New Michigan poll shows where Trump-Harris race stands after Biden decision

A new WDIV/Detroit News survey asked Michigan voters where they stand on the probable race for president between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.

Harris hasn’t officially been nominated by the Democratic Party, but has the support of most major players, and is the presumed nominee after President Joe Biden pulled out of the race last weekend.

The WDIV/Detroit News survey was conducted between Monday and Wednesday, following Biden’s decision.

The Trump-Harris race for president

The WDIV/Detroit News survey found the presidential race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is dead even at 41%-41%.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. takes 10% of the vote while 6.0% of voters remain undecided. Here’s the full breakdown:

• 41.6% Kamala Harris

• 41.3% Donald Trump

• 9.7% Robert F Kennedy Jr.

• 0.7% Chase Oliver

• 0.5% Jill Stein

• 0.3% Named another candidate

• 5.9% Undecided

The survey found that Kennedy holds a one-point lead among Independent voters, but nearly 18% remain undecided.

Other key findings from the survey:

• Among men, Trump holds a wide lead of 50.3%-35.3%, with 8.0% of men going to Kennedy – a Trump lead of 15.0% among men. But among women, Harris leads 47.4%-33.0%, with 11.2% going to Kennedy – a Harris lead of 14.4% among women.

• Among African American voters, 82.1% support Harris, 11.5% support Kennedy, no black voters in this survey supported Trump.

Voter motivation

The survey found that Michigan voters agree with Biden’s decision to step aside in the 2024 presidential race. 88.3% of voters agree compared to only 6.5% that disagree.

Voters were asked if Biden’s announcement to not run again made them more or less motivated to vote in November.

• 25.6% said they were more motivated.

• 0.7% said they were less motivated.

• 73.2% said it had no impact on their motivation.

The decision disproportionately made “Strong Democratic” voters, voters aged 18-29, and African American voters more motivated to vote in November.

• 46.4% of voters aged 18-29 are more motivated to vote.

• 38.5% of African American voters are more motivated to vote.

• 36.6% of Strong Democratic voters are more motivated to vote.

Poll methodology:

The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a Michigan statewide survey of November 2024 likely general election voters. The 600 sample, live operator telephone survey was conducted on July 22-24, 2024 and has a margin of error of +/-4.0% with a 95% level of confidence. 17.8% of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 82.2% of respondents were contacted via cell phone telephone. This survey was commissioned by WDIV Local 4 News and the Detroit News.