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The lack of portfolio investment finance in green companies in emerging markets

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Emerging markets (EMs) will need significant green finance in the coming years to facilitate a smooth transition towards becoming low-emission economies, a goal that is in the interest of the whole world (Bolton et al. 2022). However, they are still far from this target. A recent report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that to stay on track to achieve net zero by 2050, the investment needs of emerging and developing economies solely in the renewable energy sector could reach  $1 trillion a year by 2030 (IEA 2021). 

EMs, especially those with limited and shrinking fiscal capacity and small domestic investor bases, will have to rely heavily on foreign private investment to achieve their net zero carbon emission goals. According to estimates by the Independent High-Level Expert Group on Climate Finance, around 55% of the climate financing needed can be covered by private investment, 25% by Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs), and 20% by other actors using innovative instruments for low-cost financing (Songwe et al. 2022).

In the context of small domestic investor bases, cross-border capital flows will be particularly important for EMs.  These could include foreign direct investment (FDI) or bank lending, as well as portfolio equity and debt flows by global investors. But while FDI is growing (Knutsson and Flores 2022), it will not be sufficient on its own. Other sources of financing, and notably portfolio investment flows, will still be needed to meet EMs’ increasing financing needs (Couto 2023).

On the basis of a dataset of the largest 37,000 mutual funds at a global level, our recent OECD report delivered to the Indian G20 Presidency (OECD 2023a) provides evidence that despite the ongoing sustainable investing boom, investment funds are directing only a tiny share of their investments into green companies in EMs.

Large disconnect between the high numbers of sustainable-labelled funds and actual ‘green’ allocations in funds’ portfolios

‘Sustainable’ investing has grown rapidly in recent years, as assets under management (AUM) of sustainable funds tripled from 2010 to 2020, rising sharply to reach almost $3.2 trillion by the end of 2021 or around 6% of global AUM. This growing pool of assets could in theory be leveraged for investing in green sectors.

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However, labels like ‘sustainable’ and ‘ESG’ (Pástor et al 2023, OECD 2022), or metrics focusing on climate impact or carbon emissions, may not necessarily contribute to environmental sustainability, nor come close to having an actual climate impact. Instead, in our report, we used novel definitions of ‘green companies’ as companies involved in carbon solutions (renewable energy, transport, buildings, and energy efficiency) and ‘green funds’ as funds with more than 25% of their portfolio in such companies, to better capture genuine climate impact. We found 1,600 such funds in our sample, with only $1.4 trillion of AUM and covering a limited geographic distribution.

‘Green’ investment funds are primarily domiciled and invested in the US

The distribution of investment by ‘green’ funds, as defined above, is heavily skewed towards the US, which represents almost 70% of green investment destinations in our sample.  The People’s Republic of China is by far the next largest investment destination and represents the lion’s share of green investments in EMs. Brazil comes a distant second, but still much larger than the next EMs on the list – Chinese Taipei, South Africa, Mexico, India, Thailand and Poland. Overall, EMs represent only 13.6% of total green investment by ‘green’ funds in our sample, and less than 1% excluding China (Figure 1).

Figure 1 Market value of specialised green funds’ positions in green companies, 2023Q1 (billion US dollars)

Note: Sample of 14,000 “green” securities held by 1600 “green” funds. Green companies are defined as companies with revenues in key sectors involved in climate transition, including renewable energy, transport, buildings, and energy efficiency. Source: Morningstar, OECD calculations.

There is important heterogeneity in the origins of green investments: in Argentina, Chile, India, Malaysia, Philippines, Poland and Romania, investments tracked are entirely from foreign green funds; in China, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa and, to a lower extent, Thailand, the majority of green investments come from domestic green funds with domestic allocation mandates (Figure 2).

Figure 2 Origin of green funds investing in EM green assets (%)

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Source: Morningstar, OECD calculations
Note: Sample of 1,600 ‘green’ funds, defined as funds with more than 25% of the eligible portfolio involved in carbon solutions.

Global EM equity funds also invest little in green companies

While the previous section analysed the EM allocation of investment funds specialised in green companies, an analysis of the green allocation of investment funds specialised in EMs, specifically global EM equity funds, also highlights that green companies represent only a small share of invested stocks (Figure 3). This share amounts to an average of 9.6% of a fund’s portfolio, with China remaining the main investment destination.

