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Can the Browns defy historical trends in Denver against the Broncos?: Ashley Bastock predictions

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Can the Browns defy historical trends in Denver against the Broncos?: Ashley Bastock predictions


DENVER — The Browns head west for their second straight prime time game in two weeks as they prepare to take on the Denver Broncos on Monday night football.

Cleveland is coming off of a thrilling 24-19 Thursday night win over the Steelers at home. Denver has won its last two against the Falcons (38-6) and the Raiders (29-19).

Cleveland heads to Denver, however, without one of their key offensive weapons available, preparing to face an aggressive pass rush, and with history not on their side in this matchup.

Here are several storylines for the game, as well as predictions for how I think each might go:

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Expect to see more of rookie receiver Jamari Thrash against the Broncos with Cedric Tillman out. AP

The pass game options with one key player out

With Cedric Tillman (concussion) ruled out, the Browns pass game took a major hit.

In 11 games this season, Tillman has 29 catches for 339 yards and three touchdowns, almost all in the last five games — he’s a player who’s really gotten to shine post-Amari Cooper trade.

Tillman left last Thursday night’s game against the Steelers after a helmet-to-helmet hit he took from linebacker Patrick Queen on the final play of the third quarter.

So who might Cleveland need to rely on with Tillman out?

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My prediction: His absence very likely means more playing time for rookie receiver Jamari Thrash, a fifth-round pick who has one catch for 11 yards in four games.

Thrash has played only 38 offensive snaps this season, but has put in extra time before and after practices this year with Jameis Winston in the hopes of staying ready for any opportunity that might come his way.

“You’ve got to prepare like you’re a starter,” Thrash said on Friday. “You never know when your time is here, when it’s your moment.”

Of course, Winston will have to rely heavily on Jerry Jeudy, who will certainly be looking for revenge in this game going against the team that drafted him, and the team he asked to be traded from. The Browns will also need a big game from tight end David Njoku, who had just one catch for 9 yards against the Steelers last week.

Browns vs. Broncos Week 13 preview

Denver Broncos linebacker Nik Bonitto (15) leads the defense with 10 sacks this season. AP

The Broncos’ pass rush

The Broncos have one of the better defenses in the NFL right now.

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They lead the league with sacks (44), and have nine players with 1.5 sacks or more. Fourteen players have at least half a sack.

They have the third-best overall defense (296 yards per game) and the third-best run defense when it comes to yards per play (3.82). They also have the third-best scoring defense (16.8 ppg)

Nik Bonitto leads the way with 10 sacks, and Jonathon Cooper isn’t far behind with seven.

On the interior they also have Zach Allen, who has the most pressures of any interior D-lineman (52) in the NFL, according to Pro Football Reference tracking data, to go along with his five sacks.

My prediction: This is going to be the most pressure Jameis Winston has faced in a start yet this season — especially when you consider that T.J. Watt was basically a non-factor last week in Cleveland’s win over the Steelers.

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Will that make Winston prone to mistakes against his former head coach Sean Payton? You could argue there are few opposing coaches across the league more equipped for game-planning for the gunslinger after their time together in New Orleans.

I’m predicting at least one turnover for Winston in this game, especially when you consider how well Denver’s rush and coverage work together.

Two-time Pro Bowler Pat Surtain is in the secondary, and he’s got three picks this year including a pick-six. According to PFF, he’s surrendered only 25 catches and 177 yards to opposing pass catchers this season.

Cleveland Browns head coach keeps an eye on the field during play against the Denver Broncos in the second half at Empower Field at Mile High.

The Browns have only won in Denver one time since 1990. Joshua Gunter, cleveland.com

A tough history in Denver

There’s no ignoring how bad the Browns have been in Denver historically.

Going back to 1970, the Browns are 4-14 playing in Denver (4-12 in the regular season).

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Cleveland has won only once there since 1990, a 17-16 victory in 2018. Last year, they came away with a 29-12 loss.

My prediction: Maybe this is simply a weird correlation and there’s no causation.

But it’s hard for me to pick against history here, especially knowing how bad the Browns played at Mile High Stadium a year ago.

With the pass rush and Payton at the helm, I think this is a bad matchup for Cleveland.

I wouldn’t put it past the Browns to surprise us in prime time, but I would rather be incorrect picking with history. I’m going with the Broncos, 23-18.

