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Series Preview: Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals

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Series Preview: Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals


It was always going to be tough for the Milwaukee Brewers to repeat as division champions this season, but the Brew Crew heads home for a chance to take on the struggling St. Louis Cardinals.

The classic rivalry is set up as a contrast of sorts from preseason expectations. While the Brewers were expected to take a step back after losing players like Corbin Burnes, the Cardinals were hopeful a fresh corps of starters and offensive bounce backs could lead to contention.

Instead, the Brewers have a chance to build on their early standing in the division while adding to the Cardinals’ struggles. The Cardinals’ 15-21 record leaves them sitting six games behind the Brewers. Their inability to match other competitive teams has been a notable narrative during their season with a 7-14 record against teams with at least a .500 winning percentage.

After the team’s hot start, the Brewers have played to a fairly middling pace over the last two weeks. Entering play on Wednesday, Milwaukee ranked 14th in runs scored and 17th in ERA over the last 15 days. That’s hardly a bad omen, but it shows the recent struggles to build on their dominant start. Although the squad has scuffled offensively, there is still an abundance of lineup options to work through any issues.

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Even though the Brewers have slowed from their torrid pace, the problems in St. Louis are much more magnified. The offense hasn’t come close to resembling the blueprint that the Cardinals would have had upon the start of the season. Over the past 30 games, St. Louis ranks 28th in runs scored while averaging a mere 3.2 runs per game. A recent injury to Willson Contreras will sting the Cardinals even more as he was their only hitter performing at an All-Star level. Players to watch in his absence include Alec Burleson and Nolan Arenado, who have both found some form in recent weeks.

The pitching for St. Louis has been better than last season, but not good enough to carry the team through their offensive slump. The three big additions to their rotation have performed more than well enough to keep the team competitive, but the lineup hasn’t held up its end of the bargain. Sonny Gray (0.89 ERA) has continued his Cy Young form from last season. Lance Lynn (3.28 ERA) and Kyle Gibson (3.68 ERA) have been solid, but their underlying numbers hint towards that production possibly regressing in the future.

Probable Pitching Matchups

Thursday, May 9 @ 6:40 p.m: Tobias Myers (6.23 ERA) vs. Sonny Gray (0.89 ERA)

The Brewers most difficult test of the series will come in Game 1 as they face down Sonny Gray. The runner-up in last year’s Cy Young race, Gray has continued right where he left off. Not only is his 0.89 ERA a stunning statistic, but he’s pitched even better than his exceptional 2023 campaign.

He is striking out batters at a career-high rate. Batters can’t square up his pitches, with just a 29.6% hard-hit rate allowed. His two breaking balls have been untouchable. His curveball and sweeper have allowed batting averages of just .133 and .138, respectively. He’s been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the past year and one of the few highlights of this Cardinals season.

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Tobias Myers has stumbled out of the gates in his rookie season, so it will be fascinating to see how he attacks this Cardinals lineup. Myers’ 6.23 ERA doesn’t offer much for encouragement, but there is still plenty of room for growth. He has succeeded at getting batters to chase out of the zone, but he has had problems with his cutter. As he adapts his approach and pitch mix, his development will be an interesting storyline.

Friday, May 10 @ 7:10 p.m: TBD vs. TBD

Saturday, May 11 @ 7:10 p.m: Freddy Peralta (3.49 ERA) vs. Kyle Gibson (3.68 ERA)

Freddy Peralta has been ace-adjacent this year, but he hasn’t lived up to the standards he would set for himself. His first four starts were excellent, but his three most recent outings have left something to be desired. He didn’t make it through six innings in any of those games while allowing a 6.00 ERA.

Peralta is still one of the most dominant strikeout pitchers in baseball, so his dip in production is likely to be a short-term issue. He is in the 91st percentile in strikeout rate and his slider has allowed a .050 batting average- which seems like it’s hardly a real number. He has allowed more damage on his fastball, but Peralta is more than capable of making the adjustments necessary.

