TCU vs. Kansas State: Big 12 Championship Game pick, prediction

TCU seems to be to stitch up what seems to be like a assured berth within the Faculty Soccer Playoff when it faces off towards challenger Kansas State within the Massive 12 Championship Sport on Saturday.

Win or lose, it seems that TCU and first-year head coach Sonny Dykes ought to clinch one of many closing 4 bids within the nationwide semifinal, given the credentials the staff has constructed up, ending with an undefeated common season file.

Kansas State as soon as held a 28-10 lead on TCU of their first assembly this fall earlier than a spirited comeback that saved the Horned Frogs good. Nonetheless, the Wildcats are a formidable foe, boasting the league’s high scoring protection and a productive speeding offense that hits over 210 yards per sport on common.

This is what you possibly can count on from the sport this weekend.

TCU vs. Kansas State preview, prediction

Learn how to watch, stream

When: Sat., Dec. 3

Time: 11 a.m. Central

TV: ABC community

Stream: fuboTV (Strive without cost)

Odds, level unfold, betting strains, developments

Sport strains are courtesy of SI Sportsbook and should change after publication

Level unfold: TCU comes into the sport as slender 2.5 level favorites towards Kansas State, in response to the strains at SI Sportsbook.

Whole: 62 factors

Moneyline: TCU -133 | Kansas State +105

FPI prediction: TCU has the shut 53.9 % likelihood to win the sport outright, in response to the Soccer Energy Index pc prediction mannequin that picks winners by simulating groups’ seasons 20,000 occasions. Kansas State has the aggressive 46.1 % shot to tug off the upset.

Picks: TCU vs. Kansas picks, predictions: Massive 12 Championship Sport odds, unfold, strains

+ Kansas State is 4-1 towards the unfold in its final 4 video games total

+ TCU is 6-1-1 ATS in its final 8 video games after an ATS victory

+ The over is 4-0 in Kansas State’s final 4 video games after a straight up win

+ Horned Frogs are 5-1 towards the unfold of their final 6 after a straight up win

TCU vs. Kansas State: What you should know

1. TCU’s “sluggish begins”. It has been the headline that surrounded this Frogs staff all season, and initially saved it out of the highest 4 rankings. TCU has saved issues shut within the first half of many video games this season, most notably in its earlier assembly with Kansas State. A gifted group of ability targets was in a position to assist deliver this staff again, particularly after Okay-State suffered an injury-induced change at quarterback in that sport.

2. Okay-State’s 1-2-3 punch. Since coming into that first assembly, Will Howard has performed effectively rather than starter Adrian Martinez for the Wildcats. Martinez was a operating risk, whereas Howard helps unfold defenses out extra broadly by complementing the staff’s operating means with a constant arm, going over 200 yards in 4 of 5 video games and was 4 yards away from the milestone within the fifth, hitting on 13 TD passes with simply two picks and the offense has eclipsed 40 factors in three video games. 

Deuce Vaughn is one in all faculty soccer’s most electrical playmakers, scoring 10 all-purpose touchdowns, going over 100 yards speeding in 7 video games, and KSU is 0-3 in video games the place he was underneath a century. And look ahead to large receiver Malik Knowles, a key outlet for Howard who has 679 yards and two scores receiving with three extra as a runner.

3. Horned Frogs’ ability threats. It is laborious to imagine that Max Duggan wasn’t TCU’s beginning quarterback to start the season, however he is actually owned the job since then, pacing the Massive 12 with over 3,000 yards, 29 touchdowns, and three picks with a career-best 67% completion mark. And he is working with a stellar supporting forged together with chief Quentin Johnston (764 yards) and the likes of Derius Davis and Taye Barber, a bunch with stable arms and perimeter velocity who can check Okay-State’s again seven. Lead again Kendre Miller ran for 100-plus yards in 5 straight video games and is 1st nationally with 6.76 yards per carry

Faculty soccer convention championship sport picks, predictions

TCU vs. Kansas State: Quick Info

+ TCU is 1st staff since 1975 to win 7 straight video games by 10 or fewer factors

+ Kansas State is 1st in Massive 12 permitting 19.4 factors per sport

+ TCU has 5 wins over ranked groups; Georgia and Michigan mix for 4

+ Wildcats have allowed 15 pts whole within the 2nd half of their final 5 video games

+ TCU is 1st nationally with 13 touchdowns of 50-plus yards

+ Kansas State is 1st in Massive 12 scoring 40.2 factors per sport in its final 5 video games

+ Horned Frogs are 2nd nationally with 17 performs of 50-plus yards and 10 performs of 60-plus yards

+ Wildcats are 2nd nationally with a plus-1.17 turnover margin per sport

+ TCU is 4th nationally with 41.3 factors per sport

+ Kansas State is 9-1 when main after the first quarter and 0-2 when trailing

TCU vs. Kansas State Prediction

Kansas State has greater than an opportunity on this sport. We noticed what it might do towards TCU of their first assembly, build up that 18-point lead, and the oddsmakers are actually calling an in depth sport, conserving the unfold underneath a area purpose. 

The Wildcats have performed impressed soccer, successful six video games by greater than 10 factors, are tops within the Massive 12 in scoring protection, second in speeding, and second in turnover margin, taking excellent care of the soccer.

Howard has the arm and the weapons to constantly shift TCU’s pursuit group out of place, whereas the mixed operating efforts of Vaughn and the occasional look by Martinez might push the Wildcats to over 5 yards per carry. If that is the case, this might be an extended day for the Horned Frogs.

Fortunately, they’ve the gear and the expertise to resist early (and late) deficits. The magic quantity right here seems to be 160: when Kansas State permits extra on the bottom it is 1-3 and it is 8-0 when it permits much less. TCU is posting virtually 199 per sport speeding.

Faculty Soccer HQ prediction: TCU 34, Kansas State 27 | TCU covers the unfold (TCU -2.5) | Hits the underneath (62).

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