Crypto
Prediction: When the Federal Reserve Starts Cutting Rates, This Cryptocurrency Will Be a Massive Winner | The Motley Fool
With interest rate cuts on the horizon, Bitcoin’s prospects become all the more alluring.
After the steepest interest rate hikes in history, the Federal Reserve recently signaled it might soon adjust policy. Markets expect a 25 basis point cut at the upcoming September meeting, with more cuts likely to follow into 2025.
Several assets are likely poised to benefit from these adjustments, but one in particular is positioned best in this evolving landscape. Here’s why Bitcoin (BTC 0.38%) is the one asset investors should keep an eye on as the Fed turns from hawkish to dovish.
Image source: Getty Images.
The current landscape
Although people celebrated Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s announcement that rate cuts will be coming, there’s reason to be less optimistic. Based on recent data and developments, the decision to cut rates seems to have been driven by concerns like the recent yen carry trade and the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ revision, which revealed a significant overcounting of 818,000 jobs. These developments stoked fears of fragility in the global economy and a weakening labor market, ultimately prompting the Fed to consider easing its stance.
However, the inflation rate is still 2.9%, well above the Federal Reserve’s long-stated 2% target, and one Powell had previously declared non-negotiable. Additionally, the U.S. economy remains relatively robust. Since the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. has only seen two quarters of negative real gross domestic product (GDP) growth, a key metric for measuring economic productivity. Furthermore, the latest third-quarter 2024 real GDP estimate is a solid 2%. This suggests the economy isn’t struggling under overly restrictive monetary policy.
It isn’t hard to see how rate cuts could cause inflation to tick up again in this scenario. Lowering interest rates encourages borrowing and spending, which boosts demand for goods and services. This increased demand in an economy that appears healthy exerts additional upward pressure on prices and further complicates the Federal Reserve’s efforts to maintain price stability.
Bitcoin: The premier asset
While increased liquidity and lower interest rates often lead to greater growth in equities as investors are incentivized to take on more risk, in this environment, I’d prefer a different asset: Bitcoin.
Considered the premier risk-on asset, Bitcoin has proven it thrives when there’s more liquidity in the market. From when the Fed slashed rates to near zero in February 2020 to February 2022, when rate hikes resumed, Bitcoin saw a staggering 375% jump. Its performance in that low-rate environment underscores its potential as rates begin to fall again.
But the primary reason Bitcoin is so attractive today isn’t just about benefiting from increased liquidity; it’s about safeguarding against inflation. In an economy that doesn’t appear to be struggling, the likelihood of inflation returning is significant. After the U.S. dollar lost 20% of its value over the last five years, I have no interest in returning to that scenario.
Fortunately, Bitcoin offers a solution. With a fixed supply of 21 million coins, of which 19.6 million are already in circulation, Bitcoin offers a unique hedge against central bank malpractice and government intervention. Its decentralized nature means it isn’t controlled by any single entity, and its underlying blockchain technology ensures security and transparency. These characteristics make Bitcoin not just a speculative asset, but a robust store of value in an uncertain economic landscape.
Final considerations
The Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have been a long time coming and will certainly boost the economy. But that doesn’t necessarily mean there won’t be potential consequences or other issues that arise.
If economic growth can somehow be managed with minimal inflation, then kudos to Powell. But with no guarantees, I’d rather put my trust in the most decentralized, secure, and finite asset in existence.
For investors looking to navigate these choppy waters, Bitcoin represents not just a speculative play, but a strategic allocation in a world where traditional assets are increasingly subject to the whims of central banks.
RJ Fulton has positions in Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Crypto
Delaware House Approves Bill to Ban Cryptocurrency ATMs Statewide
The Delaware House of Representatives has passed a bill that would prohibit the operation of cryptocurrency ATMs across the state, citing growing concerns over fraud and consumer protection. The legislation, now headed to the state Senate for consideration, would require all existing crypto ATMs to be shut down and removed within 90 days of enactment.
What the Bill Proposes
House Bill 123, as reported by Decrypt, targets the proliferation of cryptocurrency kiosks that have become common in convenience stores, gas stations, and other retail locations. Lawmakers argue that these machines are increasingly used to facilitate scams, particularly targeting elderly and vulnerable residents who may not fully understand the technology. The bill would make it illegal to operate, maintain, or permit the installation of a cryptocurrency ATM anywhere in Delaware.
Why This Matters for Consumers
Cryptocurrency ATMs allow users to buy or sell digital currencies like Bitcoin using cash or debit cards. While legitimate users appreciate the convenience, regulators have flagged them as high-risk for money laundering and fraud. The Federal Trade Commission has reported a surge in scams where victims are directed to deposit cash into these machines under false pretenses. Delaware’s proposed ban reflects a broader state-level push to rein in unregulated crypto financial services.
Similar Actions in Other States
Delaware is not alone in taking a hard line. Indiana, Tennessee, and Minnesota have previously enacted comparable restrictions or outright bans on crypto ATMs. These measures often include licensing requirements, transaction limits, and mandatory disclosures. The trend signals a growing skepticism among state legislators about the consumer safety risks posed by unmonitored crypto kiosks.
What Happens Next
The bill now moves to the Delaware State Senate, where it will undergo committee review and potential amendments. If passed, Delaware would join a small but growing list of states with explicit bans. Industry advocates argue that such laws could stifle innovation and push transactions underground, while consumer protection groups praise the move as necessary to prevent financial harm.
Conclusion
Delaware’s legislative action highlights the ongoing tension between cryptocurrency adoption and consumer safety. As the bill advances, stakeholders on both sides will be watching closely. For now, the message from Dover is clear: protecting residents from crypto-related fraud is a priority that may outweigh the benefits of unregulated ATM access.
