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Fox News Poll: Trump hits 51% support in Arizona, up from 49% in March

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Fox News Poll: Trump hits 51% support in Arizona, up from 49% in March

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Donald Trump is ahead of Joe Biden in the battleground state of Arizona, as an increasing number say their financial situation is worsening and a majority trust the former president to handle the economy, according to a new Fox News survey.

Trump is up by 5 points among Arizona registered voters (51%-46%) in a head-to-head rematch. In March, he was ahead of Biden 49%-45%. While the race is within the survey’s margin of error, it is noteworthy that support for Trump is above 50% and his advantage has been stable in a state Biden won by a razor-thin margin in 2020. 

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Among the 67% who say they are extremely motivated to vote in the race, the former president is again favored by 5 points (52%- 47%). That also holds true when third-party candidates are included, with Trump over Biden by 46%-41%, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. receiving 8%, and Jill Stein and Cornel West both at 1%.  

Currently, Kennedy and West are not officially on the Arizona ballot; Stein is.

The survey was conducted June 1-4, so all interviews were completed after Trump’s New York hush-money trial verdict and almost all were done before Biden’s executive order on immigration announcement Tuesday.

Here’s what gives Trump the edge over Biden in the head-to-head contest.  

FOX NEWS POLL: ABORTION, ECONOMY, AND BORDER SECURITY ARE TOP DEAL-BREAKERS IN 2024 ELECTIONS

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Women back Biden by 4 points, but Trump’s margin with men (+15) is nearly four times larger.

While Biden is up by 12 points among urban voters, Trump’s lead among rural voters is more than twice that (+29 points). Trump also has the edge among suburban voters (+3), despite Biden’s double-digit lead among suburban women (+12).

Trump is up by 21 points among voters under 30 and the candidates tie among those ages 65 and over. Compared to 2020, that means Biden traded his wide support among less reliable young voters for a small increase in support among more reliable 65+ voters. So far, that trade does not appear to be working out.

Hispanic voters favor Biden by 8 points (he won them by more than twice that in 2020), while the larger group of White voters goes for Trump by 9 (consistent with 2020).  

White voters without a college degree prefer Trump by 21 points, while Whites with a degree back Biden by 8 points. Both of those margins are larger than in 2020.  

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Trump narrowly keeps more of his 2020 voters (95%) than Biden (93%) and while Independents split 45% each, Trump receives a touch more support among Republicans (93%) than the president does among Democrats (92%). It helps Trump that more Arizona voters currently identify as Republicans than Democrats.  

“There is a small but important shift away from the Democrats among Hispanic voters since 2020,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts Fox News surveys with Democrat Chris Anderson. “It matters nationally for Biden, and there’s an argument it is going to specifically cost them Arizona.”

Plus, Trump is seen as the better option on two of the biggest issues of the campaign. He is favored over Biden by 20 points on handling immigration/border security, by 15 points on the economy, and by 11 points on the war in Gaza. On the other side, more voters trust Biden on climate change (+11 points), abortion (+6), health care (+4), and election integrity (+4).  

In March, 40% of Arizonans felt like they were falling behind financially. That’s up to 48% now — and most of them back Trump (72%) over Biden (25%).

Biden also pays the price in his overall job rating, as more disapprove (58%) than approve (42%) of his performance by 16 points.

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For comparison, ratings for Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs are net positive by 15 points: 54% approve vs. 39% disapprove. Her approval is higher than Biden’s by 20 points among Republicans, 13 points among independents, and 4 points among Democrats. Hobbs defeated Republican Kari Lake in the 2022 election with 50.3% of the vote.  

A state constitutional amendment establishing the right to abortion is expected to be on the Arizona ballot this fall. Seventy percent say they would vote yes on such a measure, including 53% of Republicans. Notably, about 4 in 10 “yes” voters support Trump in the two-way race.

“The economy and immigration are big problems for Biden in Arizona, but he has some assets and opportunities,” says Anderson. “The popular Democratic governor could be an effective advocate and a ballot question to protect abortion rights could drive favorable turnout — but the bottom line is Arizona looks tough for Biden.”

A 51% majority thinks Trump’s hush-money trial was fair, and among Arizonans who say his conviction will matter some or a great deal to their vote (just over one-third of the electorate), Biden is heavily favored over Trump (69%-28%).  

Those most likely to say Trump’s conviction will make a difference to their vote choice include suburban women, younger voters, Hispanics, and Democrats.

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Among the small subgroup of self-identified Independents (who don’t lean toward the Democrats or the Republicans), nearly 6 in 10 think Trump got a fair trial, 4 in 10 say his conviction will matter to their vote, 5 in 10 are extremely motivated to vote, and they split their support 45%-45% between Biden and Trump.

FOX NEWS POLL: VOTERS OPPOSE STUDENT PROTESTS, SAY THEY HAVEN’T MADE THEM MORE SYMPATHETIC TO THE PALESTINIANS

Poll-pourri

So-called double haters (voters who have a negative opinion of both Biden and Trump) favor Biden over Trump by 15 points and most of them think Trump’s hush-money trial was fair (69%) — however only 32% say they are extremely motivated to vote compared to 67% of voters overall.

