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Should You Buy Bitcoin While It's Under $85,000? | The Motley Fool

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Should You Buy Bitcoin While It's Under ,000? | The Motley Fool

Bitcoin’s price has fallen 25% from a recent all-time high. Is this a buying opportunity or the start of another crypto winter?

Bitcoin (BTC 7.46%) soared to an all-time high of $106,182 per coin in January. With the fourth Bitcoin halving firmly in the rearview mirror and a more crypto-friendly regime in the White House, the original cryptocurrency looked ready to skyrocket like it did in 2020 and 2017.

But it hasn’t worked out that way. Bitcoin is down to $79,200 as of this writing on April 8. That’s a hair-raising 25% price crash, well ahead of the S&P 500 (^GSPC 9.52%) stock market tracker’s 19% drop.

Is this the start of a three-year crypto winter like the one you saw after the 2017 peak, or is it a temporary pullback like in the spring of 2021? Nobody knows for sure, but here’s how I look at the Bitcoin situation today.

Bitcoin’s volatile roller coaster

Bitcoin has a long history of extreme volatility. The oldest cryptocurrency swung from $785 per coin at the start of 2017 to $19,345 in mid-December. About one year after that, it ended 2018 at $3,880 per coin. The S&P 500 gained a modest 12% over that period, which looks like a horizontal line by comparison:

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Bitcoin Price data by YCharts

The recent price swings are actually quite modest from a historical perspective. The cryptocurrency’s daily standard deviance is about 2.7% in 2025. This volatility measure was twice that size in 2017 and just astronomical in 2009 and 2010:

Chart showing Bitcoin's annualized volatility declining from over 200% in 2010 to around 50% in 2025, illustrating the cryptocurrency's gradual market maturation.

Data source: Coin Codex. Chart by the author.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results, but this volatility chart shows a couple of helpful trends.

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  • Bitcoin’s volatility tends to rise and fall in the same four-year cycle as the underlying halving process. Things calm down during each crypto winter, followed by a sharp spike in the year after each halving event. As a reminder, the fourth halving took place in April 2024. Bitcoin may be due for a much more volatile price chart in 2025.
  • The current year-to-date volatility is comparable to last year’s, which was one of the least fickle years in Bitcoin’s history. The price swings over the past week or so should boost the volatility rating, especially if the wilder changes continue.
  • This chart lumps price jumps together with price drops as a single value. But there is a certain mountain-like shape to Bitcoin’s cyclical tendencies, with game-changing jumps typically followed by a long, slow drop back to a somewhat higher plateau than the previous cycle’s.
  • The introduction of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) appears to have disrupted the standard pattern a bit, pre-loading Bitcoin’s chart with a short-lived price increase in the spring of 2024. The 2024 election results also gave most crypto names an unusual price boost. Other than these events in the run-up to 2025, the leading cryptocurrency still looks ready for the usual price gains in the second year of each halving turn.

Not just fancy chart art

You didn’t come here for the math, and I can’t blame you for distrusting Bitcoin’s charting patterns. Technical analysis is more performance art than financial science, and the chart-based musings above are kinda-sorta an example of that nonsense.

Then again, I’m also basing the discussion on more than the basic chart squiggles. There are reasons for Bitcoin’s four-year cyclicality, because the economic model of producing more coins keeps changing at that pace. Every turn of the wheel is unique, as the economic environment around the crypto sector keeps changing. Still, the halving events make a real difference — hard to predict with pinpoint accuracy, but still useful as a guiding rule of thumb.

My two Satoshis (digital micro-cents): Why Bitcoin’s future still looks bright

And after all of that, I’m convinced that Bitcoin will recover from the recent price cuts. It could take a few months, and there may be more pain to come, but I’ll be shocked if the tide doesn’t turn in the second half of 2025.

This digital currency was designed as a secure long-term storage facility for monetary value, also known as wealth. Strategy (MSTR 23.44%) chairman and co-founder Michael Saylor will talk your ear off on that topic while turning every possible stone to buy more Bitcoin for the company. One of my college-age kids just started her investment journey with an early Roth IRA account, and about 2% of that portfolio holds a popular Bitcoin ETF.