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Denver area events for March 5

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Denver area events for March 5


If you have an event taking place in the Denver area, email information to carlotta.olson@gazette.com at least two weeks in advance. All events are listed in the calendar on space availability. Thursday Camilla Vaitaitis Quartet — 6:30 p.m., Dazzle at Baur’s, 1080 14th St., Denver, go online for prices. Tickets: dazzledenver.com/#/events. Miguel — 7 p.m., Fillmore Auditorium, […]



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Report: Broncos expected to ‘make a splash’ at running back

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Report: Broncos expected to ‘make a splash’ at running back


The Denver Broncos are in the market for a running back.

Just two days after NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reported that Denver wants to have the running back position addressed before the draft, Jonathan Jones of CBS Sports reported that the Broncos are “poised to make a splash” at running back during NFL free agency.

“Denver is the reason why the Jets used the franchise tag on Breece Hall rather than the transition tag, according to sources, making sure Denver wouldn’t get the opportunity to put together an offer the Jets would refuse to match,” Jones wrote for CBS Sports.

Jones said the Broncos would be an obvious potential landing spot for Kenneth Walker, and he noted that Travis Etienne could be a cheaper alternative. The Athletic’s Nick Kosmider also reported this week that Denver is expected to “closely examine” the RB market, and he name-dropped Walker, Etienne and Rico Dowdle.

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The Broncos also have an in-house free agent at RB in J.K. Dobbins, who has expressed his desire to remain in Denver. The Broncos can begin negotiating with pending free agents from other clubs on March 9, but no deals can become official until the new league year begins on March 11. In-house free agents can be re-signed at any time.

Social: Follow Broncos Wire on Facebook and Twitter/X! Did you know: These 25 celebrities are Broncos fans.



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Grand Junction, Palisade reach Great Eight in Denver

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Grand Junction, Palisade reach Great Eight in Denver


GRAND JUNCTION, Colo. (KREX) — The Class 5A Sweet 16 has arrived, and both Grand Junction and Palisade are still standing with trips to the Great Eight in Denver on the line.

At The Jungle, the No. 2 seed Grand Junction Tigers set the tone early against No. 18 Golden. Defense carried the Tigers from the opening tip as they held the Demons to nine first quarter points while scoring 16 of their own.

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Grand Junction added eight points in the second quarter while Golden managed six, sending the Tigers into halftime with a nine point lead.

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Golden responded in the third quarter, outscoring Grand Junction 16 to 11 to cut the deficit to five entering the fourth. The Tigers answered in the final period, attacking the rim and converting key shots to win the quarter 19 to 10. Grand Junction secured a 54 to 41 victory to protect its home court and advance to the Great Eight in Denver.

Top seeded Palisade also defended its home floor with a trip to Denver at stake. The Bulldogs opened with nine straight points to energize a packed gym, but Frederick settled in and closed the first quarter on a run to tie the game at nine.

Frederick continued to respond in the second quarter and took an eight point lead into halftime.

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Palisade shifted momentum after the break. The Bulldogs tightened defensively, holding Frederick to 21 points in the second half while scoring 39 of their own. Palisade completed the comeback to advance to the Great Eight.

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Colorado Mesa University Women Deliver Historic RMAC Tournament Win

In collegiate action, the top seeded Colorado Mesa University women’s basketball team defeated Colorado School of Mines 96 to 51 in the RMAC Tournament, marking the largest margin of victory in the tournament this century.

Olivia Reed-Thyne led the Mavericks with 34 points on 11 of 15 shooting, her third 30 point performance this season. Mason Rowland added 22 points and Hallie Clark contributed 10 as Colorado Mesa matched a program record with its 31st win. The Mavericks will host the semifinals Friday with a berth in the championship game at stake.

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Colorado Mesa University Men Survive Overtime Thriller

The Colorado Mesa University men’s basketball team faced New Mexico Highlands University for the third time this season. The Mavericks scored 36 first half points and led by four at the break.

New Mexico Highlands shot 50 percent in the second half, received 21 bench points and outscored Colorado Mesa 43 to 39 to force a late push. With the season in the balance, Ty Allred hit a game tying 3 pointer to make it 75 and send the game to overtime. Allred scored seven points in the extra period as Colorado Mesa earned a 91 to 90 victory to advance to the next round.

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