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New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction, pick for Tuesday 6/9/26
Bryan Armetta offers up a preview, prediction and pick for Tuesday’s MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians.
It took ten innings, but the Yankees (39-26) eked out a 7-5 win on Tuesday. New York is in a dead heat with the rival Rays for first place in the AL East. As for the Guardians (37-31), winning the lackluster AL Central isn’t their biggest challenge. Cleveland is hoping to prove it can take down the Junior Circuit’s best squads. A victory tonight over the hated Pinstripes would go a long way tonight.
The Yankees are favorites (-123) over the Guardians, with the over/under set at 8.5 runs. Below, I’ve laid out my preview, prediction, and best bet for Tuesday’s showdown between New York and Cleveland on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Yankees vs. Guardians pick, best bet
- Yankees vs. Guardians under 8.5 runs (-103): Cole is too good of a pitcher to get beat by the same squad twice in one week. It’s not as if Cleveland’s bats come into this one on a hot streak either. As for Cecconi, continued use of the curveball will be key this evening. He’s already shown an ability to keep New York’s potent lineup in check.
Yankees vs. Guardians prediction, preview
New York was dealt a significant blow last week with the loss of Aaron Judge (ribs). Fortunately, there’s more than enough offensive firepower on this squad going forward. The duo of Ben Rice (184 wRC+) and Cody Bellinger (138 wRC+) have been terrific this season for the Bronx Bombers. As a unit, the Yankees are averaging an American League-best 5.09 runs per game. To boot, they lead all of baseball with 95 home runs. No matter how you slice it, this team can swing the bat with the best of them.
That makes this a tricky spot for Slade Cecconi this evening. The right-hander has produced a mediocre 4.92 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 54 strikeouts (7.2 K/9). With that being said, the 27-year-old is fresh off of a six-inning, one-run outing against New York. The outing saw Cecconi mix in more curveball usage, arguably his most effective pitch. Over his last five starts, the right-hander has accounted for a 3.04 ERA. Yankees batters are slashing .167/.211/.328 against the curveball this season. Cecconi excels at limiting free passes (2.8 BB/9). New York’s offense works 4.26 walks per game, third-most in the majors.
On the other side, it’ll be Gerrit Cole toeing the slab. Over three starts this season, the former Cy Young winner owns a 2.00 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 14 strikeouts (7.0 K/9). He gave up four earned runs over 5.1 innings last week vs. Cleveland. Still, there’s a decent chance the six-time All-Star enjoys more success tonight. The Guardians own a .678 OPS against right-handed pitching, fifth-worst in the league. In his last six meetings with Cleveland, postseason included, Cole has a 3.03 ERA.
The newest weapon in Cole’s arsenal is a changeup, which he’s thrown 16% of the time. Other off-speed weapons include the slider (16%) and curveball (12%). Against those three offerings, the Guardians own a .197 batting average, .267 on-base percentage and .267 wOBA. The team has also scored 37 runs over their previous ten contests, fifth-fewest in baseball during that stretch. Cleveland is averaging 4.03 runs per game at home, seventh-worst in the league this season.
Best Bet: Yankees vs. Guardians under 8.5 runs (-103)
Last week aside, Cole has been terrific this season. I’d expect New York’s ace to bounce back against a subpar Cleveland lineup. As for the Guardians, Cecconi is finally starting to get comfortable on the mound. Facing a Yankees lineup without Judge should lead to another decent performance on Tuesday. At 8.5 runs, this total feels a bit too high.