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Fox News Poll: Trump hits 51% support in Arizona, up from 49% in March

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Fox News Poll: Trump hits 51% support in Arizona, up from 49% in March

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Donald Trump is ahead of Joe Biden in the battleground state of Arizona, as an increasing number say their financial situation is worsening and a majority trust the former president to handle the economy, according to a new Fox News survey.

Trump is up by 5 points among Arizona registered voters (51%-46%) in a head-to-head rematch. In March, he was ahead of Biden 49%-45%. While the race is within the survey’s margin of error, it is noteworthy that support for Trump is above 50% and his advantage has been stable in a state Biden won by a razor-thin margin in 2020. 

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Among the 67% who say they are extremely motivated to vote in the race, the former president is again favored by 5 points (52%- 47%). That also holds true when third-party candidates are included, with Trump over Biden by 46%-41%, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. receiving 8%, and Jill Stein and Cornel West both at 1%.  

Currently, Kennedy and West are not officially on the Arizona ballot; Stein is.

The survey was conducted June 1-4, so all interviews were completed after Trump’s New York hush-money trial verdict and almost all were done before Biden’s executive order on immigration announcement Tuesday.

Here’s what gives Trump the edge over Biden in the head-to-head contest.  

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Women back Biden by 4 points, but Trump’s margin with men (+15) is nearly four times larger.

While Biden is up by 12 points among urban voters, Trump’s lead among rural voters is more than twice that (+29 points). Trump also has the edge among suburban voters (+3), despite Biden’s double-digit lead among suburban women (+12).

Trump is up by 21 points among voters under 30 and the candidates tie among those ages 65 and over. Compared to 2020, that means Biden traded his wide support among less reliable young voters for a small increase in support among more reliable 65+ voters. So far, that trade does not appear to be working out.

Hispanic voters favor Biden by 8 points (he won them by more than twice that in 2020), while the larger group of White voters goes for Trump by 9 (consistent with 2020).  

White voters without a college degree prefer Trump by 21 points, while Whites with a degree back Biden by 8 points. Both of those margins are larger than in 2020.  

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Trump narrowly keeps more of his 2020 voters (95%) than Biden (93%) and while Independents split 45% each, Trump receives a touch more support among Republicans (93%) than the president does among Democrats (92%). It helps Trump that more Arizona voters currently identify as Republicans than Democrats.  

“There is a small but important shift away from the Democrats among Hispanic voters since 2020,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts Fox News surveys with Democrat Chris Anderson. “It matters nationally for Biden, and there’s an argument it is going to specifically cost them Arizona.”

Plus, Trump is seen as the better option on two of the biggest issues of the campaign. He is favored over Biden by 20 points on handling immigration/border security, by 15 points on the economy, and by 11 points on the war in Gaza. On the other side, more voters trust Biden on climate change (+11 points), abortion (+6), health care (+4), and election integrity (+4).  

In March, 40% of Arizonans felt like they were falling behind financially. That’s up to 48% now — and most of them back Trump (72%) over Biden (25%).

Biden also pays the price in his overall job rating, as more disapprove (58%) than approve (42%) of his performance by 16 points.

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For comparison, ratings for Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs are net positive by 15 points: 54% approve vs. 39% disapprove. Her approval is higher than Biden’s by 20 points among Republicans, 13 points among independents, and 4 points among Democrats. Hobbs defeated Republican Kari Lake in the 2022 election with 50.3% of the vote.  

A state constitutional amendment establishing the right to abortion is expected to be on the Arizona ballot this fall. Seventy percent say they would vote yes on such a measure, including 53% of Republicans. Notably, about 4 in 10 “yes” voters support Trump in the two-way race.

“The economy and immigration are big problems for Biden in Arizona, but he has some assets and opportunities,” says Anderson. “The popular Democratic governor could be an effective advocate and a ballot question to protect abortion rights could drive favorable turnout — but the bottom line is Arizona looks tough for Biden.”

A 51% majority thinks Trump’s hush-money trial was fair, and among Arizonans who say his conviction will matter some or a great deal to their vote (just over one-third of the electorate), Biden is heavily favored over Trump (69%-28%).  

Those most likely to say Trump’s conviction will make a difference to their vote choice include suburban women, younger voters, Hispanics, and Democrats.

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Among the small subgroup of self-identified Independents (who don’t lean toward the Democrats or the Republicans), nearly 6 in 10 think Trump got a fair trial, 4 in 10 say his conviction will matter to their vote, 5 in 10 are extremely motivated to vote, and they split their support 45%-45% between Biden and Trump.

FOX NEWS POLL: VOTERS OPPOSE STUDENT PROTESTS, SAY THEY HAVEN’T MADE THEM MORE SYMPATHETIC TO THE PALESTINIANS

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So-called double haters (voters who have a negative opinion of both Biden and Trump) favor Biden over Trump by 15 points and most of them think Trump’s hush-money trial was fair (69%) — however only 32% say they are extremely motivated to vote compared to 67% of voters overall.