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Kyle Gibson has some terrible expected stats (5.44 xERA) but has continued to find success with a high groundball rate. He has stranded runners at a high clip this year even as his strikeout rate has dipped to his worst since 2016. Another pitcher for the Cardinals without elite velocity, Gibson has found success with a variety of breaking balls and offspeed pitches. His sweeper has allowed more hits this year, but he has forced a 41.2% whiff rate on the pitch.

His ability to mix-and-match with a variety of pitches has helped his sinker play up without needing to blaze past hitters. Lefties have had a particularly difficult time against Gibson this season with a .212 batting average. Just like Lynn, though, Gibson has been prone to hard contact.

Sunday, May 12 @ 1:10 p.m: Bryse Wilson (2.40 ERA) vs. TBD

Bryse Wilson has been one of the most unexpected breakouts of the season for Milwaukee. His 2.40 ERA has been a boon to the pitching staff, but his path to get to this point has been funky. In 2022, he pitched a career-high 115 23 innings with the Pirates with a 5.52 ERA. He moved to the bullpen when he came to Milwaukee, lowering his ERA to 2.58.

As this season developed, Wilson morphed once again into a starter, but has been excellent this time around. He’s now providing length and limiting damage. Over his last three starts, he has pitched to a 1.65 ERA while pitching six innings in his recent two outings. He allowed just eight hits in that time but needs to reduce the walks allowed to avoid more traffic. He doesn’t have an elite wipeout pitch, but his four primary pitches all have whiff rates over 20%. His performance has been unexpected, but his continued results will be a welcome sight in Milwaukee.

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Prediction

The Brewers should be able to add to the Cardinals’ misery in this four-game showdown. Pitchers like Lynn and Gibson have been able to pitch to a low ERA so far, but it seems like a potentially combustible mix for the Cardinals if the Brewers can put together competitive at-bats throughout the entirety of the lineup. Not only is it potentially a get-right series for many of the Brewers hitters, but the St. Louis offense has played poorly this season. The Brewers could see several hitters break out of a slump, just as the Cardinals unfortunately lost their best hitter in Contreras. Although a four-game sweep isn’t out of the question, the Brewers have a chance to confidently take three out of four.



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Milwaukee, WI

Milwaukee police chase, driver charged had warrant: complaint

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Milwaukee police chase, driver charged had warrant: complaint


A Milwaukee man is accused of leading police on a more than four-mile chase on Thursday, May 9.

Prosecutors charged 33-year-old Nicholas Rice with two felonies in the case. Prosecutors said the Jeep he was driving was involved in a homicide.

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According to a criminal complaint, police initially spotted the Jeep driving approximately 70 mph on Burleigh Street, where the speed limit is 30 mph, and an officer tried to pull it over. Instead, the driver took off.

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The Jeep sped led officers on a chase that spanned more than four miles at speeds over 80 mph on residential streets, the complaint states. During the chase, the Jeep ran seven red lights and eight stop signs, drove on the wrong side of traffic and nearly hit numerous occupied vehicles.

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The pursuit came to an end near 76th and Appleton when the Jeep ran over stop sticks. The driver, then identified as Rice, was taken into custody. The complaint states he had a warrant out through the Department of Corrections and was wanted for second-degree reckless homicide and hit-and-run; court records do not indicate he had any open cases at the time of the chase.

Rice made his initial appearance on May 15, and court records show his cash bond was set at $15,000.



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Now 91, Willie Nelson shows he’s as strong as ever at BMO Pavilion concert in Milwaukee

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Now 91, Willie Nelson shows he’s as strong as ever at BMO Pavilion concert in Milwaukee


Evidently, Willie Nelson really can’t wait to get on the road again.

Less than a year after bringing his Outlaw Music Festival to Alpine Valley — and less than a month after turning 91 — the country legend was back on a Milwaukee stage Saturday night at the BMO Pavilion. It was Milwaukee’s first big outdoor concert of the year.

It was clear he wasn’t playing out of habit or ego. Of the many Willie Nelson concerts I’ve seen in town over the past decade, Saturday’s was among his most engaging.

