Valparaiso vs. Missouri State Predictions & Picks – February 17

Saturday’s contest between the Missouri State Bears (14-12, 6-9 MVC) and the Valparaiso Beacons (6-20, 2-13 MVC) at Great Southern Bank Arena has a good chance to be a lopsided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 77-66 and heavily favors Missouri State to come out on top. Game time is at 2:00 PM ET ET on February 17.

The game has no line set.

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Valparaiso vs. Missouri State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 17, 2024
• Time: 2:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Springfield, Missouri
• Venue: Great Southern Bank Arena

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Valparaiso vs. Missouri State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Missouri State 77, Valparaiso 66

Spread & Total Prediction for Valparaiso vs. Missouri State

• Computer Predicted Spread: Missouri State (-11.6)
• Computer Predicted Total: 142.6

Missouri State has gone 14-10-0 against the spread, while Valparaiso’s ATS record this season is 13-10-0. The Bears have gone over the point total in 12 games, while Beacons games have gone over 11 times. In the last 10 contests, Missouri State has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall. Valparaiso has gone 6-4 against the spread and 2-8 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Valparaiso Performance Insights

• The Beacons put up 68.0 points per game (316th in college basketball) while allowing 74.8 per contest (264th in college basketball). They have a -178 scoring differential and have been outscored by 6.8 points per game.
• Valparaiso is 313th in the country at 33.1 rebounds per game. That’s 5.8 fewer than the 38.9 its opponents average.
• Valparaiso connects on 7.2 three-pointers per game (208th in college basketball) at a 33.0% rate (228th in college basketball), compared to the 7.3 its opponents make, shooting 35.8% from beyond the arc.
• Valparaiso has committed 10.7 turnovers per game (112th in college basketball), 1.2 fewer than the 11.9 it forces (140th in college basketball).

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