In a most unlikely matchup of hot teams, the Minnesota Vikings (6-4) face the Denver Broncos (4-5) at Mile High Stadium on Sunday at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Vikings vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Vikings have won 5 straight games despite being without WR Justin Jefferson for all of them and QB Kirk Cousins for 2-and-a-half of them.
Minnesota improved to 6-4 last week with a 27-19 win over the Saints. QB Josh Dobbs continued his strong play, completing 23 of 34 passes for 268 yards and a TD while rushing 8 times for 44 yards and another TD. Tight end T.J. Hockenson was dominant against New Orleans, catching 11 passes for 134 yards and a TD.
The Broncos have won 3 straight games and are fresh off a 24-22 upset of the Bills in Buffalo after beating the Kansas City Chiefs 24-9 at home. QB Russell Wilson was extremely efficient against the Bills, completing 24 of 29 passes for 193 yards and 2TDs.
RB Javonte Williams has been instrumental in the last 2 upset wins, rushing 48 times for 164 yards, catching 7 passes for 42 yards and scoring 2 TDs.
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Vikings at Broncos odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Vikings +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Broncos -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Vikings +3 (-115) | Broncos -3 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 41 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Vikings at Broncos key injuries
Vikings
- LB Brian Asamoah (ankle) questionable
- CB Akayleb Evans (calf) out
- QB Jaren Hall (concussion) out
- WR Justin Jefferson (hamstring) questionable
- RB Alexander Mattison (concussion) questionable
Broncos
Vikings at Broncos picks and predictions
Prediction
Vikings 23, Broncos 20
Moneyline
VIKINGS (+125)
The Broncos are a small home favorite, but have had a much shorter week of preparation than the Vikings. Denver played in Buffalo Monday night and didn’t return home until the following morning, putting everything a day behind.
The wild card here is the potential that Jefferson returns after missing 5 games. He hasn’t been ruled out yet and has shown significant improvement in the week of practice in terms of running at full speed. If it’s announced that he is playing, the line will move.
Against the spread
VIKINGS +3 (-115)
The Vikings are 6-3-1 ATS and have consistently defied the oddsmakers. After early struggles with installing the new Brian Flores-led defense, Minnesota has showed a lot of improvement over the last 6 weeks after being among the league’s worst defenses the previous 2 years.
The Broncos are 3-5-1 ATS with 2 of those wins coming in their last 2 games. Wilson has played much better, but struggles when facing consistent pressure. The Vikings will bring a lot, so getting 3 points as a bonus for a bet on Minnesota helps.
Over/Under
OVER 41 (-110)
As you can see by the prediction, this game should end up very close to the O/U number. Neither QB is viewed as a pure scrambler who runs a lot of RPO plays, but do damage with their legs when evading pressure up front.
As the projected score indicates, there should be more FGs thqn TDs, but both QBs are capable of making enough splash plays to get their teams in scoring position enough to surpass this number — even if it comes in the final couple of minutes of the game.
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