Figure 3 Market value of global EM equity funds’ positions in green companies in EMs, 2023Q1 (billion US dollars)

Note: Sample of 714 global EM equity funds. LHS represents absolute value of green investments in each destination. RHS represents share of green investments (% total investments by global EM funds in this market).
Source: Morningstar, OECD calculations.

Overall, the green investments that EMs do receive appear to primarily go to countries with deeper financial markets and large domestic investor bases, and those with key market players in renewable energy value chains. For example, China attracts remarkable investments in sub-sectors such as solar photovoltaic panels and electrical vehicle batteries, where it has a dominant role in the global manufacturing value chain (OECD 2023b). In Brazil, they appear to be mainly energy utility companies in generation and distribution.

Hurdles to the allocation of green investment in EMs

Multiple factors act as barriers to the allocation of green investment in Ems. These range from potentially inappropriate interpretation regarding climate impact of investments based on current ESG ratings and labels, to more structural issues related to EM risk/return profiles and the current functioning of global capital markets, as well as inadequate supply of ‘ESG-rated green investable assets in EMs.

In particular, the current structure of global capital markets works against a greater allocation of fund investments in EM companies, let alone green ones. Institutional investors and indices are biased towards large listed companies, which leaves smaller and growth firms in EMs off the radar of institutional investors. Index and rating driven investment – which represent an increasing share of global AUM – favours larger companies, higher credit ratings and higher free float levels (De La Cruz et al. 2019). EM companies are seldom included in indices and EM corporate bonds have lower credit ratings.

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Conclusions: What’s next?

Firstly, more detailed analysis would be needed to understand why certain EMs and sectors receive more green investments than others, with a focus on comparing EMs and AEs to draw valuable lessons. 

Besides, much more work would be needed to assess the implications for capital flow volatility and reallocation resulting from climate transition risks, and notably divestment from ‘brown’ sectors (Mojon et al. 2021, Loyson et al. 2023).

Further research should also explore how capital markets can efficiently allocate financing to innovative growth companies and EMs, considering existing market constraints.

Finally, ESG ratings should be given more careful interpretation with a need to enhance the quality of data, disclosure, and transparency related to rating methodologies, and alternative rating systems focused on climate impact should be developed.

In terms of policies, our report highlights that lifting one or some of the bottlenecks to green investment in EMs is unlikely to lead to significantly stronger flows. What is needed is a comprehensive approach to the issue, taking into account countries’ differences in capital market structures.

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References

Bolton, P, A Kleinnijenhuis, T Adrian (2022), “COP27: Climate finance for developing countries is not just equitable, it is self-interest”, VoxEU.org, 11 November.

Couto, L.(2023), “The role of central banks, financial regulators and sectoral coalitions”, Chatham House.

De La Cruz, A, A Medina and Y Tang (2019), “Owners of the World’s Listed Companies”, OECD Capital Market Series.

IEA – International Energy Agency (2021), Financing clean energy transitions in emerging and developing economies.

Knutsson, P and P Flores (2022), “Trends, Investor types, and drivers of renewable energy FDI”, OECD Working Papers on International Investment 2022/02.

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Loyson, P, R Luijendijk and S van Wijnbergen (2023), “Pricing climate transition risk in Europe’s equity market”, VoxEU.org, 30 August.

Mojon, B, C Monnet, E Jondeau (2021), “Brown assets might be the next subprime”, VoxEU.org, 16 April.

OECD (2023a), Towards Orderly Green Transition: Investment Requirements and Managing Risks to Capital Flows, OECD Report to the G20 Finance.

OECD (2023b), Strengthening clean energy supply chains for decarbonisation and economic security.

OECD (2022), “ESG ratings and climate transition: An assessment of the alignment of E pillar scores and metrics”, OECD Business and Finance Policy Papers 06.

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Pastor, L, R Stambaugh and L Taylor (2023), “Green tilts”, VoxEU.org, 13 August.

Songwe, V, N Stern and A Bhattacharya (2022), Finance for climate action: Scaling up investment for climate and development, Report of the Independent High-Level Expert Group on Climate Finance.

