Steelers vs. Colts Week 12 Odds: Indianapolis Looks to End Losing Streak to Pittsburgh

Despite the fact that the Indianapolis Colts are residence favorites in opposition to the Pittsburgh Steelers, the latest sequence historical past between these groups looms massive over Monday evening’s matchup.

Pittsburgh has crushed Indianapolis in seven straight video games courting again to 2011 — the final win within the sequence for Indy got here in 2008. Every of the previous three conferences has been determined by 4 factors or fewer and the two.5-point unfold signifies it might be one other shut one between these AFC foes.

The Steelers (3-7) are coming off a 37-30 loss to the Bengals at residence and are simply 1-4 on the street this season. The Colts (4-6-1) misplaced a decent one final week to the Eagles, 17-16, and are preventing to remain on the perimeter of the playoff image.

Neither workforce has been worthwhile for bettors this 12 months with an identical 5-6 information in opposition to the unfold. The beneath has hit most of the time for Pittsburgh and Indianapolis, two of the lowest-scoring groups within the NFL.

Steelers vs. Colts Odds

Moneyline: Steelers (+120) | Colts (-143)

Unfold: Steelers +2.5 (-110) | Colts -2.5 (-110)

Whole: 39.5 Over (-110) | Beneath (-110)

The Indianapolis offense ranks lifeless final in DVOA, twenty fifth in whole yards per recreation (321.4), and second to final in factors per recreation (15.7). It has struggled to run the ball all 12 months and is considered one of solely eight groups within the NFL to common lower than 100 yards on the bottom. And for as a lot as Matt Ryan aired the ball out early on, the passing recreation is about league common. There are proficient items in place, like operating again Jonathan Taylor and receiver Michael Pittman Jr., however factors have been tough to return by.

The Colts’ protection ranks tenth in DVOA, fourth in yards allowed (307.6), and eleventh in factors allowed (20). It simply held Philadelphia to 17 factors and has solely allowed greater than 20 factors to an opponent as soon as within the final 5 weeks. Inflicting turnovers isn’t essentially a power of this unit, but it surely does properly to gradual groups down and not less than give its offense an opportunity.

Indianapolis’ harm report on the defensive aspect of the ball is a bit regarding: Yannick Ngakoue (again), DeForest Buckner (ribs, sickness), and Zaire Franklin (sickness) are all questionable.

Pittsburgh’s offense ranks twenty second in DVOA, twenty seventh in whole yards per recreation (312.2), and twenty eighth in factors per recreation (17). Rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett is getting higher with every recreation and operating again Najee Harris had his two highest yardage outputs of the season within the final two weeks.

The Steelers’ protection has its high two stars, security Minkah Fitzpatrick and linebacker T.J. Watt again within the lineup, however the season-long statistics aren’t nice. It ranks twenty second in DVOA, twenty eighth in yards allowed (375.5), and twenty sixth in factors allowed (24.4). Pittsburgh held the Saints to simply 10 factors at residence two weeks in the past, however the Bengals scored 30 at Acrisure Stadium simply final week.

Getting factors on the street has at occasions been a worthwhile place for the Steelers. They’re 2-3 in opposition to the unfold as an away underdog and except for a blowout to the Eagles, Pittsburgh has received or misplaced by seven factors or much less in every of its final 5 video games. If the Steelers sustain their domination of the Colts, will probably be as a result of the protection retains Indianapolis in test and Harris and Pickett transfer the ball properly sufficient for kicker Chris Boswell to internet factors. Getting a number of factors is simply added insurance coverage for what’s virtually certain to be a slogfest.

The Decide:

Steelers +2.5

Beneath 39.5