Views of Trump as a person are net negative by 4 points (47% favorable, 51% unfavorable). Biden is underwater by four times that — 17 points (41%-58%). That’s a reversal from four years ago, when Biden was net positive by 2 points and Trump was negative by 10 (June 2020).  

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By a 15-point margin, more Arizonans have an unfavorable than favorable view of Kennedy, with nearly one in five unable to rate him.  

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Conducted June 1-4, 2024 under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,095 Arizona registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents were given the option of completing the interview in English or Spanish and speaking with live interviewers on landlines (168) and cellphones (678) or completing the survey online after receiving a text (249). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. 

Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.

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Former MLB great Mark Teixeira makes stance on Minnesota ICE shooting clear

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Former MLB great Mark Teixeira makes stance on Minnesota ICE shooting clear

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The Minnesota ICE shooting that resulted in the death of Renee Good has drawn strong reactions everywhere.

According to Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, Good was operating a vehicle that agents ordered her to exit. Good, according to Noem, refused and “attempted to run them over and ram them with her vehicle.”

After Vice President JD Vance delivered a strong statement defending ICE agents for their work, the White House posted a graphic with a portion of Vance’s plea and the caption, “STAND WITH ICE.”

 

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Texas Rangers first baseman Mark Teixeira rounds the bases after hitting a home run against the Baltimore Orioles at Ameriquest Field Aug. 7, 2005, in Arlington, Texas. (Tim Heitman/USA Today Sports )

Former MLB All-Star Mark Teixeira, who launched his campaign for Texas’ 21st Congressional District in August as a Republican to “help defend President Trump’s America First agenda,” voiced his support.

“I stand with ICE,” the former Texas Ranger, Atlanta Brave, Los Angeles Angel and New York Yankee wrote on X.

Teixeira’s announcement followed Rep. Chip Roy’s decision not to seek re-election and run for Texas attorney general. Roy, who represents the district, made the announcement in a campaign video shared on X last year. His video centered on preserving the Lone Star State’s legacy of “liberty, freedom and self-determination.”

Former New York Yankee Mark Teixeira throws out the first pitch before a game between the Minnesota Twins and the Yankees in the 2019 ALDS at Yankee Stadium.  (Brad Penner/USA Today Sports)

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Noem called the incident “domestic terrorism.”

“An officer of ours acted quickly and defensively, shot to protect himself and the people around him,” she said.

Federal authorities said Good tried to run over ICE agents who were part of a 2,000-member team sent to the Twin Cities to round up and deport undocumented immigrant criminals.

Teixeira, 45, played 14 seasons in the majors. He debuted with the Rangers in 2003 but is perhaps best known for being an MVP candidate and World Series champion with the Yankees, the final stop of his career.

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New York Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira hits an RBI single against the Oakland Athletics during the sixth inning at the Oakland Coliseum May 22, 2016, in Oakland, Calif. (Kelley L Cox/USA Today Sports)

One of the best hitters in the game, Teixeira was a three-time Silver Slugger Award winner and finished his career with a .269 batting average and 409 home runs. He was a five-time Gold Glove winner and was a member of the Yankees’ 2009 World Series championship team. 

The congressional race is set for November 2026, with a primary scheduled for March.

Fox News’ Jackson Thompson contributed to this report.

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Republican senators hit border, touting tougher security and tax cuts, in 2026 kickoff

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Republican senators hit border, touting tougher security and tax cuts, in 2026 kickoff

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Aiming to not only hold but expand their 53-47 majority in November’s midterm elections, top Senate Republicans are showcasing the plummeting rates of border crossings during a stop Friday at the nation’s southern border with Mexico.

And the group, led by Senate Majority Leader John Thune, is also highlighting how President Donald Trump and Republican lawmakers are “putting more money in Americans’ pockets.”

The stop at the border, hosted by One Nation, a nonprofit outside group closely aligned with Thune, is seen as an unofficial kickoff by Senate Republicans ahead of the midterms to tout the sweeping “One Big, Beautiful Bill Act,” Trump’s signature domestic achievement last year that was passed nearly entirely along party lines in the GOP controlled Congress.

At the event at the border, which was a regular stop for Republicans amid the surge in border crossings during then-President Joe Biden’s administration, the GOP senators are teaming up with members of the National Border Patrol Council. And they are highlighting how the passage of the domestic policy measure “secured transformational border security funding,” according to One Nation.

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Senate Majority Leader John Thune and fellow Senate Republicans speak to reporters at an event at the nation’s southern border with Mexico, on Jan. 9, 2026. (One Nation)

“This is a remarkable, remarkable difference in just a year,” Thune said at the event. “It’s been an incredible year of progress when it comes to the southern border and the American people are experiencing the benefit of that in the form of having safer streets and safer communities and safer neighborhoods.”

But with Democrats enjoying decisive victories and overperformances in the 2025 elections and in a slew of special elections and other ballot box showdowns last year, which were fueled by their laser focus on affordability amid persistent inflation, the Republican senators are also using Friday’s trip to spotlight the tax cut and energy policy provisions in the bill, which they rebranded as the “Working Families Tax Cut.”

