2022 Indianapolis 500 odds, predictions, starting grid: Model reveals surprising IndyCar picks, best bets

Indianapolis Motor Speedway opened in 1909 and the primary Indy 500 was run in 1911. Within the 111 years since, the monitor has grow to be hallowed floor for motorsports lovers and the race has grow to be one of many largest spectacles in sports activities. The 2022 Indianapolis 500 will happen on Sunday, and after the pandemic restricted the expertise for the previous two years, almost a quarter-million individuals are anticipated to be in attendance at The Brickyard.

The inexperienced flag is scheduled to drop at 12:45 p.m. ET with Scott Dixon sitting on the pole for the fifth time in his profession. Dixon is the 4-1 favourite within the 2022 Indianapolis 500 odds from Caesars Sportsbook, whereas Alex Palou is simply behind him on the IndyCar odds board at 9-2. Earlier than scouring the 2022 Indy 500 beginning grid and making any 2022 Indianapolis 500 predictions, be sure you see the newest 2022 Indianapolis 500 picks from SportsLine’s confirmed projection mannequin.

Developed by each day Fantasy professional and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary auto racing prediction mannequin simulates each race 10,000 occasions, taking into consideration elements equivalent to monitor historical past and up to date outcomes.

Within the 2021 NASCAR season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a powerful 3-1 payout. Then, it known as Chase Elliott to win at Highway America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s mannequin additionally known as Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks earlier than nailing Larson to win the season-finale in Phoenix to say the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship.

In complete, it nailed 5 of Larson’s wins throughout a historic season and has additionally gone 15-9 on its head-to-head matchup predictions to begin the 2022 season. Earlier this season it was excessive on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a much better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The mannequin was additionally excessive on Joey Logano earlier than he gained as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington. Anybody who adopted its lead on these performs noticed large returns.

Now, the mannequin simulated the 2022 Indianapolis 500 (see tickets at StubHub) 10,000 occasions. Head to SportsLine to see the entire projected 2022 Indy 500 leaderboard.

High 2022 Indy 500 predictions

One shock: the mannequin is excessive on Will Energy, though he is an 18-1 lengthy shot within the newest 2022 Indianapolis 500 odds. He is a goal for anybody on the lookout for an enormous payday. The 41-year-old Australian gained the 2014 IndyCar Collection championship and sits atop the 2022 IndyCar standings coming into the 106th Working of the Indianapolis 500.

Energy will begin in the midst of the fourth row on Sunday and the 2018 Indianapolis 500 winner can have fellow Chevy drivers each in entrance of and behind him to work with early on. After beginning exterior the highest 20 in every of the final two years and by no means actually being a consider both race, Energy is poised to make a transfer to the entrance within the 2022 Indy 500.

And an enormous shocker: Pato O’Ward, one of many Vegas favorites at 17-2, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the highest 5. There are much better values within the 2022 Indy 500 beginning grid. The 23-year-old Mexican driver debuted in IndyCar in 2018 and he is made three journeys to Victory Lane early in his IndyCar profession and recorded top-six finishes within the final two Indy 500s.

Nonetheless, he is nonetheless inexperienced with simply 43 profession IndyCar begins beneath his belt and he’ll should hope that the Hondas do not hyperlink up and draw back early. 4 of the six drivers forward of him on the 2022 Indianapolis 500 beginning grid are in Hondas they usually’ll be more likely to work collectively early. O’Ward is at present seventh within the 2022 IndyCar standings.

How one can make 2022 Indianapolis 500 picks

The mannequin can be focusing on 4 different drivers with 2022 Indy 500 odds of 18-1 or longer to make a critical run on the checkered flag. Anybody who backs these drivers may hit it large. You possibly can see the entire mannequin’s Indy 500 projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Indy 500 2022? And which lengthy photographs make a run on the checkered flag? Take a look at the newest 2022 Indianapolis 500 odds beneath, then go to SportsLine now to see the complete projected 2022 Indianapolis 500 leaderboard, all from the mannequin that appropriately predicted 5 of Kyle Larson’s wins final season. 

2022 Indianapolis 500 odds (by way of Caesars Sportsbook)

Scott Dixon 4-1
Alex Palou 9-2
Pato O’Ward 17-2
Josef Newgarden 10-1
Rinus VeeKay 12-1
Marcus Ericsson 14-1
Takuma Sato 14-1
Jimmie Johnson 16-1
Will Energy 18-1
Colton Herta 18-1
Tony Kanaan 18-1
Ed Carpenter 22-1
Scott McLaughlin 22-1
Simon Pagenaud 25-1
Romain Grosjean 25-1
Helio Castroneves 25-1
Felix Rosenqvist 25-1
Alexander Rossi 30-1
Graham Rahal 50-1
David Malukas 50-1
Conor Daly 50-1
Marco Andretti 60-1
J.R. Hildebrand 75-1
Juan Pablo Montoya 100-1
Sage Karam 100-1
Jack Harvey 125-1
Santino Ferrucci 125-1
Kyle Kirkwood 150-1
Callum Illot 150-1
Christian Lundgaard 200-1
Devlin DeFrancesco 250-1
Stefan Wilson 500-1
Dalton Kellett 500-1

Indianapolis 500 beginning grid

Row 1- Scott Dixon, Alex Palou, Rinus VeeKay
Row 2- Ed Carpenter, Marcus Ericsson, Tony Kanaan
Row 3- Pato O’Ward, Felix Rosenqvist, Romain Grosjean
Row 4- Takuma Sato, Will Energy, Jimmie Johnson
Row 5- David Malukas, Josef Newgarden, Santino Ferruci
Row 6- Simon Pagenaud, J.R. Hildebrand, Conor Daly
Row 7- Callum Ilott, Alexander Rossi, Graham Rahal
Row 8- Sage Karam, Marco Andretti, Devlin DeFrancesco
Row 9- Colton Herta, Scott McLaughlin, Helio Castroneves
Row 10- Kyle Kirkwood, Dalton Kellett, Juan Pablo Montoya
Row 11- Christian Lundgaard, Jack Harvey, Stefan Wilson