Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 5/6/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, May 6, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+110) Cleveland (-130)

The Cleveland Guardians (22-12) will take on the Detroit Tigers (18-15) at Progressive Field on Monday. The moneyline on this game has the Tigers at +110 and the Guardians are coming in at -130. The over/under is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jack Flaherty and Triston McKenzie.

The Tigers have tallied 43 two-baggers as a team and have hit 29 baseballs out of the stadium. Detroit has a slugging % of .360 and have been rung up 298 times, while drawing a walk on 107 occasions. As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, which ranks them 19th in baseball. They have accumulated 123 runs batted in in addition to 249 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is at .226. They are sitting with 131 runs scored while having a team OBP of .301.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.19 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.11. Tigers pitchers have relinquished 31 long balls in addition to 124 total runs (8th in the league). Detroit has yielded 240 base hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and 105 earned runs. The Tigers have an earned run average of 3.17 for the season (4th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 290 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 91 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.64 as a team for the year.

The Tigers relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 57.9% and has come into the game in 35 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 44 base runners on the year with 25.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. Tigers bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 34 times in addition to having 47 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have dispatched 99 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have accumulated 16 holds on the year (22nd in the league). They have compiled 11 saves on the season and have blown 8 of 19 save opportunities.

The Tigers have transformed 72.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,685 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 4th in the majors. The Detroit Tigers have earned a total of 895 putouts for the season, as well as 274 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .982 which ranks 23rd in professional baseball, and they have turned 25 double plays.

Flaherty (42-35 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.95 and he has gone up against 2,937 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 586 base hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) with 259 walks. His earned run average is 3.76 (294 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.201. Flaherty has taken the mound for 703 frames and has earned 798 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Cleveland Guardians have tallied an OBP of .319 as well as a team batting average of .244 so far this year. They have been rung up on 251 occasions (28th in baseball) and have recorded 273 base hits. Cleveland has tallied 33 home runs this season as well as 149 RBIs. The Guardians have a team SLG% of .392 and they earn 4.97 runs per game (6th in the league). They have put up 55 two-baggers, while walking 102 times and putting up 164 runs.

The Guardians have a WHIP of 1.217 in addition to having a FIP of 3.60 as a team on the season. They are sitting at 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 258. The Cleveland pitching staff have yielded 124 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.48 (116 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (314 strikeouts against 107 walks). They have relinquished 30 homers and they give up 3.72 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball).

Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 21.4% of 42 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 53 times in high leverage situations in addition to 38 occasions with runners on. With 43 save situations, the Guardians have earned 25 holds and also 6 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in the league with a save percentage of 64.7%, and they have sent 131 relievers onto the field on the season. Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 17 save chances and they have come away with 11 saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 26 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in pro baseball). The Guardians have recorded 281 assists, 17 errors and have a total of 900 putouts during this campaign. In 2,700 innings on the diamond, the Guardians have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in MLB).

During his career, McKenzie has allowed 280 hits while totaling 408 punch outs in 389 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 164 ER’s while holding a WHIP of 1.083 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.87 and he has faced 1,564 hitters during his pro baseball career. McKenzie (20-26 record in his career) has a 3.79 ERA while giving up 6.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Take Cleveland (-130)

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