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Trump maintains lead, Haley snags second in final poll before Iowa caucuses

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Trump maintains lead, Haley snags second in final poll before Iowa caucuses


DES MOINES, Iowa — Former President Trump, the current frontrunner in the GOP presidential primary, maintained his lead in the final Iowa poll before Monday’s GOP caucuses. Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley snagged the second spot, slightly overtaking Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who heavily centered his campaigning on the Hawkeye State. 

The former president solidified his status as a favorite in Iowa by holding a nearly 30-point lead in the final NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll released Saturday. Trump has the backing of the most committed caucusgoers, an important factor considering that Iowa is dealing with freezing temperatures and blizzards that could affect turnout on Monday. 

According to the poll, Trump amassed first-choice support from 48 percent of likely Republican caucusgoers, holding a 28-point lead over Haley, who slightly narrowed the gap from the last time the same poll was conducted. DeSantis came at 16 percent while Ramaswamy, whom Trump seemed to turn against days before the opening contest, is at 8 percent. 

Trump’s lead is barely lower than the previous poll in December where he had a 32-point cushion. 

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“He is still in a commanding position, but there is slippage,” J. Ann Selzer, the Iowa pollster who conducted the survey, said about Trump. “The game appears to be for second place, without a real challenger on the horizon.”

Haley’s second place in the poll represents a 4-point jump after garnering 16 percent of support in December. The former South Carolina governor has seen a surge nationally, particularly in New Hampshire, the state that is second on the GOP election schedule. Haley performed well with independents and those with college diplomas, according to the poll. Thirty-three percent of independents picked her as their nominee. 

DeSantis, whose standing slipped by three points since the December poll, did best with evangelicals with 22 percent picking him as their nominee. 

Ehtuasiam of Trump supporters is also dominant, with around 49 percent saying they are “extremely enthusiastic” about Trump. A significant gap compared to DeSantis and Haley, his biggest competitors in the state. 

Twenty-three percent of DeSantis backers are extremely enthusiastic about the Florida governor, while nine percent of Haley backers showed the same vigor. 

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The poll of 705 likely Republican caucusgoers was done between Jan. 7 and 12. Overall, it has a margin of error of plus-minus 3.7 percent.

Copyright 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.



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Two Iowans sentenced to prison for creating child pornography

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Two Iowans sentenced to prison for creating child pornography


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Two Iowans will spend decades in federal prison after pleading guilty to separate child exploitation offenses.

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Martin Menjivar, 59, of Iowa City, was sentenced Thursday, March 26, to 42 years in prison after pleading guilty to sexual exploitation of a child and child pornography possession. It comes days after Pry’Shayn Mosley, 21, of Fort Dodge was sentenced to 25 years for exploitation and receipt of child pornography.

Iowa City man picked up children from school, abused them

Menjivar, a citizen of Honduras, was charged in May 2025. In court filings, prosecutors say Menjivar was entrusted to pick up children, some as young as 5, from their elementary school and bring them to his wife’s home for after-school babysitting. In at least two cases, Mejivar used that access to get children alone and touch them inappropriately, recording the interaction on video.

Investigators reportedly found dozens of illicit images and videos on Menjivar’s electronic devices. Menjivar also previously worked as a school photographer in Honduras, and investigators found he had hundreds of photos from his former employment that focused on children’s clothed genitals.

“Defendant’s horrific actions of creating and collecting child pornography show violence against young, vulnerable children and a severe danger to the community,” prosecutors wrote in presentence filings.

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Menjivar also has been charged in Johnson County with second-degree sexual abuse against two different children, apparently in relation to the same conduct. That case remains pending, with a plea hearing scheduled in May.

Fort Dodge man gets 25 years for enticing children

Mosley, who was sentenced March 23, was charged in January 2025. Prosecutors alleged that in 2022, he enticed two minors to engage in sexually explicit conduct, photographed or recorded it, and distributed the resulting pornography to others, including additional children.

In addition, during a warrant search that located drugs, guns and electronic devices containing child pornography, Mosley tried to get a juvenile at the scene to conceal drugs from the investigators.

Mosley pleaded guilty to sexual exploitation and receiving child pornography. Additional drug, pornography and exploitation charges were dismissed as part of a plea deal.

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Menjivar was prosecuted by the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of Iowa, while Mosley’s case was handled by the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Northern District of Iowa. Attorneys for Menjivar and Mosley did not immediately return messages Thursday seeking comment.

William Morris covers courts for the Des Moines Register. He can be contacted at wrmorris2@registermedia.com or 715-573-8166.



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Jada Williams among eight Iowa State players headed to transfer portal

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Jada Williams among eight Iowa State players headed to transfer portal


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Iowa State’s first-round exit from the 2026 Women’s NCAA Tournament has triggered a mass exodus, with a reported eight players leaving the team to enter the transfer portal.

Junior forward Addy Brown announced her decision to “move on” from Iowa State and enter the transfer portal in a social media post on Tuesday, March 24.

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“This decision comes after a lot of thought about my future and goals,” Brown wrote in a post shared to social media. “While it’s never easy to move on, I believe this is the right step for me and I’m excited for what’s ahead as I continue to grow and chase my dreams.”

By Thursday, March. 26, several other players followed suit. Junior guard Jada Williams confirmed she’ll be “pursuing my dreams elsewhere” for her senior season. She added in a social media post, “Iowa State will always have a place in my heart and I’ll never forget the Iowa State way.”

Williams transferred to Iowa State for the 2025-26 season after playing for Arizona for the first two years of her career. William averaged career-highs in points (15.3), assists (7.7) and field goal percentage (41.7) in her lone season at Iowa State.

Iowa State freshman guard Reese Beaty, freshman guard Freya Jensen, sophomore guard Reagan Wilson, sophomore guard Aili Tanke, junior forward Alisa Williams and junior center Lilly Taulelei all intend to enter the transfer portal, according to On3’s Talia Goodman.

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The transfer portal opens on Monday, April 6, following the NCAA Tournament championship game on Sunday, April 5.

Could Iowa State junior center Audi Crooks be next? Crooks declined to answer whether she would return next season following Iowa State’s 72-63 loss to Syracuse on Saturday, March 21. She instead said, “We’re all still processing everything and just being there for each other right now is the priority. That’s the main thing, making sure everybody is mentally OK through this tough time.”

Crooks had 37 points (17-of-25 FG) and five rebounds in the losing effort against Syracuse.

Reach USA TODAY National Women’s Sports Reporter Cydney Henderson at chenderson@usatoday.com and follow her on X at@CydHenderson.

The USA TODAY app gets you to the heart of the news — fast. Download for award-winning coverage, crosswords, audio storytelling, the eNewspaper and more.

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