Chris Ballard’s ego is hurting the Indianapolis Colts and will cost him his job

The Indianapolis Colts are being led by a head coach whose decision-making has been questioned too many instances. It seems like this season may find yourself being his final. Nevertheless, not all blame should be placed on Frank Reich. He can solely accomplish that a lot with the expertise he’s given.

A number of the blame, if not a majority of it, must go to basic supervisor Chris Ballard. He’s fairly good at discovering and evaluating expertise. The common profession size for an NFL participant is 3.3 years. Not counting the ‘21 & ‘22 Colts drafts, Ballard has had 55% of his draft picks last more than the common. In reality, of 38 whole picks Ballard has drafted, 58% of them are nonetheless with the Colts.

Which backs up his perception in drafting, growing, and retaining his personal expertise. And of these 38 picks, 10 of them are starters. So, all that is to say that Ballard is best than most at discovering NFL expertise. For context, the common GM success fee is 50%. Nevertheless, as nice as Ballard is, he has some vital weaknesses which are clearly on show this season.

Chris Ballard’s team-building philosophy is flawed

Ballard believes that NFL groups are extra than simply their quarterback. And that crucial space to sink a majority of the staff’s sources is within the trenches (in addition to depth). To be truthful, he’s not flawed. If the staff can’t management the road of scrimmage, it’s going to be extraordinarily troublesome to win video games.

He has lived as much as his phrase by making the Colts the highest-paid offensive line within the NFL. Sadly, the staff has one, perhaps two NFL-level tackles on the roster. The remainder of the fellows profile higher as guards or facilities.

Previous to the 2020 NFL draft, he traded away the thirteenth general draft decide for DeForest Buckner. This offseason, he traded away a younger, probably ascending cornerback for a rotational cross rusher in Yannick Ngakoue. 

In 2020, it was all concerning the line of defense. Within the draft, he did a double dip of drafting back-to-back defensive linemen, in Kwity Paye and Dayo Odeyingbo. And he gave extensions to his two beginning defensive tackles, Grover Stewart (three-year $30.7 million) and Buckner (four-year $84 million). 

This yr’s offensive line is on tempo to surrender 63 sacks. This is able to be probably the most throughout this administration’s tenure. On account of all of this, the Colts have scored 20 factors or fewer in seven straight video games throughout the Reich and Ballard period. This streak is now at seven video games, tying the longest Colts streak since 1993.

To not depart the protection out of the blame recreation. This season they’re ranked 14th in third-down conversion proportion, twentieth in fourth-down conversion proportion, and thirty first in crimson zone proportion. Pink zone proportion simply measures the variety of instances the drives finish in touchdowns. Miraculously, they rank thirteenth in points-per-game at 21.3.

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Ballard has been late to deal with vital wants

There are three basic items an NFL staff wants if it’s going to win video games. A franchise left sort out (proper sort out if the staff has a lefty QB), edge rusher, and quarterback. The Colts presently have perhaps one. It’s laborious to essentially choose how good Matt Ryan is when his offensive line is performing so poorly. 

To be truthful, Ryan does share a number of the blame. His 11 fumbles lead the NFL, and he has a further seven interceptions to accompany them. The final time the Colts had all three of those minimal areas coated was in 2016, after they had Andrew Luck, Anthony Castonzo, and Robert Mathis. That season they went 8-8.

The final time all three of these Colts Ring of Honor guys had been wholesome was in 2013, when the staff went 11-5. That season they gained the Wild Card recreation with the best comeback in staff historical past after which misplaced within the division spherical to New England, sparking ‘Deflategate.’ 

Ballard grew to become the Colts’ GM the yr after Mathis retired. But didn’t tackle the vacant cross rush want till the third spherical with Terrell Basham. A few names he handed on which have been higher are Jonathan Allen and T.J. Watt. Ballard wouldn’t successfully fill this want till 2021. 

The left sort out concern continues to be not solved and probably probably the most damning on Ballard’s resume. In 2019, Castonzo toyed with the thought of retirement. The Colts satisfied him to return. The saying goes, “should you’re desirous about retirement, then you’re retired.” He retired following the 2020 season.