Sure, the set was short at just 62 minutes, as has been the case for a while now, and the setlist was heavy on familiar standards. Age perhaps has prompted him to sit for the entire show, and Nelson let the newest member of his Family band, Waylon Payne, take lead vocals for three songs: Merle Haggard’s “Workin’ Man Blues,” and Kris Kristofferson’s “Help Me Make It Through the Night” and “Me and Bobby McGee.”

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But even then, Nelson never coasted, singing most of the words to “Me and Bobby McGee.” He was especially animated for “Workin’ Man Blues,” peppering the performance with grooving guitar licks on his trusty and battered acoustic guitar Trigger and ending the jam with a kick of his right leg and a proud thumbs up from Payne.

It was through Trigger that Nelson’s passion shined most Saturday night.

There’s long been a roughness to his strumming that can be off-putting for the unprepared, but that’s part of the charm of a Willie Nelson show. And there remain plenty of diamonds in that rough.

He contradicted the sentiment of “Still Is Still Moving to Me” with swift and nimble Spanish guitar-style runs, and channeled Chuck Berry with ’50s rock swagger on Hank Williams’ “Move It on Over.” With tender, contemplative melodies he teed up his longest running tour mate Mickey Raphael, who offered a response via soulful harmonica solo for “Angel Flying Too Close to the Ground.” (The band was rounded out by Paul English on drums, and Kevin Smith on bass Saturday.)

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And with understated but undeniably smirking bravado, Nelson’s guitar dazzle for “I Never Cared for You” was the equivalent of dancing on a vanquished foe’s grave.

While his guitar runs would often soar, Nelson as a vocalist remains engagingly down to earth, the direct, conversational tone of his voice seasoned ever so slightly with a sprinkle of soul or a splash of sass.

That approach served Saturday’s punchlines much better than a heavy wink and nudge, drawing hollers with his cool evisceration of “Mr. Purified Country” by asking “is your head so far up that you can’t pull it out” on “Write Your Own Songs,” and drawing laughs singing about looking good in his jeans on Mac Davis’ “It’s Hard to Be Humble.”

Nelson’s gentle vocal delivery also enhanced his fleeting moments of rambunctiousness, like the growl of his voice in the repeated utterance of “Mamma” for a boisterous singalong of Ed and Patsy Bruce’s “Mammas Don’t Let Your Babies Grow Up to Be Cowboys.”

And it’s a safe bet that Nelson’s rendition of “Always on My Mind” Saturday will be burned into many Milwaukee fans’ memories: the humble confessions of his neglect, the lonesome guitar lines conveying the depth of his regrets.

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That song, and the 20 others Nelson touched on Saturday, were received with an immense level of gratitude fitting for a goodbye. But Nelson also made it clear, through intact talent and his own appreciation, that he’s not ready to bow out just yet. So long as he’s still able to tour, there’s no doubt Nelson would be happy to see Milwaukee again after he turns 92.

5 takeaways from Willie Nelson’s Milwaukee concert, including opener Ryan Larkins

  • It was a perfect night for the season’s first major outdoor concert in Milwaukee, with clear skies and a cool breeze coming off the lake.
  • When the show ended, in between blowing kisses, Nelson tossed a cowboy hat into the crowd like a frisbee and threw out a few red bandanas, including one he pulled off his head.
  • Two other fans also special recognition from Nelson during “Always on My Mind.” He noticed the women standing right in front of him near the song’s end, giving them a wave as he sang before he made them the subjects of his song, pointing to them and smiling as he sang. When the song ended, the women gave each other a huge hug.
  • The moment Willie Nelson launched into “Roll Me Up and Smoke Me When I Die,” the smell of marijuana wafted through my section of the pavilion. Nelson no doubt would be proud.
  • Opener Ryan Larkins confessed to being nervous on the BMO Pavilion stage Saturday playing for one of the largest crowds of his career opening for his favorite artist. But it was the only evidence of nerves across a 25-minute set marked by Larkins’ humility and smooth baritone (close your eyes when he talked and you could almost imagine Austin Butler was channeling Elvis). Larkins honored his predecessors in multiple ways, like with a bluster-free cover of “I Love This Bar” in honor of the late Toby Keith, and with original “King of Country Music” that name-drops loads of legends and honors country music craftsmanship. It’s Larkins’ first song to hit country radio, but don’t let that aw-shucks charm fool you — he’s already scored a hit as a songwriter, Cody Johnson’s “The Painter,” which he saved for last, not so much to boast of his bona fides but to honor the song’s inspiration, his wife of 15 years.

