Finance
Access to Auto Credit Improved in March, as Increased Negative Equity and Growing Subprime Share Push Dealertrack Index Higher – Cox Automotive Inc.
In March 2026, the Dealertrack Credit Availability Index rose to 102.4, its best reading since June 2022. The All-Loans Index increased 1.3% from February’s 101.1 and is up over 6% from March 2025. Even as yield spreads widened, the month’s improvement was broad-based across all channels and lender types, driven primarily by a significant expansion in subprime lending, a recovery in approval rates, and strong gains from banks.
Key Metrics
- Approval Rates: The approval rate for auto loans rose to 70.8% in March, up 40 basis points (bps) from February, reversing a two-month declining trend. Approval rates remain down 180 bps from March 2025 (72.6%), even as most lenders continued to expand access broadly.
- Subprime Share: The share of loans to subprime borrowers increased by 200 bps month over month (from 17.5% to 19.5%) and is up 300 bps year over year. March’s reading of 19.5% is the highest level in the dataset since March 2020. This sustained expansion suggests lenders are increasingly comfortable extending credit to higher-risk borrowers.
- Yield Spread: The yield spread widened by 31 bps (from 7.53 to 7.84), while the average contract rate rose 50 bps (from 11.2% to 11.7%). The 5-year Treasury yield increased by 17 bps (from 3.68% to 3.85%). This widening spread represents less favorable pricing for consumers and may reflect lenders charging a premium to offset the increased risk from higher subprime lending and elevated negative equity.
- Loan Term Length: The share of loans with terms greater than 72 months decreased by 50 bps (from 29.3% to 28.8%), breaking a three-month streak of increases, and is up 510 bps year over year. February’s 29.3% remains the all-time high in the dataset; at 28.8%, March’s reading is the second highest on record and continues to reflect ongoing affordability pressures as consumers opt for longer terms to manage monthly payments.
- Negative Equity Share: The proportion of borrowers with negative equity increased by 120 bps month over month (from 58.0% to 59.2%) and is up 620 bps year over year, pushing the share to a new all-time high for the third consecutive month and signaling increased risk as more borrowers carry loan balances that exceed their vehicle’s value.
- Down Payment Percentage: The average down payment percentage increased by 30 bps (from 13.6% to 13.9%) but is down 80 bps year over year. This modest increase may reflect lenders requiring slightly more upfront capital or consumers voluntarily putting more down, though down payments remain below year-ago levels.
Channel and Lender Trends
- Channels: Credit access improved across all sales channels in March. The largest gains were in the Non-Captive New segment, followed by All New. Franchise Used, All Used, CPO, and Independent Used also saw improvement.
- Lender Types: Lender performance was broadly positive in March. Banks led the improvement with credit availability rising 5.2%, the largest monthly gain among lender types. Credit Unions reversed their prior month’s decline, up 2.9%. Captives continued to improve, rising 1.4%, while Finance Companies were essentially flat. Overall, lenders are showing continued willingness to extend credit, with banks driving the month-over-month improvement.
Year-Over-Year Comparison
Compared to March 2025, credit access was looser across all channels and lender types:
- Channels: The most notable year-over-year improvements were in Franchise Used, All New, and Non-Captive New, indicating stronger credit availability across both new and used vehicle segments. All Used and Independent Used also saw solid improvement, while CPO saw more modest gains.
- Lender Types: Captives and Banks led the year-over-year loosening, while Finance Companies also improved. Credit unions showed a more cautious yet still positive stance on credit access compared with a year ago.
Implications for Consumers and Lenders
- Consumers: Credit access continued to broaden in March, with improvement across all channels and lender types offering financing opportunities in both new and used markets. However, the underlying picture carries increasing caution. Record negative equity, a sharply rising subprime share, and widening yield spreads all point to elevated borrowing costs and greater long-term financial risk. Consumers should carefully consider the full terms of any financing offer, particularly total loan length and overall cost.
- Lenders: Banks led the market in March, posting the strongest monthly gain among lender types. Captives also continued to improve, with their index reaching its highest level since April 2022, while credit unions reversed their prior month’s decline. With negative equity reaching a new all-time high, lenders increasing exposure in this environment face growing collateral risk, and balancing volume growth with disciplined underwriting will be increasingly important as these risk indicators continue to build.
Overall, the March Dealertrack Credit Availability Index reflected continued improvement in auto credit access, with the headline index climbing to 102.4, its best level since June 2022. Individual metrics told a more complex story, however. Subprime lending reached its highest level since March 2020, approval rates recovered modestly, and banks posted the strongest monthly gain among lender types. Yet negative equity reaching another new high and widening yield spreads point to growing risk beneath the surface.
View historical Dealertrack Credit Availability Index reports.
The Dealertrack Credit Availability Index tracks six factors that affect auto credit access: loan approval rates, subprime share, yield spreads, loan term length, negative equity and down payments. Reported monthly, the index indicates whether access to auto credit is improving or declining. This typically means that it is cheaper and easier for consumers to obtain a loan or more expensive and harder. The index is published around the tenth of each month.
Finance
Butterfield Readies CIBC Caribbean Purchase
The Bermuda bank agrees to buy a 91.7% stake in CIBC Caribbean Bank for $1.8 billion, creating a regional giant.
This article appears in the July/August issue of Global Finance Magazine.
