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Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State Predictions & Picks – Women's MVC Tournament

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Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State Predictions & Picks – Women's MVC Tournament


Friday’s game between the Northern Iowa Panthers (15-14) and Illinois State Redbirds (21-10) matching up at Vibrant Arena at the Mark has a projected final score of 73-70 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Northern Iowa, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will begin at 3:30 PM ET on March 15.

The Panthers are coming off of a 67-46 victory over Evansville in their most recent outing on Saturday.

In their last matchup on Saturday, the Panthers secured a 67-46 win against Evansville. In their most recent game on Thursday, the Redbirds claimed an 85-64 win against Evansville. In the victory, Maya McDermott paced the Panthers with 17 points. Shannon Dowell scored a team-high 14 points for the Redbirds in the victory.

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Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State Game Info

  • When: Friday, March 15, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Where: Vibrant Arena at the Mark in Moline, Illinois

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Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Northern Iowa 73, Illinois State 70

Northern Iowa Schedule Analysis

  • The Panthers’ signature victory of the season came against the Green Bay Phoenix, a top 50 team (No. 48), according to our computer rankings. The Panthers registered the 78-67 home win on November 6.
  • Northern Iowa has tied for the 17th-most Quadrant 2 defeats in the country (six).

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Northern Iowa 2023-24 Best Wins

  • 78-67 at home over Green Bay (No. 48) on November 6
  • 95-75 at home over Murray State (No. 95) on January 19
  • 89-87 on the road over Murray State (No. 95) on February 17
  • 74-47 at home over Illinois State (No. 114) on February 8
  • 61-52 at home over UIC (No. 170) on March 2

Illinois State Schedule Analysis

  • When the Redbirds took down the Drake Bulldogs, the No. 52 team in our computer rankings, by a score of 79-70 on January 27, it was their best win of the year so far.
  • Illinois State has tied for the 30th-most Quadrant 2 losses in the nation (five).

Illinois State 2023-24 Best Wins

  • 79-70 at home over Drake (No. 52) on January 27
  • 88-77 at home over Northern Iowa (No. 82) on January 25
  • 85-75 at home over Murray State (No. 95) on March 7
  • 85-78 at home over Missouri State (No. 103) on January 14
  • 87-81 at home over Saint Louis (No. 166) on December 19

Northern Iowa Leaders

  • McDermott: 15.9 PTS, 1.1 STL, 43.3 FG%, 33.1 3PT% (47-for-142)
  • Grace Boffeli: 15.3 PTS, 8.9 REB, 47.9 FG%, 28.6 3PT% (8-for-28)
  • Kayba Laube: 9.6 PTS, 1.2 STL, 43.5 FG%, 42.5 3PT% (71-for-167)
  • Ryley Goebel: 5.3 PTS, 1.5 STL, 1.5 BLK, 56.5 FG%
  • Shateah Wetering: 6.4 PTS, 45 FG%, 33.3 3PT% (14-for-42)

Illinois State Leaders

  • Kate Bullman: 7.6 PTS, 7.8 REB, 2 BLK, 38.7 FG%, 37.9 3PT% (36-for-95)
  • Deanna Wilson: 14.8 PTS, 7.1 REB, 48 FG%, 23.1 3PT% (3-for-13)
  • Maya Wong: 11.7 PTS, 47.7 FG%, 39.6 3PT% (38-for-96)
  • Dowell: 9.2 PTS, 49.5 FG%, 33.3 3PT% (10-for-30)
  • Abbie Aalsma: 7.5 PTS, 41.7 FG%, 37.4 3PT% (52-for-139)

Northern Iowa Performance Insights

  • The Panthers outscore opponents by 3.5 points per game (scoring 73.2 points per game to rank 57th in college basketball while giving up 69.7 per contest to rank 290th in college basketball) and have a +103 scoring differential overall.
  • Northern Iowa is tallying 77.7 points per game this season in conference contests, which is 4.5 more points per game than its overall average (73.2).
  • The Panthers are putting up 74.8 points per game when playing at home. In road games, they are averaging 73.7 points per contest.
  • Defensively, Northern Iowa has played better in home games this season, ceding 66.6 points per game, compared to 72.5 in road games.
  • The Panthers’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, racking up 77.9 points per contest compared to the 73.2 they’ve averaged this year.