I’m no Saylor-style Bitcoin maximalist, but a small amount of exposure to the original crypto name seems appropriate for most investors. Getting in below $85,000 per coin is a serious discount from just three months ago, making the cryptocurrency about 25% more interesting.

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‘De-Worsified, Not Diversified’: Robert Kiyosaki Warns Investors on a Hidden Risk

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‘De-Worsified, Not Diversified’: Robert Kiyosaki Warns Investors on a Hidden Risk

Key Takeaways

Word Play With a Warning

Robert Kiyosaki, the author of the best-selling personal finance book “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” is recasting a familiar piece of investing advice. In a post on X, he argued that many investors only believe they are protected, adding:

“De-Worse-ified means they think they are diversified, but they have all their diversified assets, such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, stocks, bonds, real estate, and oil, in one asset class.”

His point is that spreading money across many holdings does not help if those holdings all move the same way in a crisis. When a liquidity shock hits, correlations rise and supposedly diverse portfolios can fall in unison, leaving investors “de-worsified” rather than diversified.

Image source: X

The commentary is consistent with the stance Kiyosaki has pushed throughout 2026 as he recently named bitcoin among the safest investments for the year, grouping it with what he calls real assets. He has repeatedly listed gold, silver, oil, food, bitcoin, and ether as his preferred holdings, framing them as scarce stores of value that printed money cannot dilute.

He has paired that view with stark price calls, setting a target of $250,000 for BTC by year’s end alongside a longer-term goal of $1 million. At current levels, the move would require a gain of more than 230%. On the precious metals side of things, he recently suggested a possible $200-per-ounce silver level this year, calling the metal’s climb a signal of mounting financial stress.

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Kiyosaki’s broader thesis is darker still, warning investors of a historic market crash that he ties to surging global debt and fragile private credit markets, urging followers to build income streams, learn trade skills, and accumulate hard assets before the storm.

Timing Is Everything

The “de-worsified” warning arrives at a tense moment for markets, especially as bitcoin posted its worst week since the 2022 collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX exchange, sliding below $60,000 as record exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows and risk-off sentiment gripped the sector.

That is exactly the kind of broad drawdown scenario (where bitcoin, equities, and other assets fall together) that Kiyosaki has used time and again to illustrate his point.

That said, he has become an increasingly polarizing voice within the broader economic landscape, with skeptics pointing out that his crash predictions are frequent and his price targets aggressive (and that he has issued similar warnings for years). Supporters argue his core message of owning scarce assets, avoiding hidden correlation, and preparing for volatility is a reasonable hedge against an era of heavy money printing and rising debt.

Whether or not his $250,000 bitcoin call lands, the distinction he is drawing is a real one, as true diversification really does depend on owning assets that behave differently (not simply owning many of them). In a market where everything from gold to crypto to stocks can move on the same macro headlines, that lesson may matter more than any single forecast.

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After hundreds of millions lost to fraud, NC lawmakers push for crypto ATM protections

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After hundreds of millions lost to fraud, NC lawmakers push for crypto ATM protections

North Carolina lawmakers on Tuesday advanced a bill to protect consumers from cryptocurrency kiosk fraud.

House Bill 920, which passed the House with a 115-to-0 vote, aims to regulate an industry that its author claims is unregulated in the state.

“It’s the wild, wild West,” Rep. Neal Jackson, R-Moore, said during a committee discussion on Tuesday. “There is no regulation whatsoever in North Carolina. That’s what we’re trying to do here.”

Lawmakers cited a growing amount of fraud as the reason for the bill. About $389 million in losses were reported last year through cryptocurrency ATMs, a 58% increase from 2024, according to the FBI. The majority of those impacted are 60-plus.

The bill now goes to the Senate for consideration. It seeks to:

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  • Require licenses for all kiosk operators under the Money Transmissions Act.
  • Place operators under the supervision of the Commissioner of Banks.
  • Require fraud warnings and transaction receipts for every transaction.
  • Require compliance and consumer protection officers that are always available.