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Finance

Closed Your Chime Account? You May Be Owed $150

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Closed Your Chime Account? You May Be Owed $150

If you closed a Chime checking or savings account since Jan. 1, 2018, and didn’t get your account balance within 14 days, the fintech company may owe you money — up to $150.

Chime customers who closed accounts waited three months or longer to get their refund, according to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. The bureau issued an order that San Francisco-based Chime pay $3.25 million to the CFPB victim’s relief fund as a penalty and at least $1.3 million to affected customers — totaling over $4.5 million.

“Chime’s customers had to wait weeks or months for access to their own money and were forced to use alternative funds to cover their essential expenses,” CFPB Director Rohit Chopra said in a press release.

Here’s what the violation means for you and what one of our CNET Money experts wants you to know.

What did Chime do wrong?

According to the CFPB, Chime was supposed to automatically refund money from closed checking and savings accounts by check if the remaining balance was more than $1. However, in thousands of instances, Chime failed to refund customers within 14 days and sometimes as long as 90 days.

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A Chime spokesperson said that “the majority of the delayed refunds were caused by a configuration error with a third-party vendor during 2020 and 2021.”

Those delays could’ve created a critical financial hardship if someone needed the money in the account to pay for basic living expenses like groceries and housing, the CFPB noted. For some folks, the only alternative might’ve been to rely on payday loans or to carry a credit card balance, both of which can involve exorbitantly high interest rates. 

How much does Chime owe you?

If you had a balance less than or equal to $10 and you didn’t receive your refund within 14 days of closing the account, Chime will refund you $25. If you had a balance of more than $10, your refund will be calculated at a 30% annual rate for the time between your refund’s due date and the day you actually received your refund, or $150.

Chime has 10 days to set up a $1.3 million fund for issuing the refunds. You should expect to receive a letter in the mail from Chime if you qualify.

If you’ve moved since closing your Chime checking or savings account and believe you qualify for a payout, it’s best to update your mailing address by contacting Chime’s customer service at 844-244-6363. Within the next seven days, the company is required to publish a telephone number, email and postal addresses specifically to field questions regarding the refund.

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It’s worth noting that Chime isn’t a bank; instead, it partners with other banks to offer its products and services. However, its accounts are held by one of two partner banks covered by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. 

How to protect yourself from future banking woes

“To mediate risk like the one that has occurred with Chime, I would definitely advise people to consider having emergency savings at a separate bank from where they do their day-to-day banking,” said Bola Sokunbi, a Certified Financial Education Instructor and member of CNET Money’s Expert Review Board.

You may also consider having some money on a preloaded or prepaid card to have access to funds in case of a banking mishap or emergency, she added.

If you haven’t already started saving for the unforeseen, try to start now. Sokunbi recommends creating a line item in your budget to put money toward savings each time you get paid. “Ideally, you want to aim to save at least three to six months of your core or essential living expenses,” she said. That should include housing, transportation, core utilities and medication for you and your household.

Even saving a small amount can help bridge the gap if there’s a temporary issue with your current bank. To be on the safe side, consider keeping this money at a separate high-yield savings account that lets you earn interest and offers easy access to your money.

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Russian court seizes assets worth €700mn from UniCredit, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank

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Russian court seizes assets worth €700mn from UniCredit, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank

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A St Petersburg court has seized over €700mn-worth of assets belonging to three western banks — UniCredit, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank — according to court documents.

The seizure marks one of the biggest moves against western lenders since Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine prompted most international lenders to withdraw or wind down their businesses in Russia. It comes after the European Central Bank told Eurozone lenders with operations in the country to speed up their exit plans.

The moves follow a claim from Ruskhimalliance, a subsidiary of Gazprom, the Russian oil and gas giant that holds a monopoly on pipeline gas exports.

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The court seized €463mn-worth of assets belonging to Italy’s UniCredit, equivalent to about 4.5 per cent of its assets in the country, according to the latest financial statement from the bank’s main Russian subsidiary.

Frozen assets include shares in subsidiaries of UniCredit in Russia as well as stocks and funds it owned, according to the court decision that was dated May 16 and was published in the Russian registrar on Friday.

According to another decision on the same date, the court seized €238.6mn-worth of Deutsche Bank’s assets, including property and holdings in its accounts in Russia.