Illinois State Performance Insights

  • The Redbirds have a +215 scoring differential, topping opponents by seven points per game. They’re putting up 74.7 points per game, 38th in college basketball, and are allowing 67.7 per contest to rank 255th in college basketball.
  • Illinois State has averaged 3.5 fewer points in MVC play (71.2) than overall (74.7).
  • In 2023-24 the Redbirds are scoring 14.1 more points per game at home (80.7) than away (66.6).
  • In 2023-24 Illinois State is allowing 3.8 fewer points per game at home (66.2) than away (70).
  • The Redbirds are posting 72.8 points per contest in their last 10 games, which is 1.9 fewer points than their average for the season (74.7).

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© 2023 Data Skrive. All rights reserved.



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VP JD Vance visits Iowa during Tuesday visit

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VP JD Vance visits Iowa during Tuesday visit


Vice President JD Vance is headed to Iowa on Tuesday, expected to speak at a manufacturing facility. Tuesday’s visit will mark the first since taking office last January.

Vance is making the trip to campaign on behalf of Rep. Zach Nunn, who will be facing off in a competitive race to keep his seat in the Des Moines area in the November midterm elections. He is accompanied by his son Vivek on the trip, making a stop in Cincinnati to vote in Ohio, where he previously served as Senator, and then made an appearance in Oklahoma City to hold a fundraiser as the finance chair of the Republican National Committee.

Vance’s visit to Iowa was originally slated for last week, but the timing was changed because the House moved to pass a farm bill that Nunn was due to vote on.

He also had been prepared to appear last week at an Iowa State University event with Turning Point USA. However, the organization said it was not able to reschedule the event with the university until the fall.

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Vance’s visit to Iowa also offers him the chance to test his reception before Iowa voters, who make up a crucial voter bloc for the next presidential election.



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Iowa’s Senate Democratic primary is getting messy

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Iowa’s Senate Democratic primary is getting messy


Democrats are banking on a high-stakes, long-shot win in Iowa.

The Hawkeye State voted for President Donald Trump by 13 points in 2024 and hasn’t elected a Democrat to the Senate since 2008. Still, Democrats are optimistic that a perfect storm of soaring gas and healthcare costs, tariffs and an unpopular president could help them flip the Senate seat blue.

But Democrats first must get through a contentious June 2 primary between state Sen. Zach Wahls and state Rep. Josh Turek before they can even turn their attention to the presumptive GOP nominee, Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-Iowa).

The clash is a microcosm of the establishment moderate-versus-progressive insurgent battle raging within the Democratic Party, an ideological tussle that could cost them in November.

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Wahls, a more left-wing candidate backed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), has made opposition to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer a major part of his message.

“When I’m doing my stump speech and tell people that on the first day of this campaign, I made a promise not to support Chuck Schumer for leader, the room — without any explanation — just spontaneously bursts into applause,” Wahls said in an interview.

Turek, who flipped a GOP-held Iowa Senate seat blue in 2022 and is the favored pick of Schumer’s allies, says Wahls is focused on the wrong issues.

“Wahls is out here running against Schumer. I’m out here running against Donald Trump and Ashley Hinson,” Turek declared. “In the thousands of doors that I’ve knocked, I’ve never heard a single Iowan talk to me about minority leadership.”

Wahls and Turek face off in the first head-to-head primary debate tonight. Warren is stumping for Wahls in Des Moines on May 10.