Views of Trump as a person are net negative by 4 points (47% favorable, 51% unfavorable). Biden is underwater by four times that — 17 points (41%-58%). That’s a reversal from four years ago, when Biden was net positive by 2 points and Trump was negative by 10 (June 2020).  

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By a 15-point margin, more Arizonans have an unfavorable than favorable view of Kennedy, with nearly one in five unable to rate him.  

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Conducted June 1-4, 2024 under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,095 Arizona registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents were given the option of completing the interview in English or Spanish and speaking with live interviewers on landlines (168) and cellphones (678) or completing the survey online after receiving a text (249). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. 

Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.

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Southwest

Texas sends voter rolls to DOJ to look for ineligible registrations

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Texas sends voter rolls to DOJ to look for ineligible registrations

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Texas Gov. Greg Abbott on Monday said the state was sending its voter rolls to the Justice Department to check for potential ineligible registrations.

Abbott confirmed the state’s move in a post on X, writing that only American citizens can vote in the Lone Star State.

“Texas sent the Justice Department a list of the state’s registered voters last month,” the post read. “We want our voter rolls to be checked for potential ineligible registrations. Only US citizens can vote in Texas.”

The announcement comes after Texas Secretary of State Jane Nelson in October said a cross-check of state voter records found that more than 2,700 possible illegal immigrants were registered on the voter rolls, leading to an eligibility review across the 254 counties.

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TEXAS FINDS THOUSANDS OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS REGISTERED TO VOTE ON STATE VOTER ROLLS

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott arrives during a press conference in Houston on Sept. 23, 2025. (Antranik Tavitian/Reuters)

Federal officials have increasingly pressed states on voter roll compliance issues in recent years, arguing that transparency around registration lists is essential to maintaining accurate records, preventing administrative errors and ensuring voters have confidence in election outcomes.

Democrats have warned that states complying with the DOJ’s request to share voter registration data may be violating federal election law.

Voters cast their ballot during early voting at a polling location in Houston, Texas, on Oct. 25, 2024. (F. Carter Smith/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

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DOJ SUES SIX STATES FOR REFUSING TO TURN OVER VOTER REGISTRATION ROLLS, WARNS ‘OPEN DEFIANCE’ OF FEDERAL LAW

Last week, DNC Chair Ken Martin said Democrats are prepared to take legal action should states agree to share the information with the DOJ, claiming eligible voters are being put at risk of being purged and that it opens the door to privacy concerns.

Democrats argue that the DOJ and states who comply with its request are violating federal law. (Patrick T. Fallon/AFP via Getty Images)

Texas is one of at least seven states that have shared its voter information with the federal government, according to the Brennan Center for Justice at New York University, which is tracking the DOJ’s effort.

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In December, the DOJ filed lawsuits against six blue states: Delaware, Maryland, New Mexico, Rhode Island, Vermont and Washington, accusing them of violating federal law by refusing to provide statewide voter registration rolls upon request.

Fox News Digital’s Jasmine Baehr and Christina Shaw contributed to this report.

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Southwest

Former Navy SEAL convicted for trying to harm police with explosives during California ‘No Kings’ protests

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Former Navy SEAL convicted for trying to harm police with explosives during California ‘No Kings’ protests

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A former U.S. Navy SEAL was convicted by a federal jury on Friday of transporting explosives with the intent to harm law enforcement officers during planned “No Kings Day” protests in California, prosecutors announced.

The Department of Justice said Gregory Vandenberg, 49, was convicted of transportation of explosives with intent to kill, injure or intimidate and attempted transportation of prohibited fireworks into California after a five-day jury trial and roughly three hours of deliberation.

Prosecutors said Vandenberg was traveling from El Paso, Texas, to San Diego, California, to attend the “No Kings Day” protests in June 2025 when he stopped in New Mexico to purchase six large mortar fireworks. 

“During this visit, he told the store clerk that he intended to throw fireworks at police officers at the upcoming protests. He asked detailed questions about the amount of gunpowder in the fireworks, their explosive impact, and their ability to harm others,” the DOJ said.

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SUSPECTED SUBURBAN JIHADISTS SHARED ISIS-STYLE SELFIES AND JOKED ABOUT FBI READING GROUP CHAT: FEDS

Courtroom sketch shows the sentencing phase for the former Navy SEAL convicted in the No Kings protest plot. (United States Attorney’s Office District of New Mexico)

Store employees became alarmed after Vandenberg repeatedly spoke about throwing fireworks at police and asked whether the store was going to track him, prompting them to record his license plate and contact law enforcement.

He was arrested in Arizona where federal agents discovered clothing displaying antisemitic, anti-Israel, and extremist symbols, including a t-shirt with an image of the Al-Qaeda flag.