The court also ruled that the bank cannot sell its business in Russia; it would already require the approval of Vladimir Putin to do so. The court agreed with Rukhimallians that the measures were necessary because the bank was “taking measures aimed at alienating its property in Russia”.

On Friday, the court decided to seize Commerzbank assets, but the details of the decision have not yet been made public so the value of the seizure is not known. Ruskhimalliance asked the court to freeze up to €94.9mn-worth of the lender’s assets.

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The dispute with the western banks began in August 2023 when Ruskhimalliance went to an arbitration court in St Petersburg demanding they pay bank guarantees under a contract with the German engineering company Linde.

Ruskhimalliance is the operator of a gas processing plant and production facilities for liquefied natural gas in Ust-Luga near St Petersburg. In July 2021, it signed a contract with Linde for the design, supply of equipment and construction of the complex. A year later, Linde suspended work owing to EU sanctions.

Ruskhimalliance then turned to the guarantor banks, which refused to fulfil their obligations because “the payment to the Russian company could violate European sanctions”, the company said in the court filing.

The list of guarantors also includes Bayerische Landesbank and Landesbank Baden-Württemberg, against which Ruskhimalliance has also filed lawsuits in the St Petersburg court.

UniCredit said it had been made aware of the filing and “only assets commensurate with the case would be in scope of the interim measure”.

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Deutsche Bank said it was “fully protected by an indemnification from a client” and had taken a provision of about €260mn alongside a “corresponding reimbursement asset” in its accounts to cover the Russian lawsuit.

“We will need to see how this claim is implemented by the Russian courts and assess the immediate operational impact in Russia,” it added.

Bayerische Landesbank and Landesbank Baden-Württemberg both declined to comment. Commerzbank did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Italy’s foreign minister has called a meeting on Monday to discuss the seizures affecting UniCredit, two people with knowledge of the plans told the Financial Times.

UniCredit is one of the largest European lenders in Russia, employing more than 3,000 people through its subsidiary there. This month the Italian bank reported that its Russian business had made a net profit of €213mn in the first quarter, up from €99mn a year earlier.

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It has set aside more than €800mn in provisions and has significantly cut back its loan portfolio. Chief executive Andrea Orcel said this month that while the lender was “continuing to de-risk” its Russian operation, a full exit from the country would be complicated.

The FT reported on Friday that the European Central Bank had asked Eurozone lenders with operations in the country for detailed plans on their exit strategies as tensions between Moscow and the west grow.

Legal challenges over assets held by western banks have complicated their efforts to extricate themselves. Last month, a Russian court ordered the seizure of more than $400mn of funds from JPMorgan Chase following a legal challenge by Kremlin-run lender VTB. A court subsequently cancelled part of the planned seizure, Reuters reported.

Additional reporting by Martin Arnold in Frankfurt

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Treasury details response to illicit finance threats of money laundering, terrorism

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Treasury details response to illicit finance threats of money laundering, terrorism
  • US Treasury releases report on illicit finance.
  • Prosecution of Binance held up as example of success.
  • Investment needed to train enforcement professionals.

The US Department of the Treasury this week released its 2024 report on illicit finance, examining threats of money laundering and terrorist financing and its strategies to combat them.

The Treasury cited professional money launderers, financial fraudsters, cybercriminals and those seeking to finance terrorism as ongoing threats to the US financial system.

The 44-page report said anti-money laundering/countering the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) efforts must continue to adapt in order to be effective.

Among the vulnerabilities cited were obfuscation tools and methods such as mixers and anonymity-enhancing coins, AML/CFT compliance deficiencies at banks and complicit professionals who help facilitate illicit financial activity.

The Treasury cited the prosecution of Binance as an example of its success in supervising virtual asset activities.

Binance failed to prevent criminals, sanctioned entities, and other bad actors from laundering billions of dollars in dirty money, according to court papers. The company pleaded guilty and agreed to pay $4.3 billion in fines and restitution, DL News reported.

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Additionally, Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao was sentenced to four months in federal prison for violating US banking laws and fined $50 million.

The US must continue “to invest in technology and training for analysts, investigators, and regulators to develop further expertise related to new technologies, including analysis of public blockchain data,” the report said.

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Such expertise is crucial to the government’s ability to develop responses to new ways in which criminals misuse “virtual assets and other new technologies to profit from their illicit activity,” it said.

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