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Some ad news. Outside groups are taking notice — and spending big. VoteVets is dropping another $800,000 on a pro-Turek ad buy starting Tuesday. The group, dedicated to electing Democrats with military service, has spent $6.7 million boosting Turek to date. In the new spot, a retired Army National Guard colonel says Turek will root out corruption and oppose Trump.

We’ll note Turek isn’t a veteran. But Turek’s father served in Vietnam, and his exposure to Agent Orange while serving contributed to Turek’s being born with spina bifida.

VoteVets first started spending for Turek on March 24.

Electability squabbles. In conversations with the Iowa Democratic hopefuls, both candidates insist they’re the only person who can beat Hinson in the fall.

“Zach comes from the bluest district in the state, a [Kamala] Harris +38 district. He’s never even run against a Republican,” Turek said. “This isn’t the time to be experimenting.”

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Wahls countered that his record of opposing Democratic leadership will resonate with disaffected voters of all stripes.

“It is easier to draw that contrast [with Hinson] if you can tell people that you don’t owe Chuck Schumer a damn thing and that you don’t care about party bosses in either party,” Wahls said. “We can draw that contrast much, much more effectively than Josh can.”

Turek said he didn’t know if he would vote for Schumer as leader if elected.

“I need to get up there. I’m not measuring the drapes first,” Turek said.

State of play. Despite Iowa’s recent red tilt, Turek and Wahls argue that because the state’s farm industry has been hit hard by Trump’s tariffs and higher gas prices, the president is no longer popular among Iowans.

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Democrats are also optimistic that gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand will provide a lift to the rest of the ticket. Sand, the state auditor, is running a well-received campaign and is polling competitively with the GOP frontrunner, Rep. Randy Feenstra.

Iowa is a reach state for Democrats and exists outside of the core Senate map for the party. But in a blue wave environment where control of the chamber is in play, Democratic wins in states like Iowa could help push the party to the 51 seats needed to win a majority.

GOP view. Hinson has boosted Wahls by labeling him the “soon-to-be Democrat nominee” in social media posts. It’s a sign that some Iowa Republicans view Wahls as the more preferable general election candidate.

“With momentum building behind Wahls, time will tell if Schumer can carry his candidate across the finish line,” NRSC spokesperson Samantha Cantrell said in a statement.

Republicans are gleeful at the spate of competitive primaries dividing Democrats in key states. After the Maine primary where progressives came out on top, there are also Schumer-skeptical liberals running in Minnesota and Michigan.

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Opposing Schumer may appeal to some Democratic primary voters, but the sentiment doesn’t directly impact his standing as leader. As long as Senate Democrats win the races they need to win in November, the New York Democrat is unlikely to be challenged for his job.

Happening today. Voters in Ohio and Indiana head to the ballot box for primary day.

Republicans will decide their candidate to face Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur. Derek Merrin is the favorite against state Rep. Josh Williams and former ICE official Madison Sheahan. This is a rightward-shifting district.

Air Force veteran Eric Conroy is favored to take on Democratic Rep. Greg Landsman.

Indiana. There aren’t any steeply competitive primaries in any battleground seats in Indiana. The one to watch is Indiana’s 1st District, where Republicans have an outside chance to knock off Democratic Rep. Frank Mrvan. Republicans are excited by Barb Regnitz.

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Iowa gas prices rise above $4 per gallon for first time since 2022

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Iowa gas prices rise above  per gallon for first time since 2022


DES MOINES, Iowa (KCRG) – Iowa gas prices have topped $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, averaging $4.11 a gallon.

According to GasBuddy, prices jumped 15 cents from Sunday night to Monday, up from $3.84 on Wednesday. Prices have risen 61 cents in the past month.

Iowa gas prices are $1.18 higher than a year ago. The highest recorded average in Iowa was $4.77 per gallon in June 2022.

Nationally, Georgia has the lowest average gas price at $3.85 per gallon, while California has the highest at $6.08.

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