It also seeks to place limitations on transactions in an effort to reduce fraud, requiring a $2,000 daily limit for the first 30 days for new customers and a $5,000 daily limit for existing customers, who would qualify after 30 days.

While other states have service fees between 20% and 30%, Jackson suggests putting a cap at 14%.

State Rep. Tim Longest, D-Wake, expressed concern about having the kiosks at all in the state. He said the bill’s protections could be stronger. 

“These machines can be the subject of fraud, basically facilitating fraud on seniors and other vulnerable individuals and in those cases,” Longest said. “… In crafting regulations, I think it’s important that we ensure consumers are adequately protected by those regulations and I do not believe that, under the language of the bill currently before you, those regulations are sufficient to protect consumers.”

Jackson pointed to this bill as an effort to regulate, not shut down, cryptocurrency kiosks in the state and said there are even more consumer protections in place.

David N. Tente, the executive director of the ATM Industry Association, said the bill — and others like it — is problematic because it requires operators to provide refunds to fraud victims in certain instances.  

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“In most cases, the cash in the ATM/kiosk does not belong to the operator, which means that returning any of it would be, technically, theft,” Tente said. “If you give someone cash for something, and you change your mind after they leave, you probably won’t get it back.”

He added: “We certainly feel sorry for those being scammed, but there are very simple things you can do to avoid it.”  

Tente said these kinds of scams have existed for centuries, adding: “They are still here — just using different means of payment.”

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Zcash Climbs 80% Since June 5 as Traders Shrug off Orchard Bug Fears

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Zcash Climbs 80% Since June 5 as Traders Shrug off Orchard Bug Fears

Key Takeaways

The Orchard Vulnerability

Privacy coin Zcash (ZEC) surged on Tuesday, jumping 11.3% to $478 as it maintained a steady recovery that began shortly after it plunged to just under $265. At the time of writing (5:32 a.m. EST), the privacy coin’s latest climb pushed its gains since June 5 to approximately 80% and saw ZEC’s market capitalization reclaim the $8 billion threshold.

The coin, alongside rival monero, was one of a handful of altcoins that logged gains exceeding 5% even as bitcoin dipped below the $63,000 threshold. ZEC’s surge above $470 on June 9 resulted in $11.5 million in short positions on the coin being wiped out in 24 hours, compared with $2.43 million in liquidated long bets.

While Zcash has since wrestled back its top-dog status from chief rival Monero, the asset is still trading at a steep discount compared to its pre-June 5 peak of just over $600. Before the correction, ZEC was riding a powerful wave of momentum, fueled by a resurgence in the crypto-privacy narrative and high-profile endorsements from industry heavyweights like Arthur Hayes. However, that bullish trajectory ground to a sudden halt. The catalyst for the reversal was the unsettling discovery of a critical vulnerability within Zcash’s Orchard shielded pool—a zero-knowledge security flaw that had quietly lay dormant since 2022.

Despite this, supporters of the privacy coin believe the uncovering of the bug has not damaged ZEC’s long-term appeal. Posting on X, Eunice Wong insisted there is an extremely low likelihood an exploit was executed and said traders who offloaded their holdings had overreacted.

“Long-term thesis hasn’t changed. In an AI-driven world where every transaction is tracked, financial privacy will become the scarcest asset, and ZEC is still one of the strongest privacy plays in crypto. Catching this falling knife is going to look like a genius move,” Wong wrote.

Matthew Brienen, managing partner at Cryptocharged, said while he recently reduced his ZEC holdings, it was purely a risk-management decision rather than a change in conviction. Nevertheless, he offered an explanation for why caution is warranted even if there is no proof that ZEC was counterfeited.

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“The Orchard bug isn’t a confirmed inflation event. It’s a confirmed inability to prove supply integrity. Those are not the same thing. The most important fundamental fact to remember is that turnstile accounting is not the same as proving Orchard balances are legitimate. You can track what entered. You can track what exited. That doesn’t prove every claim inside the pool was valid,” Brienen explained.

He added, however, that if counterfeit Orchard notes do exist, they could remain hidden until redemption is ultimately forced. According to Brienen, the recent price action suggests that is exactly what the market is trying to price in.

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