT’S FOR SURE. AND OF COURSE, WITH THE HUMIDITY COMES THE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. AND WE HAVE A SLIGHT RISK THAT WOULD BE A TWO OUT OF FIVE FROM THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER, MOSTLY FOR FAR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA. IT GOES ALL THE WAY UP TO THE I-80 CORRIDOR. IT DOES NOT REALLY INCLUDE WESTERN IOWA OR MUCH OF ANY OF NORTHWEST MISSOURI. THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK THAT EXPANDS OVER THAT SLIGHT RISK FOR PRETTY MUCH ALL OF OUR AREA. THERE IS A TORNADO WATCH AS WELL UNTIL 11 P.M. THIS INCLUDES YORK COUNTY, SALINE COUNTY, JEFFERSON COUNTY, AND GAGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA. AND THAT’S WHERE WE SEE ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS RIGHT NOW. OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS, WE’VE SEEN STORMS FORM IN KANSAS, AND THERE’S BEEN A LITTLE MORE UPSCALE GROWTH AS THEY’VE TRIED TO MAKE THEIR WAY INTO NEBRASKA. BUT BECAUSE OF OUR CLOUD COVER, I THINK IT’S LIMITED. SOME OF THE INSTABILITY THAT WE HAVE, AND THEREFORE THE STORMS REALLY HAVEN’T GOTTEN SUPER STRONG. SO HERE’S THE STORM THAT’S MOVING INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY RIGHT NOW NEAR FAIRBURY JUST HAD A NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING ISSUED ON IT THAT I BELIEVE GOES TILL 7 P.M., I BELIEVE. AND IT DID HAVE SOME OF THOSE DARKER SHADES IN THERE. THE BLACK THAT WAS INDICATING SOME HAIL CORE, WHICH COULD HAVE BEEN UP TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL. IT DOESN’T SEEM AS ORGANIZED RIGHT NOW. WE’VE ALSO BEEN WATCHING FOR SPIN INSIDE THE STORM. SO ROTATION AND THAT’S ALSO BEEN VERY, VERY BROAD. SO WE HAVEN’T SEEN DEFINED ROTATION THAT WOULD INSIST TO US THAT THERE COULD BE A TORNADO INSIDE THAT THUNDERSTORM. SO THAT’S SOME GOOD NEWS THERE. AND THERE IS SOME LIGHT SHOWERS THAT ARE EXTENDING UP INTO GAGE COUNTY NOW, AND THAT WILL EVENTUALLY GET INTO LANCASTER COUNTY AND AREAS LIKE CASS AND OTOE COUNTY AS WELL. SO THAT WOULD JUST BE LIGHTER RAIN. AND I THINK THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL BE LIMITED THE FURTHER IT EXTENDS NORTH UP TOWARDS OMAHA. SO WE’LL WATCH FOR THIS BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS JUST RIGHT BY THE BORDER. ALSO IN WESTERN KANSAS. BUT THOSE LOOK LIKE THEY’RE FIZZLING OUT A LITTLE MORE. THIS COMPUTER MODEL ACTUALLY DOESN’T PICK UP ON THE STORMS THAT ARE CURRENTLY ENTERING INTO SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA, BUT THOSE STORMS IN WESTERN KANSAS COULD BE HERE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, AND THEY WOULDN’T BE A SEVERE THREAT LIKE BY THAT POINT. AND THEY WOULD SKIRT OFF VERY QUICKLY. SO THAT’S OUR OVERNIGHT CHANCE. NOW WE ZIP THROUGH SUNDAY. IT LOOKS MORE LIKE MISSOURI THAN IT DOES US. AND WE COULD ACTUALLY HAVE CLEARING IN THE SKIES LATER ON SUNDAY. AND THAT MAY LEAD TO A STORM NORTH OF US. THAT’S ALL COMPUTER MODELS ARE REALLY SHOWING FOR US INTO MONDAY. WE’LL ACTUALLY HAVE TO WATCH LATE IN THE EVENING FOR STORMS THAT WILL LIKELY FIRE TO OUR NORTH, BUT THAT LOOKS LIKE MORE OF A MESS FOR MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES UP INTO GREEN BAY THAN US. SO FOR TOMORROW IT’S A MARGINAL RISK. ANOTHER ONE OUT OF FIVE FOR A STRONG TO SEVERE STORM. AND THEN MONDAY NIGHT WE’RE UNDER ANOTHER RISK WITH THE FAVORABLE INGREDIENTS ARE SHIFTING EAST AND NORTH OF US. SO WE REALLY MIGHT NOT GET MUCH THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. TONIGHT MIGHT BE OUR BEST CHANCE. THERE’S A LIVE LOOK OUTSIDE. WE GOT SOME CLOUDS OUT THERE, 67 DEGREES, A SOUTH WIND AT 14MPH, AND YOU CAN SEE WHERE THE WARMTH IS TO OUR WEST AND TO OUR SOUTH. OMAHA STILL AT 67, LINCOLN AT 73. SO THERE IS STILL SOME INSTABILITY OVER THERE. I’M GOING TO GO IMPACTS 9 P.M. AND ONWARD FOR THOSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR GAGE COUNTY AND NEAR JEFFERSON COUNTY RIGHT NOW. IF THEY CAN MAKE IT UP HERE BY NINE, TEN, 11:00, MAYBE WE’LL HAVE SOME SHOWERS OR RUMBLES OF THUNDER BY THAT TIME. SUNDAY, MONDAY, TUESDAY, WE ARE GOING IMPACT WEATHER BECAUSE THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. BUT COMPUTER MODELS JUST AREN’T SHOWING MUCH. SO IF A STORM FORMS, IT MIGHT BE STRONG, BUT IT’S JUST UNLIKELY THAT ONE WILL FORM. SO I WOULD MAYBE HAVE THE UMBRELLA WITH YOU SUNDAY, MONDAY, TUESDAY. HAVE A WAY TO RECEIVE ALERTS, BUT IT’S UNLIKELY YOU’LL NEED TO SEE THOSE ALERTS OR NEED THAT UMBRELLA, BUT IT WILL BE WARMER AND WILL BE MORE HUMID, THAT’S FOR SURE. IMPORTANT REMINDER THAT NO SEVERE WEATHER IS ALWAYS A POSSIBILITY DURING THIS TIME OF YEAR. SO GOOD TIME TO REMAIN