With this in thoughts, it’s logical to assume the Colts would tackle their want for a franchise left sort out within the 2019 draft. As an alternative, the Colts didn’t draft an offensive lineman till the seventh spherical. At this level, it seems just like the staff might need lastly plugged this complete with rookie third-rounder Bernhard Raimann. 

Now, for probably the most damning blemish on Ballard’s resume. In 2019, Luck infamously retired just some days earlier than the beginning of the common season. Since 2018, the Colts have began 4 completely different veteran quarterbacks. Solely Phillip Rivers was capable of take the staff to the playoffs. It stays to be seen with Ryan, however at 2-2-1, it’s not off to an excellent begin. 

The NFL is a QB-driven league. Each franchise operates with the mindset that except they’ve a franchise QB they’re in determined pursuit of getting one. Until you’re the Colts, then you definately simply attempt to catch a veteran QB having an elite season. It stays to be seen if Ballard will lastly take a legit shot at drafting a franchise quarterback and never only a man whose ceiling is that of an NFL backup.

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Frugal in free company

To be truthful, groups don’t all the time need to fill their wants with draft picks. They will make the most of free company. In 2019, Ballard was capable of persuade his former cross rusher, Justin Houston, to hitch Indianapolis. And in 2021, he recruited one more former Kansas Metropolis participant to left sort out, Eric Fisher. Houston would have one nice and one common season with the Colts. Whereas Fisher would have an up-and-down yr.

Of the quarterbacks which have performed in Indy, as beforehand talked about, solely Rivers took the staff to the playoffs. Jacoby Brissett had one of the best season of his profession, though that’s not saying a lot for a profession backup. And a case could be made that Carson Wentz had one of the best season of his profession in Indianapolis. Professional Soccer Reference gave Wentz an Approximate Worth rating of 14 in ‘21, in comparison with 13 in 2017.

All of those gamers got here to the Colts for a comparatively low cost value. Wentz was the costliest of the group. Nevertheless, Ballard’s frugalness has value him in different free-agent lessons. With that being mentioned, the staff that “wins” free company doesn’t sometimes have one of the best common season. So there’s something to be mentioned about Ballard’s plan of motion.

Nevertheless, Ballard being low cost did value him former Colt, Denico Autry. He subsequently signed with division rival Tennessee for 3 years and $21.5 million. Looks like that deal is a typical Ballard transfer. Regardless, it didn’t occur. 

Then this offseason, the staff has been in want of a veteran extensive receiver. They might have introduced again long-time favourite T.Y. Hilton. As an alternative, they saved their youth at receiver. It stays to be seen if that is the proper transfer or not.

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Indianapolis Colts’ file throughout Ballard’s tenure highlights considerations

One ultimate factor to have a look at throughout his time because the GM is the staff’s file. The Colts are 43-42-1. His predecessor’s file was 49-31. Now, everybody will say the distinction is who was enjoying quarterback. This once more brings us again to the purpose that Ballard nonetheless has not addressed probably the most very important place of a soccer staff.

Contemplating the staff’s general file throughout his six years, it’s baffling that he bought an extension from proprietor Jim Irsay. Not too many franchises would reward a GM who has solely two playoff appearances, a file barely above .500, and no division titles with an extension. 

But, that is the state of the group. And contemplating the proprietor rewarded mediocrity, it’s no shock the staff is off to its worst begin underneath this regime, even when the file doesn’t mirror it. 

If this season isn’t drastically modified earlier than it ends, then Ballard must be proven the door. Apathy is slowly beginning to set in with the followers. An increasing number of followers are, actually, brazenly admitting to freely giving or attempting to offer away tickets to the sport. 

Invoice Polian, Tony Dungy, and Peyton Manning labored extremely laborious to construct this franchise right into a winner. I’m positive Irsay doesn’t wish to lose his fan base. And if modifications aren’t made, then that’s precisely what’s going to occur.

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