FAQs
Q1: What is a cryptocurrency ATM?
A cryptocurrency ATM is a kiosk that allows users to buy or sell digital currencies like Bitcoin using cash, debit cards, or other payment methods. Unlike traditional ATMs, they are not connected to a bank account.
Q2: Why does Delaware want to ban crypto ATMs?
Lawmakers cite a rise in fraud cases, especially among seniors, where scammers trick victims into depositing cash into these machines. The bill aims to eliminate this vector for financial exploitation.
Q3: What happens to existing crypto ATMs in Delaware if the bill becomes law?
Operators would have 90 days to shut down and remove all machines. Failure to comply could result in penalties. The timeline is designed to give businesses a reasonable window to adjust.
Crypto
‘De-Worsified, Not Diversified’: Robert Kiyosaki Warns Investors on a Hidden Risk
Key Takeaways
Word Play With a Warning
Robert Kiyosaki, the author of the best-selling personal finance book “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” is recasting a familiar piece of investing advice. In a post on X, he argued that many investors only believe they are protected, adding:
“De-Worse-ified means they think they are diversified, but they have all their diversified assets, such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, stocks, bonds, real estate, and oil, in one asset class.”
His point is that spreading money across many holdings does not help if those holdings all move the same way in a crisis. When a liquidity shock hits, correlations rise and supposedly diverse portfolios can fall in unison, leaving investors “de-worsified” rather than diversified.
The commentary is consistent with the stance Kiyosaki has pushed throughout 2026 as he recently named bitcoin among the safest investments for the year, grouping it with what he calls real assets. He has repeatedly listed gold, silver, oil, food, bitcoin, and ether as his preferred holdings, framing them as scarce stores of value that printed money cannot dilute.
He has paired that view with stark price calls, setting a target of $250,000 for BTC by year’s end alongside a longer-term goal of $1 million. At current levels, the move would require a gain of more than 230%. On the precious metals side of things, he recently suggested a possible $200-per-ounce silver level this year, calling the metal’s climb a signal of mounting financial stress.
Kiyosaki’s broader thesis is darker still, warning investors of a historic market crash that he ties to surging global debt and fragile private credit markets, urging followers to build income streams, learn trade skills, and accumulate hard assets before the storm.
Timing Is Everything
The “de-worsified” warning arrives at a tense moment for markets, especially as bitcoin posted its worst week since the 2022 collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX exchange, sliding below $60,000 as record exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows and risk-off sentiment gripped the sector.
That is exactly the kind of broad drawdown scenario (where bitcoin, equities, and other assets fall together) that Kiyosaki has used time and again to illustrate his point.
That said, he has become an increasingly polarizing voice within the broader economic landscape, with skeptics pointing out that his crash predictions are frequent and his price targets aggressive (and that he has issued similar warnings for years). Supporters argue his core message of owning scarce assets, avoiding hidden correlation, and preparing for volatility is a reasonable hedge against an era of heavy money printing and rising debt.
Whether or not his $250,000 bitcoin call lands, the distinction he is drawing is a real one, as true diversification really does depend on owning assets that behave differently (not simply owning many of them). In a market where everything from gold to crypto to stocks can move on the same macro headlines, that lesson may matter more than any single forecast.
Crypto
After hundreds of millions lost to fraud, NC lawmakers push for crypto ATM protections
North Carolina lawmakers on Tuesday advanced a bill to protect consumers from cryptocurrency kiosk fraud.
House Bill 920, which passed the House with a 115-to-0 vote, aims to regulate an industry that its author claims is unregulated in the state.
“It’s the wild, wild West,” Rep. Neal Jackson, R-Moore, said during a committee discussion on Tuesday. “There is no regulation whatsoever in North Carolina. That’s what we’re trying to do here.”
Lawmakers cited a growing amount of fraud as the reason for the bill. About $389 million in losses were reported last year through cryptocurrency ATMs, a 58% increase from 2024, according to the FBI. The majority of those impacted are 60-plus.
The bill now goes to the Senate for consideration. It seeks to:
- Require licenses for all kiosk operators under the Money Transmissions Act.
- Place operators under the supervision of the Commissioner of Banks.
- Require fraud warnings and transaction receipts for every transaction.
- Require compliance and consumer protection officers that are always available.
It also seeks to place limitations on transactions in an effort to reduce fraud, requiring a $2,000 daily limit for the first 30 days for new customers and a $5,000 daily limit for existing customers, who would qualify after 30 days.
While other states have service fees between 20% and 30%, Jackson suggests putting a cap at 14%.
State Rep. Tim Longest, D-Wake, expressed concern about having the kiosks at all in the state. He said the bill’s protections could be stronger.
“These machines can be the subject of fraud, basically facilitating fraud on seniors and other vulnerable individuals and in those cases,” Longest said. “… In crafting regulations, I think it’s important that we ensure consumers are adequately protected by those regulations and I do not believe that, under the language of the bill currently before you, those regulations are sufficient to protect consumers.”
Jackson pointed to this bill as an effort to regulate, not shut down, cryptocurrency kiosks in the state and said there are even more consumer protections in place.
David N. Tente, the executive director of the ATM Industry Association, said the bill — and others like it — is problematic because it requires operators to provide refunds to fraud victims in certain instances.
“In most cases, the cash in the ATM/kiosk does not belong to the operator, which means that returning any of it would be, technically, theft,” Tente said. “If you give someone cash for something, and you change your mind after they leave, you probably won’t get it back.”
He added: “We certainly feel sorry for those being scammed, but there are very simple things you can do to avoid it.”
Tente said these kinds of scams have existed for centuries, adding: “They are still here — just using different means of payment.”
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