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How the Fed's Rate Cuts Could Shave Millions in Stablecoin Issuer Income

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How the Fed's Rate Cuts Could Shave Millions in Stablecoin Issuer Income

Key Takeaways

  • The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates will lead to lower revenue for stablecoin issuers, according to a new cryptocurrency industry report.
  • Issuers of stablecoins have held U.S. Treasurys as a way to earn a return on the reserves backing the digital assets they issue.
  • Stablecoin providers hold nearly $125 billion of U.S. Treasurys, and each 50 bps rate cut is expected to lead to a $625 million drop in annual interest income derived from these assets.
  • If rates continue to fall, as expected, stablecoin providers may need to look into alternative reserves to back their digital assets, a crypto industry executive forecast.

Stablecoin issuers could be looking at lower income as the Federal Reserve (Fed) kicked off its first rate cut cycle since 2020.

Each 50 basis point cut by the Fed could lead to a $625 million drop in total annual interest income for stablecoin issuers, according to a new report from digital asset data provider CCData.

Those hits could quickly add up as the Fed itself expects cuts totaling 50 basis points by the end of this year, and another 100 basis points by the end of next year.

Why Would A Rate Cut Affect Stablecoins?

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies whose value is pegged to another cryptocurrency. Some of the most popular stablecoins have their value pegged to the U.S. dollar and keep a reserve in cash or equivalent investments—often U.S. Treasurys—to maintain that peg.

Centralized stablecoin providers, such as Tether (USDTUSD) and Circle (USDCUSD), have relied heavily on their holdings of U.S. Treasurys earning interest over the past few years as high interest rates drove up Treasury yields.

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U.S. Treasurys make up the vast majority of reserves held by stablecoin issuers, at just over 80%. This amounts to holdings of nearly $125 billion worth of Treasurys.

Tether, the largest stablecoin by market cap, alone holds $93.2 billion worth of U.S. debt, which accounted for much of that digital asset company’s $5.2 billion of profits in the first half of 2024, the CCData report said.

Bitcoin.com Director of Engineering Andrei Terentiev speculated on social media that lower interest rates could eventually push stablecoin providers and other financial institutions into riskier assets in an effort to earn a return on their reserves.

“With lower yields on safer assets, institutions often shift their focus toward ‘risk-on’ assets,” Terentiev posted on the platform X. “Think stocks, crypto, and other investments that offer higher potential returns but come with greater risk,” he wrote.

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Better Cryptocurrency to Buy Today With $3,000 and Hold for 7 Years: XRP vs. Bitcoin

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Better Cryptocurrency to Buy Today With ,000 and Hold for 7 Years: XRP vs. Bitcoin

Key Points

  • Bitcoin is a store of value, but it’s facing a huge risk in the next 10 years or so.

  • XRP has utility today, but it’s facing an onslaught of competitors in the same time frame.

  • One of these assets has a more straightforward path to its ongoing success.

Buying a cryptocurrency and then holding it for seven years is less about picking the flashiest chain of today, and more about picking the investment thesis that can inspire your conviction over time, survive your own boredom when the market is slow, and perhaps most importantly, survive a couple of gut-check drawdowns.

So with $3,000 to allocate today, is it smarter to load up on Bitcoin(CRYPTO: BTC) or XRP(CRYPTO: XRP) if you’re (hopefully) going to be holding whatever you pick through 2033?

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Image source: Getty Images.

Bitcoin’s job is simple

Bitcoin’s pitch is that it’s an asset with a fixed supply and enough of a social consensus about its worth that it functions as a store of value.

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The coin’s supply cap is hard-coded at 21 million coins that can ever be mined. A lot of that supply, approximately 20 million Bitcoin, is already out in the world.

And if you’re building a well-balanced crypto portfolio, it’s the scarcity of the remaining supply and the guarantee that it’ll only get scarcer and more challenging to produce in the future that makes this coin a must-have holding.

Nonetheless, the long-term risk that investors should not dismiss is the advent of quantum computing, which in theory could crack Bitcoin’s encryption and enable the theft of coins at some point in the tail end of the next 10 years. There are some early steps taking place to update the coin to prevent that from being possible. Even so, the risk might not be fully addressed for years, or perhaps even too late to prevent a quantum attack which turns into a disaster for holders.

But the odds are good that Bitcoin’s developers will adapt to the threat in time.

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XRP needs to keep winning to outperform

XRP is a bet that its chain, the XRP Ledger (XRPL), becomes important financial plumbing, and that demand for the coin rises alongside its use.

There are a few pieces of evidence that suggest it’s succeeding. The XRPL saw around 1.1 million daily transactions recently, and it hosts 7.6 million activated wallets. That activity could accelerate if financial institutions continue to onboard their capital to the network in hopes of managing it more readily than they could elsewhere.

Still, XRP competes against other money transfer rails and also against legacy systems for capital management. It needs to beat out that competition consistently over time to continue to grow. And while it’ll likely win enough of its competitive fights to survive and expand somewhat for the next seven years, to continue to thrive and be a great investment, it’ll need to be winning against bigger and bigger competitors all the while — and that’s a lot harder to believe in because it’s a high bar.

So if you want a coin for a seven-year hold that demands the least babysitting and the least competitive jockeying, invest your $3,000 into Bitcoin, as it only needs to change elements related to its security rather than its core feature set.

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Alex Carchidi has positions in Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin and XRP. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Millions of dollars in crypto left Iranian exchanges after strikes, researchers say

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Millions of dollars in crypto left Iranian exchanges after strikes, researchers say
Outflows from Iranian crypto exchanges spiked in the hours after the U.S. and Israeli ‌strikes on Iran on Saturday, two blockchain analytics companies said, although researchers added it was not possible to be certain what was behind the moves.
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Crypto

Wisconsin lawmakers crack down on cryptocurrency scams

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Wisconsin lawmakers crack down on cryptocurrency scams

MADISON, WI (WTAQ) — A new bipartisan bill is the state legislature is attempting to keep Wisconsinites safe from scammers.

Assembly Bill 968 creates consumer protections around cryptocurrency kiosks—and is aimed at stopping criminals from using crypto-kiosks to steal from victims. It was passed by the assembly last month and is now heading to the senate.

Americans lost over $330 million to scams involving crypto-kiosks in 2025.

As amended; the bill that passed the assembly would:

  • set daily transaction limits at $1,000
  • require cryptocurrency-kiosk operators to provide users with receipts
  • implement consumer-identification measures for every transaction
  • allow scam victims to receive refunds

“This also requires crypto-kiosk operators to be licensed as a money transmitter with the Department of Financial Institutions,” said bill co-author Representative Dean Kaufert (R-Neenah). “Right now there is no state statute with regards to these crypto machines, and there has to be some oversight.”

Over 700 cryptocurrency kiosks are located in convenience stores, gas stations, restaurants, and other locations throughout Wisconsin.

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Detective Kevin Bahl with the Green Bay Police Department says although these scams don’t discriminate, scammers usually target the senior population.

“That’s because they’re the ones with more of the built up funds; that they can lose a significant of money, but we have seen a lot of younger victims too,” said Det. Bahl. “Victims are losing anywhere between a couple thousand dollars, all the way up to hundreds of thousands of dollars.”

The senate will reconvene beginning the second week of March, where Rep. Kaufert believes they will pass Senate Bill 975. Then the bill will go to the governor for approval by April 1. If approved, the law would likely go into effect around June.

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