New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 5/20/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, May 20, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+108) Cleveland (-126)

The Cleveland Guardians (30-17) will compete against the New York Mets (21-25) at Progressive Field on Monday. The odds on this game have the Mets at +108 while the Guardians are coming in at -126. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Tylor Megill and Ben Lively.

As a squad, the New York Mets are scoring 4.3 runs/g, which ranks them 16th in baseball. They have 192 runs scored and have an OBP of .307. The Mets have accrued 69 two-baggers as a team and have hit 43 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 181 runs batted in and 365 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate is at .235. New York is slugging .364 and have struck out 347 times, while being walked on 143 occasions.

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The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.01 so far this year (15th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 401 batters. Mets pitchers have allowed 33 long balls in addition to 209 runs in total (19th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 203 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.90 as a squad this season. New York has surrendered 345 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 181 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.98 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.35.

Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 49 times in addition to having 69 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 32 holds so far this season (7th in MLB). The Mets relievers have a save rate of 57.9% and has entered the game in 51 save situations. They have compiled 11 saves this year and have blown 8 out of their 19 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 59 runners so far this year and 28.8% of those runners crossed home plate. The Mets have sent 154 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The New York Mets have a tally of 1,219 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 381 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .982 which ranks 25th in the majors, and have 38 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,657 innings on the field, which has them sitting 19th in pro baseball.

Megill (17-17 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.65 and he has faced 1,164 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 278 hits (9.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 101 walks. His ERA is 4.68 (139 ER’s allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.418. Megill has taken the ball for 267 innings and is sitting with 259 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Cleveland Guardians hold a team OBP of .314 in addition to a batting average of .240 this year. They have struck out on 343 occasions (27th in the league) and have totaled 369 base hits. Cleveland has knocked in 49 home runs for the year as well as 205 runs batted in. The Guardians hold a team slugging percentage of .393 and they have an average of 4.85 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have hit 72 doubles, while taking a walk 137 times and scoring 223 runs.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.203 in addition to having a FIP of 3.67 as a staff this season. They are sitting at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 353. The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 167 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.35 (154 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.00 (412 strikeouts vs 145 free passes). They have yielded 42 home runs and they give up 3.63 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league).

With 55 save situations, the Guardians have accumulated 32 holds and 7 blown saves. Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 22 save opportunities and they have come away with 15 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 67 times in high leverage situations in addition to 47 occasions with runners on base. Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 23.6% out of their 55 inherited base runners. They rank 11th in MLB with a save rate of 68.2%, and they have sent 171 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 41 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (20th in MLB). The Guardians have racked up 398 assists, 28 errors and are sitting with 1,242 putouts so far this year. In their 3,726 innings played, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (18th in professional baseball).

Lively (10-19 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.78 ERA and has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.50 and he has faced 1,040 hitters so far in his career. He has conceded 128 ER’s while holding a WHIP of 1.390 and a FIP of 5.1. In his career, Lively has conceded 259 base knocks while accumulating 190 punch outs in 241 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Pick: Take New York (+108)

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