Game: Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Thursday, April 25, 2024

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+124) Cleveland (-146)

Progressive Field is the location where the Cleveland Guardians (17-6) will attempt to defeat the Boston Red Sox (13-11) on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at +124 while the Guardians are priced at -146. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Brayan Bello and Triston McKenzie.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are knocking in 4.3 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have tallied 104 runs scored while having a team OBP of .305. The Red Sox have tallied 36 doubles as a unit and have smacked 30 balls out of the park. They have tallied 98 runs batted in in addition to 184 hits this year, and their team batting average comes in at .227. Boston has a slugging % of .392 and have struck out 241 times, while taking a walk on 83 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.38 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.14. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 19 home runs and also 89 runs (7th in MLB). Boston has given up 183 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and also 63 earned runs. The Red Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 2.60 so far this season (1st in MLB), and their staff has rung up 220 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 65 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.30 as a team on the year.

The Red Sox have sent 75 relievers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 24 base runners for the season with 37.5% of those players ended up scoring. They have accumulated 8 saves on the campaign and have blown 6 out of their 14 save opportunities. The Red Sox bullpen have a save percentage of 57.1% and has come into the game in 30 save situations. The relievers have 16 holds for the year (5th in MLB). Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 20 times and also have had 37 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have turned 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,965 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 16th in pro baseball. The Boston Red Sox have accounted for 655 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 214 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .976 which has them ranked 30th in MLB, and they have turned 14 double plays.

Bello (17-20 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.10 while he has gone up against 1,046 batters in the majors. He has allowed 261 base knocks (9.7 hits per nine innings) and has 79 walks. His ERA is 4.22 (113 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.411. Bello has thrown 241 innings and has 213 K’s during his MLB career.

The Cleveland Guardians have an on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .257 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 175 occasions (26th in the league) and have earned 203 base hits. Cleveland has a total of 23 home runs over the course of the season and 116 RBIs. The Guardians hold a team SLG% of .411 and they tally 5.57 runs per outing (4th in the league). They have notched 45 doubles, while getting a free base 65 times and putting up 128 runs.

The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.197 and have a FIP of 3.58 as a pitching staff this season. They are sitting at 1st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 164. The Cleveland pitching staff have yielded 73 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 2.94 (68 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 9.60 (221 strikeouts vs 85 free passes). They have allowed 19 long balls and they surrender 3.16 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league).

Sitting with 31 save situations, the Guardians have earned 20 holds and 3 blown saves. Cleveland has had relievers step onto the hill in 11 save chances and they have tallied 8 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 33 times in high leverage situations and on 22 occasions with runners on base. Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score rate of 20.7% out of their 29 inherited base runners. They rank 8th in baseball with a save rate of 72.7%, and they have sent 92 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

In 1,872 innings on the field, the Guardians have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (7th in pro baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have turned 17 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in professional baseball). The Guardians have accrued 195 assists, 12 errors and have accumulated 624 putouts this season.

McKenzie (20-26 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.80 ERA while surrendering 6.4 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and he has gone up against 1,519 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up 160 ER’s while holding a WHIP of 1.077 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. In his pro baseball career, McKenzie has allowed 269 base hits while he has accumulated 395 punch outs in 378 innings.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Take Cleveland (-146)

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