Butterfield Group has agreed to acquire a 91.7% stake in CIBC Caribbean Bank Limited for $1.8 billion — $1.09 billion in cash and the remainder in shares — in a deal that would create one of the region’s largest banking groups.
This is at least the third time in the past seven years that the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) has attempted to sell some of its Caribbean interests.
“This deal combines two storied, complementary banks with significant local scale advantages and time-honored customer relationships in their respective core jurisdictions,” said Michael Collins, Butterfield’s chairman and chief executive, in a statement.
The new banking group will hold an estimated $29 billion in assets. The Bermuda-based Butterfield Group—formerly The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited—also operates in The Bahamas, the Cayman Islands, the Channel Islands, Singapore, Switzerland, and the U.K. CIBC has a presence in 10 countries and is based in Barbados.
CIBC will hold about 22% of the enlarged Butterfield Group and will have the right to appoint two directors to the board.
The bank’s top brass says the deal underscores a shift in the Caribbean financial sector.
“This is really a change in Butterfield’s positioning because it now picks up both a retail and a business portfolio that spans the entire gamut of the region, and it probably could make it the biggest bank in the region,” former Butterfield CEO Mariano Browne told the Trinidad and Tobago Guardian.
Butterfield has promised to maintain CIBC’s Barbados office. Customers should expect no immediate changes. Existing branches will remain open, and clients can expect improved cross-border payments and expanded consumer, digital, and merchant banking.
The deal, pending regulatory approval, should close in the first half of 2027.
In 2018, CIBC attempted to list FirstCaribbean on U.S. stock markets to raise up to $240 million but withdrew the application less than a month later after failing to drum up sufficient investor interest. A 2019 deal to sell 66.7% of CIBC to GNB Financial Group for $797 million fell through after the deal failed to secure regulatory approval.
Nic Wirtz is a contributing writer based in Guatemala.
Finance
Gold Purchases Accelerate as Dollar Confidence Wanes
Central banks are scaling back on the dollar as institutional bullion buying climbs to record highs.
In the World Gold Council’s (WGC) latest annual survey of central banks, 83% of respondents expect to increase their gold holdings over the next year. That’s up from 76% in 2025. This surge in demand is due to the U.S. dollar’s waning preeminence in global reserves and the growing number of international crises.
Almost three-quarters of central banks predict a lower share of global reserves held in greenbacks over the next five years, and a record 45% say they plan to increase their institutional bullion reserves over the next 12 months, up from 43% last year.
Gold Overtakes Bonds as Ultimate Safe Haven
Gold recently overtook U.S. government bonds as the world’s top reserve asset, according to the June 16 report. The survey polled 76 central banks between February and May; most responses were received after the recent Mideast hostilities began. Greenbacks accounted for 42% of total reported reserves, including gold and foreign exchange, in the third quarter of last year, according to the International Monetary Fund.
A record 90% of those polled by the WGC say gold’s performance during volatile periods is a key reason for acquiring more of it. Similarly, 82% say they value gold for portfolio diversification, and 84% value it as a long-term store of value.
The metal’s role in hedging geopolitical risk is especially important among central bankers in developing and emerging markets, with 85% citing this factor.
Half of respondents seeking to procure more gold say they will finance such purchases through domestic purchase programs denominated in local currency, while 38% say they would buy more gold by selling existing reserve assets.
Global Shift in Gold Storage Strategy
Central banks also appear to be rethinking their gold storage strategy. The survey found that 9% of central banks increased domestic storage over the past year, while 10% say they diversified their overseas storage locations.
The Bank of England remains the most popular gold storage location, cited by 57% of respondents, while the Swiss National Bank saw a sharp drop in preference, from 12% to 6% in 2025.
In the past four years, central banks have, on average, acquired 1,000 tonnes of gold annually, double the 500-tonne average of the previous decade. Mainland China’s bullion stores totaled 74.96 million troy ounces in late May, up 320,000 from April, marking the 19th consecutive month of increase, according to the People’s Bank of China.
Ajay Shamdasani is a contributing writer based in Hong Kong.
Finance
SixCap Healthcare Finance Appoints Carroll as Senior Relationship Manager
SixCap Healthcare Finance added Dan Carroll as senior relationship manager, reporting to the company’s co-founder and chief investment officer, Dan Whitwer.
Carroll brings more than 20 years of commercial finance, portfolio management and healthcare asset-based lending experience to SixCap. Throughout his career, he has managed complex healthcare lending relationships, led portfolio management teams, overseen loan closings and partnered closely with borrowers to support growth while maintaining disciplined credit management.
Most recently, Carroll held leadership positions at Siena, CNH Finance and Triumph Healthcare Finance, building extensive expertise in healthcare lending, credit analysis, loan structuring, risk management and client relationship management.
In his new role, Carroll will oversee borrower relationships across SixCap’s growing healthcare portfolio, working closely with clients to provide proactive portfolio management, responsive service and financing solutions that evolve alongside their businesses.
“We’re thrilled to welcome Dan to the SixCap team,” Whitwer said. “I’ve had the privilege of working alongside Dan and have seen firsthand the integrity, experience and thoughtful approach he brings to every client relationship. He understands healthcare, he understands asset-based lending and, most importantly, he understands the value of building lasting partnerships. As our portfolio continues to grow, Dan’s leadership and commitment to exceptional client service make him a tremendous addition to our team.”
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