Willie Nelson’s BMO Pavilion setlist

  1. “Whiskey River”
  2. “Stay a Little Longer”
  3. “Still Is Still Moving to Me”
  4. “Bloody Mary Morning”
  5. “I Never Cared for You”
  6. “Workin’ Man Blues”
  7. “Mammas Don’t Let Your Babies Grow Up to Be Cowboys”
  8. “Angel Flying Too Close to the Ground”
  9. “On the Road Again”
  10. “Always On My Mind”
  11. “Good Hearted Woman”
  12. “Help Me Make It Through the Night”
  13. “Move It On Over”
  14. “Georgia (On My Mind)”
  15. “I Been to Georgia on a Fast Train”
  16. “Me and Bobby McGee”
  17. “Roll Me Up and Smoke Me When I Die”
  18. “Write Your Own Songs”
  19. “Will the Circle Be Unbroken”/”I’ll Fly Away”
  20. “It’s Hard to Be Humble”

Contact Piet at (414) 223-5162 or plevy@journalsentinel.com. Follow him on X at @pietlevy or Facebook at facebook.com/PietLevyMJS.





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How to Watch Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Live Stream, TV Channel, Start Time – May 19

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How to Watch Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Live Stream, TV Channel, Start Time – May 19


At Minute Maid Park on Sunday, the Houston Astros (20-26) face the Milwaukee Brewers (27-18), with first pitch at 2:10 PM ET. On the hill for the Astros will be Spencer Arrighetti (1-4), opposed by the Brewers’ Colin Rea (3-1).

How to Live Stream Astros vs. Brewers

  • Game Day: Sunday, May 19, 2024
  • Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park
  • TV: BSWI (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Livestream: Watch on Fubo

FREE MLB LIVE STREAM: Watch Astros vs. Brewers for free with a trial to Fubo!

Astros and Brewers Stats

  • The Astros strike out 8.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 14th in MLB.
  • The Astros have pitched to a 4.56 ERA this season, which ranks 27th in baseball.
  • The Astros rank sixth in Major League Baseball with 53 home runs.
  • Hitters for Houston rank fifth in the majors with a combined .414 team slugging percentage.
  • The Brewers pitching staff is 26th in MLB with a collective 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • Milwaukee’s 3.95 team ERA ranks 13th among all MLB pitching staffs.
  • The Brewers average 1.3 home runs per game to rank fourth in baseball with 58 total home runs .
  • So far this season, Milwaukee ranks fourth in the majors, slugging .427.

Astros vs. Brewers Key Players

  • Kyle Tucker paces the Astros with 13 home runs and 29 runs batted in.
  • Jose Altuve has 10 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks while batting .310.
  • Jeremy Pena leads the Astros with a .324 batting average.
  • William Contreras has a team-high batting average of .350 and paces the Brewers in runs batted in with a mark of 37.
  • Willy Adames is batting .244 with 11 doubles, seven home runs and 20 walks.
  • Brice Turang has 11 doubles, two home runs and 13 walks while hitting .304.

WATCH THE GAME: Watch Major League Baseball for free with a trial to Fubo!

Astros vs. Brewers Betting Odds and Trends

Astros vs. Brewers Moneyline and Over/Under

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Astros -134 +113 9 -105 -115

Astros vs. Brewers Betting Trends

  • This season, the Astros have won 15 out of the 35 games, or 42.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • The Astros have a record of 13-9, a 59.1% win rate, when favored by -134 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Astros and their opponents have hit the over in 17 of their 46 games with a total this season.
  • The Brewers have been victorious in 14, or 58.3%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • The Brewers have a win-loss record of 8-4 when favored by +113 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Brewers and their opponents have hit the over in 27 of their 45 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.



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