A review of his phone also uncovered messages indicating Vandenberg harbored anger toward the U.S. government, including President Donald Trump, driven by his belief that the government was controlled by Israel and Jews.

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Federal agents stand by evidence after a jury found the ex-SEAL guilty of trying to harm law enforcement with explosives. (United States Attorney’s Office District of New Mexico)

WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT TODAY’S ‘NO KINGS’ ANTI-TRUMP RALLIES ACROSS US 

“People in this country are free to hold their own beliefs and to express them peacefully,” said Acting U.S. Attorney Ryan Ellison. “What they are not free to do is use explosives to threaten or terrorize others. Vandenberg intended to turn explosives into a tool of intimidation, and this verdict sends the message that attempts to substitute violence for expressing one’s opinion has no place in our communities and will be met with federal consequences.”

Law enforcement officials at the No Kings protest reveal explosive materials linked to the former Navy SEAL suspect. (United States Attorney’s Office District of New Mexico)

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The DOJ said the court ordered that Vandenberg remain in custody pending sentencing following the verdict, which hasn’t yet been scheduled. 

He faces 10 years in prison.

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Buddhist monks walking 2,300 miles from Texas to DC go viral with 1M+ social media followers

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Buddhist monks walking 2,300 miles from Texas to DC go viral with 1M+ social media followers

Buddhist monks have set off on a trek across the country on foot that has drawn national attention as they travel from Fort Worth, Texas, to Washington, D.C., as a part of a monthslong journey they describe as a spiritual practice.

The more than 2,300-mile journey they have named the Huong Dao Vipassana Bhavana Center’s Walk for Peace began in late October and is estimated to conclude later this winter in the nation’s capital.

The walk, according to the group’s official page, is intended to promote peace, compassion and mindfulness during a time they say the country is marked by division and uncertainty.

“This is not a protest,” the monks say in public statements. “It is a spiritual practice.”

AT LANCASTER MARKET, I WITNESSED AN AMERICA THAT STILL WORKS — NO POLITICS REQUIRED

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Buddhist monks who are participating in the “Walk For Peace,” arrive in Saluda, Thursday, Jan. 8, 2026, in Saluda, S.C. (AP Photo/Allison Joyce)

The monks are affiliated with a Texas-based Buddhist meditation center.

They describe the walk as a moving meditation as they continue to pass through cities, small towns and rural communities across the U.S.

They have been greeted by supporters who have gathered along the route, walking short stretches with the group and offering food or simply observing quietly as they pass.

The Monks are keeping a blog that tracks their journey in real time. On the blog they say those who “visit the venerable monks along our path, we tie a blessing string around your wrist—a simple thread that carries profound meaning.”

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According to the blog, the cord is a reminder and every time the wearer sees it, “in a moment of stress, during a difficult conversation, when patience feels impossible—it gently calls you back to the intention you set when you met us: to walk with us in spirit, to nourish peace, mindfulness, loving-kindness, and compassion in your daily life.”

 “It is a connection string between this journey and you, a tangible link that says: you are part of this walk for peace. We are walking together, always,” they write.

Buddhist monks who are participating in the “Walk For Peace,” are seen with their dog, Aloka, on Thursday, Jan. 8, 2026, in Saluda, S.C. (AP Photo/Allison Joyce)

WITHOUT GOD, NEW YORK’S DREAM TURNS HOLLOW. MY WALK ACROSS AMERICA PROVES IT

In addition to the monks, Aloka, a rescue dog the monks refer to as the “Peace Dog,” has become an unexpected focal point of the journey.

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During the journey, photos and videos are being shared online and show Aloka traveling along highways and sidewalks, resting during breaks and greeting supporters.

These special moments have helped the monks’ walk gain traction on social media, where their Facebook following recently surpassed 1 million followers.

Millions of supporters are sharing messages of encouragement and reflection in response to the journey.

“I am so inspired. Thank you — the United States so desperately needs this message,” one follower wrote.

Another supporter said the walk has had a personal impact on their daily life.

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Audrie Pearce greets Buddhist monks who are participating in the “Walk For Peace,” Thursday, Jan. 8, 2026, in Saluda, S.C. (AP Photo/Allison Joyce)

“Praying for you all each night. You have opened a light within me that makes me want to be a kinder, more peaceful person. I think now before speaking and have become more aware of my breathing,” the follower wrote. “Your trip has a lot of people thinking and restoring hope back in our country and peaceful thoughts throughout the day. It is simply wonderful, the journey you are on.”

Others said the message resonates with them during a turbulent period for the country.

“The message of peace is resonating with so many in America during these scary times,” another supporter commented.

So far, the Buddhist monks have made it across much of the country, prompting online searches and interest in the walk, the monks’ mission and their destination in Washington. The videos have circulated widely as the group continues eastward.

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They continue to emphasize that the walk is non-political and open to people of all backgrounds, describing peace as “not a destination, but a way of living.”

The monks say their message remains the same: peace begins with individual action — one step at a time.

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