“The Working Families Tax Cut will make buying groceries more affordable for working Americans this year,” the Senate Republicans touted on social media on the eve of the border stop. “Every Democrat voted against it.”

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And they also highlighted that “Senate Republicans have worked closely with President Trump to lower energy prices and make life more affordable — and the results speak for themselves.”

Thune, at the border, pointed to the tax cut provisions in the GOP measure, including no tax on tips and overtime and reduced rates for seniors on Social Security, along with “the jobs that are going to be created by the pro-growth policies that we put in place….are going to lead us to a place where the American people are seeing their incomes go up.”

But Democrats see the cost of living as their winning issue heading into the midterms.

“If the Republican agenda actually made life more affordable for working Americans, then they wouldn’t be desperately flailing as families struggle to afford groceries, health care, and housing,” Lauren French, communications director at Senate Majority PAC, the top Senate Democrat-aligned outside group, told Fox News Digital. “Instead of focusing on working people, Trump and Senate Republicans are focused on bringing chaos and instability into our communities.”

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Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., holds a political and policy event Friday at the nation’s southern border with Mexico. (Nathan Posner/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Joining Thune, the longtime senator from South Dakota, at the border is Sen. John Barrasso of Wyoming, number two in Senate Republican leadership.

There are also Sen. John Cornyn of Texas, who faces a bruising GOP primary showdown in March against challengers Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and Rep. Wesley Hunt; and Republican Sens. Jon Husted of Ohio and Ashley Moody of Florida, who were appointed last year and will face voters this November.

HEALTHCARE, ECONOMY AND THE ‘ONE BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL’: WELCOME TO THE MIDTERMS

GOP Sens. Pete Ricketts of Nebraska and Mike Rounds of South Dakota, who are up for re-election this year, are also on the trip, as are former Rep. Mike Rogers and former Republican National Committee chair Mike Whatley, the GOP Senate candidates in battlegrounds Michigan and North Carolina who are backed by Thune and the National Republican Senatorial Committee.

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“We’re seeing signs already that the economy is starting to tick up and is starting to take hold as the President’s policies are getting in place,” Whatley argued last month in a Fox News Digital interview. “We need to make sure that we have the trade policies, the tax policies, the regulatory policies from this administration that are going to help our small businesses, our manufacturers and our farmers across North Carolina.”

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But Democrats are energized as the midterm year begins, as they continue to keep their focus on the issue of affordability.

“Donald Trump has lost the economy, is losing his mind, and is going to lose the midterms,” Democratic National Committee chair Ken Martin claimed in a recent statement.

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Body found during search for missing Texas teen Camila Mendoza Olmos as another teen girl disappears

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Body found during search for missing Texas teen Camila Mendoza Olmos as another teen girl disappears

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A body was found Tuesday evening as authorities in Bexar County, Texas, grapple with a series of disappearances involving teen girls who all went missing within a week.

The body was found during the search for 19-year-old Camila Olmos, though police said it is too early to determine whether the remains belong to her.

Bexar County Sheriff Javier Salazar said during a news conference that investigators had “just recently found a body in a field” around 4:40 to 4:45 p.m., adding that the medical examiner will determine both the identity of the body and the cause and manner of death.

The body was found by a joint team of sheriff’s deputies and FBI agents in an area of tall grass near a landscaping business, a few hundred yards from Olmos’ home, according to Salazar.

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MISSING CAMILA MENDOZ OLMOS: DASHCAM CAPTURES LAST SIGHTING OF TEXAS TEEN WHO VANISHED CHRISTMAS EVE

Camila Olmos was reported missing on Christmas Eve. (Bexar County Sheriff)

A firearm was recovered near the body, which authorities said had been an item of interest during the search.

Salazar said investigators do not currently suspect murder and noted there were indicators consistent with possible self-harm, though he stressed it is too early to draw conclusions while the scene is still being processed.

Olmos was last seen leaving her home in far northwest Bexar County around 7 a.m. on Dec. 24, authorities said. Her case came as two other girls were reported missing in the area. Fourteen-year-old Sofia Gabriela Peters-Cobos has since been found safe, while 17-year-old Angelique Johnson remains missing, according to police.

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Law enforcement has said there is no confirmed connection between the cases.

MISSING CAMILA MENDOZ OLMOS: DASHCAM CAPTURES LAST SIGHTING OF TEXAS TEEN WHO VANISHED CHRISTMAS EVE

Angelique Johnson, from San Antonio, Texas, was reported missing. (Bexar County Sheriff’s Office)

Texas Department of Public Safety said the Clear Alert for Olmos has been discontinued, though authorities urged anyone with information related to the cases or the whereabouts of Angelique Johnson to contact the Bexar County Sheriff’s Office.

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The Bexar County Sheriff’s Office and the San Antonio Police Department did not respond immediately to Fox News Digital’s requests for comment.

Fox News Digital’s Greg Norman and Michael Ruiz contributed to this report.

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