Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Detroit Pistons Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-22-2024
The Milwaukee Bucks (29-13, 16-25-1 ATS, 26-16 O/U) take on the Detroit Pistons (4-38, 19-23 ATS, 27-14-1 O/U) in a divisional bout on Monday evening. The Bucks and Pistons just met on Saturday night. The Bucks recorded a 141-135 road win and now lead the season series 2-0.
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Bucks Seeks 30th Win
The Milwaukee Bucks are seeking their 30th win of the season. Milwaukee continues to shine, winning four of their last five games propelled by a barrage of scoring. This includes a 143-142 overtime home win against the Kings last week. The only loss in that span was a 135-95 road loss to the Cavaliers on Wednesday. They rebounded with a 141-135 road win against the Pistons on Saturday. The Bucks have covered the spread in one of their last five games.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has scored at least 30 points in two of his last three performances. The 29-year-old star power forward did not play on Wednesday and returned on Saturday. He has recorded an average of 31.2 PPG. He scored 22 against the Pistons last month and 31 on Saturday. Damian Lillard has scored at least 25 points in three of his last four clashes. The 33-year-old point guard had his best game of the season against the Pistons, netting 45 points. Lillard is now averaging 25.5 PPG on the year. Khris Middleton has shot below 43% in three of his last four games. The veteran forward is posting an average of 14.4 PPG on 48% shooting.
Giannis put ’em in the spin cycle. pic.twitter.com/yQMOvEz9p9
— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) January 20, 2024
The Bucks are 2-3 in their last five road games but did not cover the spread once that span. Milwaukee has netted at least 130 points in three of their last five games and is scoring an average of 124.5 points on the year, marking them second. They are conceding an average of 120.6 points, placing them 25th.
Pistons Competitive in Another Loss
The Detroit Pistons are eying their fifth win. The Pistons are obviously having a disastrous season but have been competitive recently. They lost by just two points to the Rockets last weekend and replied by earning a convincing 129-117 road win against the Wizards early last week. Detroit covered in a 124-117 loss to Minnesota on Wednesday and was marked 13.5 point dogs in the loss on Saturday. The Pistons have covered in four of their last five games.
Cade Cunningham has not played since early this month due to a knee injury. The 22-year-old point guard is not expected to return for this one. He is averaging 22.8 PPG on the season. Bojan Bogdanovic has been relied upon heavily recently. He has netted at least 20 points in two of his last four bouts. The 34-year-old forward sunk 24 points against the Bucks in December and 19 points on Saturday. He has registered an average of 19.8 PPG. Jalen Duran has been outstanding, connecting on at least 50% of his field goals in each game this month. The 20-year-old center has reported an average of 14 PPG.
JD dunk to get us going pic.twitter.com/DjgOGH9Yut
— Detroit Pistons (@DetroitPistons) January 20, 2024
Detroit is 0-5 in their last five home games including a loss to the Spurs, covering on three occasions in that span. Detroit is averaging 112.4 points on the season, marking them 24th. They have conceded at least 130 points in three of their last five bouts and are squandering an average of 123 points, pegging them 28th in the NBA.
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Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
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The Milwaukee Bucks continue to dazzle, winning four of their last five games. The Detroit Pistons continue to lose most games. They did recently manage to beat a Wizards team that only has eight wins but that’s it for the month.
Furthermore, the Bucks continue to dominate in the offensive end, averaging 120.7 points per 100 possessions, good for 2nd in the NBA compared to a weak Pistons offense that is only posting 110.4 points per 100. They continue to play without scoring leader Cade Cunningham. While the meeting between these squads was close on Saturday, the Pistons shot 56% from three-point range which I can’t see happening in the rematch.
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks -11.5
Full-Game Total Pick
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I expect plenty of scoring. The Bucks are piling on the points. They have scored at least 129 points in four of their last five games. They collected 145 points against Detroit last month in a game where the over easily delivered and posted 141 points on Saturday.
In addition, the Pistons are showing an increase in offense. They have scored at least 117 points in three straight games. Defensively, they continue to be exploited, conceding at least 124 points in seven of their last ten games. Milwaukee will attempt a ton of threes and the Pistons are marked 27th in the NBA in three-point defense. The over is 4-1 in the Pistons’ last five games against a divisional opponent.
Prediction: Over 247